0-1 ( -1.1 units)
Damn Giants get tackled at the 1 on an interception and fail to punch it in on the GL, settling for a TD and falling 4 points from the over. Going to be that kind of year.
PATRIOTS -6 (1 UNITS)
Hate to say it as a Jets fan but the Patriots might be as good on offense this season as they were in 2007. They are going to be very hard to contain this season and nearly impossible to shut down. NE run defense was suprising strong last season and I just can't see Jake Locker beat them through the air without Britt. I think after the dust clears NE will be the talk of the NFL.
SAINTS -8 (1 UNITS)
I agree with almost everything that was posted and now that the suspensions are reversed I think the Saints are even more motivated to go out there and make some noise.
PANTHERS -3 (1 UNITS)
Bucs are banged up and DeWilliams and Tolbert should more than compensate for the loss of Stewart. Lot of talk about Freeman emerging at QB but Cam is the real deal. Should be a close one (and part of me just wants to root on Cam) but I think the Panthers are the better team here
EAGLES -10.5 (1 UNITS)
Something about that .5 scares the shit out of me but I think this is going to be the year the Eagles breakout and play like the team we thought they would be last year. Rookie QB against that pash rush, Rookie RB who has been banged up all preseason. They might struggle to get 10 points. While CLE defense is solid Vick and Shady should put points on the board.
I see the Jets are a favorite on this thread. As a general rule I never bet on the Jets since I am a Jet fan and when they lose I feel like I lost twice. However I am w/Andy. The offense will struggle and it is the huge hole at RT that is the cause. Sanchez is not an effective passer under pressure (not many QB are to be fair) and Tebow is not Michael Vick. If they can establish the run and stay on the field for chunks of time and rest their defense which looks very very good, then I think they should win this game by a TD at most. If we get a lot of 3 and outs and turnovers the D will get shreaded. Key in this one is the OLine and Greene.
GL Everyone
0-1 ( -1.1 units)
Damn Giants get tackled at the 1 on an interception and fail to punch it in on the GL, settling for a TD and falling 4 points from the over. Going to be that kind of year.
PATRIOTS -6 (1 UNITS)
Hate to say it as a Jets fan but the Patriots might be as good on offense this season as they were in 2007. They are going to be very hard to contain this season and nearly impossible to shut down. NE run defense was suprising strong last season and I just can't see Jake Locker beat them through the air without Britt. I think after the dust clears NE will be the talk of the NFL.
SAINTS -8 (1 UNITS)
I agree with almost everything that was posted and now that the suspensions are reversed I think the Saints are even more motivated to go out there and make some noise.
PANTHERS -3 (1 UNITS)
Bucs are banged up and DeWilliams and Tolbert should more than compensate for the loss of Stewart. Lot of talk about Freeman emerging at QB but Cam is the real deal. Should be a close one (and part of me just wants to root on Cam) but I think the Panthers are the better team here
EAGLES -10.5 (1 UNITS)
Something about that .5 scares the shit out of me but I think this is going to be the year the Eagles breakout and play like the team we thought they would be last year. Rookie QB against that pash rush, Rookie RB who has been banged up all preseason. They might struggle to get 10 points. While CLE defense is solid Vick and Shady should put points on the board.
I see the Jets are a favorite on this thread. As a general rule I never bet on the Jets since I am a Jet fan and when they lose I feel like I lost twice. However I am w/Andy. The offense will struggle and it is the huge hole at RT that is the cause. Sanchez is not an effective passer under pressure (not many QB are to be fair) and Tebow is not Michael Vick. If they can establish the run and stay on the field for chunks of time and rest their defense which looks very very good, then I think they should win this game by a TD at most. If we get a lot of 3 and outs and turnovers the D will get shreaded. Key in this one is the OLine and Greene.
GL Everyone
Got a busy night ahead of me, so this might be my only time to post.
Saints -8. Snoozed on line, but I'm confident they cover anyway. With or without some key defensive members(Hawthrone, Lofton, Greer). Nothing really to say that hasn't been already said.
Jets -3/-2.5. I locked Jets originally when it hit 3, but it was one of those "circle" games and 100 was the limit. Added another 50 at -2.5 to complete the unit(and make me feel warm inside that I didn't get totally pawned on that line). Defense shuts down the Bills and grinds out an easy win.
Arizona +3. I know Seattle getting a lot of hype(deservedly so as they did some good things last year, built it into this preseason, and also possibly stumbled onto a good QB), but rookie QB making his first start on the road LAYING points?? Not my bag. Besides that, I can make an argument Arizona is the all around better team. Problems at QB hurt that argument, but I like their DL(all fat mean muhfuckas), their LB are all aggressive fast guys(I don't think Wilson has ever seen the speed these guys are gonna bring to the table), and the secondary is a decent group of veterans. Arizona has a special teams edge too(stop me if I'm wrong; left my notes at work). I'll take the home dog with who I believe is the better team.
