[Quote: Originally Posted by theclaw] PR I.........................................................1-1 ATS
bounced back big time after last week's poor performance
wild card round........ just 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS with a lean to my lines, and 0-1 ATS with a 6 pt diff
divisional round.............4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS with lean, 1-0 ATS with a 6 pt diff
these PR's has a strong history of bouncing back off poor performances even just the leans as well. should of been more on top of that.
Championship Games..................................
Vikings -2.41 over Eagles w/ Foles
Jags -.56 over Pats
we have 1 play on the Jags, we are coming large on the Jags again this week, veryu possible SU win for the Jags.
6 pt diff to closing line.................9-3 ATS since 2000
22-11-1 ATS in all games since 2000
26-8 SU with our fav since 2000
7 times went 2-0 ATS
9 times went 1-1 ATS
1 time went 0-1-1 ATS
backing every lean in divisional round and championship games when the best teams are playing is very, very low risk.
I'll see if I can get the record off a 3-1 or 4-0 ATS divisional round
home teams less then 6 pt fav with a lean to dog on my lines...................home teams are 6-4 SU and 4-6 ATS
we won on this last week with the Saints and Jags
interesting that when home teams beat this spot ATS the far majority fail to cover the next week in divisional round and this round will have more if that happens. didn't happen last week.
We've had 4 road teams favored in this round.............................
2000 Ravens, won SU, ATS
2002 Bucs, won SU and ATS
2012 9ers won SU lost ATS on the closing line , line opened -3.4 they won by 4. The 3.5 and 4 were easily available, the line mover to 4.5 very close to game time , I think only on game day. I did post 9ers here on site -4 and pushed but did make a bert bet 2cd half play after 9ers trailed at half.
2010 Packers, won SU and ATS
And now add the Jags to those teams
we also had one home team dog as a PR I favorite, 2000 Giants +3 , Giants -6.39 over Vikings, won easily .
9ers and 2010 Packers were both road team favorites
2000 Ravens +6.5
2002 Bucs +4.5
we had a 6 pt diff to closing line on both Ravens and Bucs and on 2000 Giants as well, but not on 2012 9ers or 2010 Packers.
a small sample but consider last weeks round, road team fav by my lines was 5-1-1 ATS coming in and 6-1-1 ATS now combined with this rounds 4-1-1 ATS IS 10-2-1 ATS counting 2000 Giants, 9-2-1 with just road teams.
Every team won SU.
I would not bet against the Jags this weekend, possible SU win.
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We have 1 play on Jags with PR I........................
Jags +8 over Pats --- 11 units
we have Jags at +9 as posted under bonus pts when line began dropping but I did not post it here so I will post the line available now