UCLA -15.5 over Rice. Bruins big advantage in talent & returning experience over Rice and a harder attitude under Mora. Do not believe UCLA will be 'soft' this year;
Mich. St -7 over Boise. This year's Boise team will be 1/2 as good as previous with only 3 returning offensive starters. Sparty has the best defense in the Big 10;
Bama - 11.5 over Michigan. Realizing Michigan is a good team and w/ DR anything can happen, Bama's superiority at the point of attack will cause them to dominate time of possession and pull away in second half for easy DD victory;
Florida - 29 over Bowling Green. I have my friend Jwheels to thank on this one - he forgot more about UF football than most of us will ever know. Basically, their defense this year has jelled and is deep, and BG doesn't have the athletes to contain their offense - Gators will score at will & dictate when BG does at will;
Ohio St -22.5 over Miami. First, Miami is not very good, and that's being charitable. Buckeyes have a lot of talent and maybe the best D1 HC, with apologies to Saban - a coin toss actually. Anything under 24 is money;
OU -30 over UTEP. Another spot I like due to overwhelming advantage in athletic talent and 'big game Bob's (what a misnomer!) propensity to run it up when he can to protect/enhance his poll position. OU should and will dominate a completely inferior team whose coach is on his last year and everyone knows it....
Lotta chalk, but big chalk does well week 1 as most of you know....
UCLA -15.5 over Rice. Bruins big advantage in talent & returning experience over Rice and a harder attitude under Mora. Do not believe UCLA will be 'soft' this year;
Mich. St -7 over Boise. This year's Boise team will be 1/2 as good as previous with only 3 returning offensive starters. Sparty has the best defense in the Big 10;
Bama - 11.5 over Michigan. Realizing Michigan is a good team and w/ DR anything can happen, Bama's superiority at the point of attack will cause them to dominate time of possession and pull away in second half for easy DD victory;
Florida - 29 over Bowling Green. I have my friend Jwheels to thank on this one - he forgot more about UF football than most of us will ever know. Basically, their defense this year has jelled and is deep, and BG doesn't have the athletes to contain their offense - Gators will score at will & dictate when BG does at will;
Ohio St -22.5 over Miami. First, Miami is not very good, and that's being charitable. Buckeyes have a lot of talent and maybe the best D1 HC, with apologies to Saban - a coin toss actually. Anything under 24 is money;
OU -30 over UTEP. Another spot I like due to overwhelming advantage in athletic talent and 'big game Bob's (what a misnomer!) propensity to run it up when he can to protect/enhance his poll position. OU should and will dominate a completely inferior team whose coach is on his last year and everyone knows it....
Lotta chalk, but big chalk does well week 1 as most of you know....
Texas A&M
finished last year with a disappointing 7-6 record and they were just
4-9 ATS last year. They lost their best player in Ryan Tannehill to the
NFL Draft and are going to struggle to replace him. Currently battling
for the spot are redshirt freshman Johnny Manziel, r-Fr Jameill Showers
(5 career pass attempts) and freshman Matt Davis. Inexperience will no
doubt be a factor for A&M QB's throughout this season, although it
may not show as badly until SEC play. On the offensive line, A&M
returns 95 career starts. They are very experienced on the O-line which
should protect the QB. they also return two good WR's in Ryan Swope and
Uzoma Nwachukwu, both had very productive seasons last year. swope had
1207 yds last year and Nwachukwu had 639. A&M has a r-Fr kicker.
On
D- A&M loses two 300lb D-Tackles. They also lose three in the
secondary that already struggled to defend the pass last year. They
should be ok at LB, with Three seniors returning, all with experience.
They have a Sophomore Punter. A&M also has a new coach in Kevin Sumlin, coming over from Houston.
LaTech
is returning Sr. QB Colby Cameron, who struggled last year and
eventually lost the job to ross Jenkins, who is no longer there. They
have a few other guys who will compete to push Cameron, and with the
return of 4 quality WR's, the QB play should get much better in 2012.
The 4 receivers of mention are Myles White, David Gru, DJ Banks (Tulane
Transfer), and Quinton Patton. each of these guys is capable of catching
passes for 1000 yards in the WAC this year. This is the best WR group
Sonny Dykes has had in three years at La Tech and the best in a while.
