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[MLB Betting] Topic: Professor524 Offical Thread |
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/15/2012 2:06:33 AM
Really like Carpenter tomm, @2.00 (+100).
STL moneyline 1 unit
Sorry for lack of analysis, have to be up in 4 hours. Goodluck tomm everyone. |
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/15/2012 2:07:17 AM
1 unit.
GL |
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casanova27 |
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Posted: 10/15/2012 2:31:29 PM  |
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Lundegaard |
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Posted: 10/15/2012 2:44:29 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align: not really.. I use several of the main ones to try and get a general idea. When they all say roughly the same thing its a fairly good indication where the public is betting.
Pregame, vegas insider, sports insights, and I also look to see where the Covers "public" is at on the matchup pages
sbrodds. use classic format.
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/15/2012 4:28:24 PM
Using the internet to search is much more efficient but harder for me. I am "old school" as you say. I love paper. I only started using the internet about 5 years ago regularly. Thanks for pointing me to the right sites. |
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PeterTheBeaver |
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Posted: 10/15/2012 11:56:38 PM
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/16/2012 12:48:44 AM
I think the game changed when STL had runner on 2nd with nobody out early. Oh well.
Manning was great. Surprised the total was so low.
Going to spend at least an hour on tomorrows game. Will post soon. Hope you had a good night.
STL vs. SF - STL ml - loss of 1 unit DEN vs. SD - Over 47.5 - win 0.93 Overall: -0.07
Record: OVERALL: +22.05 UNITS, +$2205, 19/29 Singles - 65.5% 2/2 for 3 game parlays - 100% 1/1 for 4 game parlay - 100% |
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/16/2012 1:05:58 AM
Going with the OVER 7 in the NYY vs. DET game (2.09, +109).
There is a lot of value on the Yanks as well so I am also take the NYY ml at +170 (2.7:1)
Also 1 correlated parlay: NYY ml + Over 7: 5.50:1 payout (+450)
This line is just ridiclous. Verlander is great, but I see 25-30% value here for NYY. NYY are not going to roll over.
Goodluck guys.
NYY ml @2.69:1 Over 7@2.09:1 Parlay both for 5:50:1 (+450) |
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/16/2012 1:06:34 AM |
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/16/2012 5:08:02 AM
Also adding World Cup Qualifier, England ml vs. Poland -110 - 1 unit on England and Germany Sweden over 3 goals -110 (3 is a push) for 1 unit.
GL |
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/16/2012 10:11:04 PM
Utah vs. LAL - Under 192.5 @ 1.90:1 - 1 unit Utah +5.5 (bought a point) - 1.75:1 - 1 unit
Goodluck guys! Game starts in 1 min, sorry about late post. |
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/17/2012 12:58:41 AM NYY ml @2.69:1 - loss of 1 unit Over 7@2.09:1 - loss of 1 unit Parlay both for 5:50:1 (+450) - loss of 1 unit Utah vs. LAL - Under 192.5 @ 1.90:1 - loss of 1 unit Utah +5.5 (bought a point) - 1.75:1 - win 0.75 units Germany Sweden over 3 goals -110 - win 0.90 units England vs. Poland - pending Oct 17
Record: OVERALL: +19.70 UNITS, +$1970, 21/35 Singles - 60% 0/1 for 2 game parlays - 0% 2/2 for 3 game parlays - 100% 1/1 for 4 game parlay - 100%
Well, despite losing the NYY bet, i loved the value. Was a good spot to take a small risk. Didn't work out and lost a unit on each play. Won the Over in Soccer (Germany vs. Sweeden) won the Utah bet vs. LAL, lost the under 192.5 by a shot last second. Oh well that's NBA.
Overall singles are 21/35, @ 60%. Which is still great, but I am not happy this past week losing a few bets. Will regroup and see where I went wrong. Going to stick to the plan as always. No chasing, standard 1 unit flat bets. No reason to change long term success. Hope everyone had better luck than me this past week.