Cincinnati +7. I don't think the Bungals are getting the respect they deserve after last year. With a rookie QB, they came pretty close to moving deep into the playoffs. They return a similar squad. They have the CB's to disrupt Flacco and his no huddle horseshit, they have a mean DL, a few weapons for Dalton to work with(Dalton another guy who gets no respect; all he did in TCU and Cincy was WIN). I'll take the TD and hope this doesn't turn into a fucking shootout.
Denver -2. Read Andy's initial post. That says it all. Pitt due for a down year, Big Ben talking about missing the game if his wife has baby, defense a year older, key injuries, blah blah blah.
All offseason, I had GB circled. I was planning on letting it drop down to the -4 area once the SF hype started, and then pounding them.......can't seem to pull the trigger though.
Lots of big dogs this week and I have a feeling a bunch of them cover. Looking at them though, it's tough to pick with all the baby QB's out there. People see Brady, Ben, Matt Ryan, Newton and think that all young QB magically are players right off the bat. That's not the case though. QB's need time to mature and let the game come to them, so putting my money on ANY of them is bothersome. First look was the HOME team, but Cleveland just looks like a festering infected wound.
Miami +13 is intriuhing. I can see this being a 23-13 kind of game. Rams +9 or so is also interesting as Bradford has shown some potential before(unlike the rooks getting trotted out everywhere else). Bradford has an okay running game to work with, Gibson and Amendola are serviceable, and coach Fisher brings some stability behind the scenes. Lions can score(in bunches), but no one ever said their defense was anything special. Bradford puts up 24, and that might be enough for the cover.
Tennessee I liked initally, but I'm staying away. Too much of a "wise guy" pick for me. It's like that piece of shit horse that takes insane money in the Kentucky Derby each year that always shits the bed. Bunch of braindead fools that THINK they are sharp because they are going against the public, and it rarely works out. That what the Titans feel like to me. Some wise guy pick. I ain't fucking with Tom Brady.
Looking at JAX +3.5/4 as well. Jax very sneakily had a good defense last year. Considering how putrid the offense was, their overall numbers were more than impressive. The superior dfefense in a game like this might set the tone and cruise.
Anyway GL to all. Jets, Saints, Denver, Zona, and Cincy are all locked and loaded. Might add one of those dogs tomorrwo(most likely Jax or St Lou), but card is mostly intact. Andy great thread as always.
Got a busy night ahead of me, so this might be my only time to post.
Saints -8. Snoozed on line, but I'm confident they cover anyway. With or without some key defensive members(Hawthrone, Lofton, Greer). Nothing really to say that hasn't been already said.
Jets -3/-2.5. I locked Jets originally when it hit 3, but it was one of those "circle" games and 100 was the limit. Added another 50 at -2.5 to complete the unit(and make me feel warm inside that I didn't get totally pawned on that line). Defense shuts down the Bills and grinds out an easy win.
Arizona +3. I know Seattle getting a lot of hype(deservedly so as they did some good things last year, built it into this preseason, and also possibly stumbled onto a good QB), but rookie QB making his first start on the road LAYING points?? Not my bag. Besides that, I can make an argument Arizona is the all around better team. Problems at QB hurt that argument, but I like their DL(all fat mean muhfuckas), their LB are all aggressive fast guys(I don't think Wilson has ever seen the speed these guys are gonna bring to the table), and the secondary is a decent group of veterans. Arizona has a special teams edge too(stop me if I'm wrong; left my notes at work). I'll take the home dog with who I believe is the better team.
Cincinnati +7. I don't think the Bungals are getting the respect they deserve after last year. With a rookie QB, they came pretty close to moving deep into the playoffs. They return a similar squad. They have the CB's to disrupt Flacco and his no huddle horseshit, they have a mean DL, a few weapons for Dalton to work with(Dalton another guy who gets no respect; all he did in TCU and Cincy was WIN). I'll take the TD and hope this doesn't turn into a fucking shootout.
Denver -2. Read Andy's initial post. That says it all. Pitt due for a down year, Big Ben talking about missing the game if his wife has baby, defense a year older, key injuries, blah blah blah.
All offseason, I had GB circled. I was planning on letting it drop down to the -4 area once the SF hype started, and then pounding them.......can't seem to pull the trigger though.
Lots of big dogs this week and I have a feeling a bunch of them cover. Looking at them though, it's tough to pick with all the baby QB's out there. People see Brady, Ben, Matt Ryan, Newton and think that all young QB magically are players right off the bat. That's not the case though. QB's need time to mature and let the game come to them, so putting my money on ANY of them is bothersome. First look was the HOME team, but Cleveland just looks like a festering infected wound.