La La Tech also returns 92 career starts on the O-Line and 9 of the top
10 contributors. The o-line is very experienced and should give the QB
time to analyze any Defense A&M throws out there.
La
Tech will have a mediocre D-Line, which returns two starters. their
secondary will be solid, with the return of Chad Boyd and seniors Jamel
Johnson and Dave Clark. This Secondary should be better than last years,
although the numbers may not reflect that. The front four are going to
struggle to get pressure on the QB.
I
really feel like the in-experience of the QB for Texas A&M will
keep La Tech very much in this game. La Tech should be able to move the
football on offense and should put up points. Both QB's should be
protected with veteran O-Lines and drives should not stall because of
sacks or pressure picks. Texas A&M has put up 46,48 and 41 points
in their last three season openers. The last time they played La Tech,
the spread was 19 in favor of A&M and the final was 48-16 A&M.
If the o/u is around 58, i would lean over.
Texas A&M
finished last year with a disappointing 7-6 record and they were just
4-9 ATS last year. They lost their best player in Ryan Tannehill to the
NFL Draft and are going to struggle to replace him. Currently battling
for the spot are redshirt freshman Johnny Manziel, r-Fr Jameill Showers
(5 career pass attempts) and freshman Matt Davis. Inexperience will no
doubt be a factor for A&M QB's throughout this season, although it
may not show as badly until SEC play. On the offensive line, A&M
returns 95 career starts. They are very experienced on the O-line which
should protect the QB. they also return two good WR's in Ryan Swope and
Uzoma Nwachukwu, both had very productive seasons last year. swope had
1207 yds last year and Nwachukwu had 639. A&M has a r-Fr kicker.
On
D- A&M loses two 300lb D-Tackles. They also lose three in the
secondary that already struggled to defend the pass last year. They
should be ok at LB, with Three seniors returning, all with experience.
They have a Sophomore Punter. A&M also has a new coach in Kevin Sumlin, coming over from Houston.
LaTech
is returning Sr. QB Colby Cameron, who struggled last year and
eventually lost the job to ross Jenkins, who is no longer there. They
have a few other guys who will compete to push Cameron, and with the
return of 4 quality WR's, the QB play should get much better in 2012.
The 4 receivers of mention are Myles White, David Gru, DJ Banks (Tulane
Transfer), and Quinton Patton. each of these guys is capable of catching
passes for 1000 yards in the WAC this year. This is the best WR group
Sonny Dykes has had in three years at La Tech and the best in a while.
La La Tech also returns 92 career starts on the O-Line and 9 of the top
10 contributors. The o-line is very experienced and should give the QB
time to analyze any Defense A&M throws out there.
La
Tech will have a mediocre D-Line, which returns two starters. their
secondary will be solid, with the return of Chad Boyd and seniors Jamel
Johnson and Dave Clark. This Secondary should be better than last years,
although the numbers may not reflect that. The front four are going to
struggle to get pressure on the QB.
I
really feel like the in-experience of the QB for Texas A&M will
keep La Tech very much in this game. La Tech should be able to move the
football on offense and should put up points. Both QB's should be
protected with veteran O-Lines and drives should not stall because of
sacks or pressure picks. Texas A&M has put up 46,48 and 41 points
in their last three season openers. The last time they played La Tech,
the spread was 19 in favor of A&M and the final was 48-16 A&M.
If the o/u is around 58, i would lean over.
Arkansas State vs Oregon OVER 65 ***BREAKDOWN*** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This
will be my largest wager of Week 1 and the total comes in a full
touchdown lower than i projected it to be. Oregon returns 11 starters
overall (6o, 5d) including 65 career starts on the OL (8 of the top 10
back) and some very athletic receivers. I think Oregon will have no
issues on offense running their fast paced attack, and their ground game
will excel greatly in this matchup with ArkSt.
Defensively
Oregon is sporting a very highly touted defensive line, and an average
secondary with three of the top 5 guys back. they have very athletic
safeties, but are very inexperienced at corner, with two projected
sophomores as starters. they have solid special teams units and should
have several big plays with this unit on the field.