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cardifkill |
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Posted: 10/17/2012 1:46:25 AM  |
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/17/2012 6:00:25 AM
STL ml @ 1.83 - 1 unit
DET ml @ 1.95 - 1 unit
2 game parlay DET ml + STL ml : 3.50:1, +250
GL everyone |
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/17/2012 5:51:22 PM
LA clippers -5.5 vs. Utah, bought half a point at 1.85:1 Dallas M -3.5 vs PHX @1.95 |
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/18/2012 2:25:58 AM
England vs. Poland - pending Oct 17 - Loss of 1 unit LA clippers -5.5 vs. Utah, bought half a point at 1.85:1 - loss of 1 unitDallas M -3.5 vs PHX @1.95 - loss of 1 unt STL ml @ 1.83 - 1 unit - win 0.83 units profit DET ml @ 1.95 - 1 unit - push 2 game parlay DET ml + STL ml : 3.50:1, +250 - Det push, Stl win - win (will count as a single) 0.83 profit
Record: OVERALL: +18.02 UNITS, +$1802, 23/40 Singles - 57.5% 0/1 for 2 game parlays - 0% 2/2 for 3 game parlays - 100% 1/1 for 4 game parlay - 100%
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WakeAndRake |
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Posted: 10/18/2012 4:42:14 AM
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/18/2012 6:54:15 PM
17mph blowing out to center field. Solid .300+ averages of both teams Bottom of order hitting hits above average as well.
I RARELY do this, but I am putting 5 units on this play.
SF. vs. STL OVER 7
Goodluck everyone. I thought about changing it to 8.5, but because of so many units at risk, going to leave it at 7 @ -112 (1.88) Pinny line.
Please note as I have said I play 1 unit per play 98% of the time, but once in a while, you see a solid play, it's ok to risk a little more. Little meaning max 5 units. Not ALL in or half your bankroll. 5 units is 10% of my roll. Very rare for me, but this game met 20/20 of my capping conditions.
GL
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/18/2012 11:00:35 PM
I will stick to MLB and NHL now. Really hoping NHL returns soon. I am not much of an NFL capper yet.
Congrats to all that tailed.
SF. vs. STL - Over 7 - @1.88 - Win +4.4 Units profit
Record: OVERALL: +22.42 UNITS, +$2242 24/41 Singles - 58.5% 0/1 for 2 game parlays - 0% 2/2 for 3 game parlays - 100% 1/1 for 4 game parlay - 100% |
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MuggsyBogues |
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Posted: 10/18/2012 11:02:48 PM
Perhaps some other time
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/18/2012 11:15:50 PM
If anyone needs some advice in capping, statics and dynamics or fluid mechanics, give me a shout.
Thank you, Professor524 |
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PeterTheBeaver |
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Posted: 10/19/2012 12:28:05 AM
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/19/2012 3:32:53 PM
Peter that is great. Please please finish your degree no matter what. Bet for fun and focus on your education. Great job getting to year 4, any engineering discipline is tough.
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/19/2012 3:38:10 PM
The line is at 1.88 at Pinnacle for the OVER 7.5 Stl SF tonight. Giants ML is excellent value. STL line getting pounded. This price is silly considering Lynn has not done too well vs. this Giants lineup.
Therefor my bet tonight is this:
1 Unit on SF ml @ 2.49 1 Unit on the Over 7.5@1.88 1 Unit on a parlay of SF ml and the Over 7.5 @ 4.68:1 (+368)
3 units total Goodluck guys.
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Professor524 |
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Posted: 10/20/2012 6:16:35 PM 1 Unit on SF ml @ 2.49 - WIN +1.49 units profit 1 Unit on the Over 7.5@1.88 - lose 1 unit 1 Unit on a parlay of SF ml and the Over 7.5 @ 4.68:1 (+368) - lose 1 unit
Too bad Stl could not hit up Zito, would have been profitable night, oh well.
OVERALL: +21.91 UNITS, +$2191 25/43 Singles - 58.1% 0/2 for 2 game parlays - 0% 2/2 for 3 game parlays - 100% 1/1 for 4 game parlay - 100% |
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