Miami +13 is intriuhing. I can see this being a 23-13 kind of game. Rams +9 or so is also interesting as Bradford has shown some potential before(unlike the rooks getting trotted out everywhere else). Bradford has an okay running game to work with, Gibson and Amendola are serviceable, and coach Fisher brings some stability behind the scenes. Lions can score(in bunches), but no one ever said their defense was anything special. Bradford puts up 24, and that might be enough for the cover.
Tennessee I liked initally, but I'm staying away. Too much of a "wise guy" pick for me. It's like that piece of shit horse that takes insane money in the Kentucky Derby each year that always shits the bed. Bunch of braindead fools that THINK they are sharp because they are going against the public, and it rarely works out. That what the Titans feel like to me. Some wise guy pick. I ain't fucking with Tom Brady.
Looking at JAX +3.5/4 as well. Jax very sneakily had a good defense last year. Considering how putrid the offense was, their overall numbers were more than impressive. The superior dfefense in a game like this might set the tone and cruise.
Anyway GL to all. Jets, Saints, Denver, Zona, and Cincy are all locked and loaded. Might add one of those dogs tomorrwo(most likely Jax or St Lou), but card is mostly intact. Andy great thread as always.
Thanks for the extensive right ups. It's greatly appreciated. I've got 2.2 units on a three team teaser.
Houston -2.5
Philadelphia +.5
N.O. +2.5
You guys pretty well covered most of the salient points on these games.
Like you guys I'm looking at the JETS as the line has been driven down to 2.5 from 6.0. Just off memory I remember reading that the JETS are 7-1 SUP against the BILLS and have won all those games by more than 3 points. LY the Bills were 9.5 dogs in NY but this year are going off around 2.5. Really, has this match up swung by a touchdown so quickly. I think Mario Williams will make everyone on the BUF defense better but it's early and the BILLS are still implementing a new defensive system. This should be a very interesting game.
If you want to talk about teams regressing, how about the LIONS. It seems as an organization they lack maturity and might have a tough time duplicating their success of last year. If I was going to play one of those DOGS tomorrow I'd look at the RAMS. The Lions are banged up in the secondary, which isn't their strength, and you should check the status of Delmas and Houston. Just the fact they brought in Drayton Florence this week and were thinking about starting him should tell you about their DB depth.
Anyways, I gotta run. Good luck on the season and once again thanks a lot for taking the time to produce the detailed right ups.
Thanks for the extensive right ups. It's greatly appreciated. I've got 2.2 units on a three team teaser.
Houston -2.5
Philadelphia +.5
N.O. +2.5
You guys pretty well covered most of the salient points on these games.
Like you guys I'm looking at the JETS as the line has been driven down to 2.5 from 6.0. Just off memory I remember reading that the JETS are 7-1 SUP against the BILLS and have won all those games by more than 3 points. LY the Bills were 9.5 dogs in NY but this year are going off around 2.5. Really, has this match up swung by a touchdown so quickly. I think Mario Williams will make everyone on the BUF defense better but it's early and the BILLS are still implementing a new defensive system. This should be a very interesting game.
If you want to talk about teams regressing, how about the LIONS. It seems as an organization they lack maturity and might have a tough time duplicating their success of last year. If I was going to play one of those DOGS tomorrow I'd look at the RAMS. The Lions are banged up in the secondary, which isn't their strength, and you should check the status of Delmas and Houston. Just the fact they brought in Drayton Florence this week and were thinking about starting him should tell you about their DB depth.
Anyways, I gotta run. Good luck on the season and once again thanks a lot for taking the time to produce the detailed right ups.
0-1 ( -1.1 units)
Damn Giants get tackled at the 1 on an interception and fail to punch it in on the GL, settling for a TD and falling 4 points from the over. Going to be that kind of year.
0-1 ( -1.1 units)
Damn Giants get tackled at the 1 on an interception and fail to punch it in on the GL, settling for a TD and falling 4 points from the over. Going to be that kind of year.
Got a busy night ahead of me, so this might be my only time to post.
Got a busy night ahead of me, so this might be my only time to post.
Thanks for the extensive right ups. It's greatly appreciated. I've got 2.2 units on a three team teaser.
Houston -2.5
Philadelphia +.5
N.O. +2.5
You guys pretty well covered most of the salient points on these games.
Like you guys I'm looking at the JETS as the line has been driven down to 2.5 from 6.0. Just off memory I remember reading that the JETS are 7-1 SUP against the BILLS and have won all those games by more than 3 points. LY the Bills were 9.5 dogs in NY but this year are going off around 2.5. Really, has this match up swung by a touchdown so quickly. I think Mario Williams will make everyone on the BUF defense better but it's early and the BILLS are still implementing a new defensive system. This should be a very interesting game.
If you want to talk about teams regressing, how about the LIONS. It seems as an organization they lack maturity and might have a tough time duplicating their success of last year. If I was going to play one of those DOGS tomorrow I'd look at the RAMS. The Lions are banged up in the secondary, which isn't their strength, and you should check the status of Delmas and Houston. Just the fact they brought in Drayton Florence this week and were thinking about starting him should tell you about their DB depth.
Anyways, I gotta run. Good luck on the season and once again thanks a lot for taking the time to produce the detailed right ups.
Thanks for the extensive right ups. It's greatly appreciated. I've got 2.2 units on a three team teaser.
Houston -2.5
Philadelphia +.5
N.O. +2.5
You guys pretty well covered most of the salient points on these games.
Like you guys I'm looking at the JETS as the line has been driven down to 2.5 from 6.0. Just off memory I remember reading that the JETS are 7-1 SUP against the BILLS and have won all those games by more than 3 points. LY the Bills were 9.5 dogs in NY but this year are going off around 2.5. Really, has this match up swung by a touchdown so quickly. I think Mario Williams will make everyone on the BUF defense better but it's early and the BILLS are still implementing a new defensive system. This should be a very interesting game.
If you want to talk about teams regressing, how about the LIONS. It seems as an organization they lack maturity and might have a tough time duplicating their success of last year. If I was going to play one of those DOGS tomorrow I'd look at the RAMS. The Lions are banged up in the secondary, which isn't their strength, and you should check the status of Delmas and Houston. Just the fact they brought in Drayton Florence this week and were thinking about starting him should tell you about their DB depth.
Anyways, I gotta run. Good luck on the season and once again thanks a lot for taking the time to produce the detailed right ups.
GL buddy
I haven't locked in a bet in over 3 months but I'm dipping my toes back in the water with some very very small plays
Bears -9.5 (Motivated defense, they remember what Tebow did to them another rookie qb last year, bitter end to last year with 4 losses, Indy has a bad line, and bears got lambeau on deck so they know they gotta wrap this game up)
Jags ML (great run D, great pass D, I'm expecting their pass rush to improve, Mularkey is not putting pressure on the team and everyone on their will play loose and with a fire, MJD has a better game than Peterson who's banged up and taking away from Gerhart's carries)
Chiefs +2.5 (Motivated team after last year's home opener blowout, injuries ruined their year last year, sure they are missing flowers but routt brings toughness and Berry's a stud, Johnson's activated they man up and bring it)
Browns +10 (Already played Eagles in preseason at home, it took them a half to settle down and get over the jitters of playing a talented team like this, Richardson will do well against the Eagles run D even though Ryan is in, and the Browns have good O-line to slow down the Eagles rush, and Haden and the two-ex Eagles in Brown and Sheppard should do fine, Vick's fragile)
Bears-Bills 7pt Teaser
GL buddy
I haven't locked in a bet in over 3 months but I'm dipping my toes back in the water with some very very small plays
Bears -9.5 (Motivated defense, they remember what Tebow did to them another rookie qb last year, bitter end to last year with 4 losses, Indy has a bad line, and bears got lambeau on deck so they know they gotta wrap this game up)
Jags ML (great run D, great pass D, I'm expecting their pass rush to improve, Mularkey is not putting pressure on the team and everyone on their will play loose and with a fire, MJD has a better game than Peterson who's banged up and taking away from Gerhart's carries)
Chiefs +2.5 (Motivated team after last year's home opener blowout, injuries ruined their year last year, sure they are missing flowers but routt brings toughness and Berry's a stud, Johnson's activated they man up and bring it)
Browns +10 (Already played Eagles in preseason at home, it took them a half to settle down and get over the jitters of playing a talented team like this, Richardson will do well against the Eagles run D even though Ryan is in, and the Browns have good O-line to slow down the Eagles rush, and Haden and the two-ex Eagles in Brown and Sheppard should do fine, Vick's fragile)
Bears-Bills 7pt Teaser
Nice week, Andy.
I'm gonna start digging into the NFL Short Cuts, and pop into your week 2 thread with some thoughts.
I'm starting to sour Cincy a bit. Not sure if I'm gonna juice the bet out(don't need any backfiring shenanigans this early in the season) though.
Nice week, Andy.
I'm gonna start digging into the NFL Short Cuts, and pop into your week 2 thread with some thoughts.
I'm starting to sour Cincy a bit. Not sure if I'm gonna juice the bet out(don't need any backfiring shenanigans this early in the season) though.
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