ArkSt
returns 4 yr starter Ryan Aplin at QB, and they are going to look to
spread the football around to a very experienced bevy of wide
receievers. they have Josh Jarboe, Taylor Stockemer, and some very
capable backups that should be able to expose oregons suspect corner
play. Ark St's Offensive line is very inexperienced and might struggle
to sustain drives after the 1st half, causing short fields and easy 2nd
Half oregon touchdowns.
Defensively ark state returns only 4
starters and have alot of holes to fill. they are looking to replace 3
starters on the DL and are using 4 guys who played NJUCO ball last year
to do so. at Linebacker, they lose thier top two and their secondary is
very inexperienced as they lose 3 all conference DB's. oregon should see
some BIG plays in the passing game after they establish an effective
run attack.
Initially i really liked arkansas state (projected
spread was 28.5, now 33) but i think oregon might overwhelm this team
and mistakes and unsustainable drives could lead to a very high scoring
day for oregon. I look for the ducks to put up at least 52 points in
this game, and if they score as quick as they have the last two years,
they might be in the 60's. similar to the game last year vs. nevada, BIG
plays, Turnovers, and short fields might lead to a blowout here.
Arkansas State vs Oregon OVER 65 ***BREAKDOWN*** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This
will be my largest wager of Week 1 and the total comes in a full
touchdown lower than i projected it to be. Oregon returns 11 starters
overall (6o, 5d) including 65 career starts on the OL (8 of the top 10
back) and some very athletic receivers. I think Oregon will have no
issues on offense running their fast paced attack, and their ground game
will excel greatly in this matchup with ArkSt.
Defensively
Oregon is sporting a very highly touted defensive line, and an average
secondary with three of the top 5 guys back. they have very athletic
safeties, but are very inexperienced at corner, with two projected
sophomores as starters. they have solid special teams units and should
have several big plays with this unit on the field.
ArkSt
returns 4 yr starter Ryan Aplin at QB, and they are going to look to
spread the football around to a very experienced bevy of wide
receievers. they have Josh Jarboe, Taylor Stockemer, and some very
capable backups that should be able to expose oregons suspect corner
play. Ark St's Offensive line is very inexperienced and might struggle
to sustain drives after the 1st half, causing short fields and easy 2nd
Half oregon touchdowns.
Defensively ark state returns only 4
starters and have alot of holes to fill. they are looking to replace 3
starters on the DL and are using 4 guys who played NJUCO ball last year
to do so. at Linebacker, they lose thier top two and their secondary is
very inexperienced as they lose 3 all conference DB's. oregon should see
some BIG plays in the passing game after they establish an effective
run attack.
Initially i really liked arkansas state (projected
spread was 28.5, now 33) but i think oregon might overwhelm this team
and mistakes and unsustainable drives could lead to a very high scoring
day for oregon. I look for the ducks to put up at least 52 points in
this game, and if they score as quick as they have the last two years,
they might be in the 60's. similar to the game last year vs. nevada, BIG
plays, Turnovers, and short fields might lead to a blowout here.
Arkansas State vs Oregon OVER 65 ***BREAKDOWN*** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This
will be my largest wager of Week 1 and the total comes in a full
touchdown lower than i projected it to be. Oregon returns 11 starters
overall (6o, 5d) including 65 career starts on the OL (8 of the top 10
back) and some very athletic receivers. I think Oregon will have no
issues on offense running their fast paced attack, and their ground game
will excel greatly in this matchup with ArkSt.
Defensively
Oregon is sporting a very highly touted defensive line, and an average
secondary with three of the top 5 guys back. they have very athletic
safeties, but are very inexperienced at corner, with two projected
sophomores as starters. they have solid special teams units and should
have several big plays with this unit on the field.
ArkSt
returns 4 yr starter Ryan Aplin at QB, and they are going to look to
spread the football around to a very experienced bevy of wide
receievers. they have Josh Jarboe, Taylor Stockemer, and some very
capable backups that should be able to expose oregons suspect corner
play. Ark St's Offensive line is very inexperienced and might struggle
to sustain drives after the 1st half, causing short fields and easy 2nd
Half oregon touchdowns.
Defensively ark state returns only 4
starters and have alot of holes to fill. they are looking to replace 3
starters on the DL and are using 4 guys who played NJUCO ball last year
to do so. at Linebacker, they lose thier top two and their secondary is
very inexperienced as they lose 3 all conference DB's. oregon should see
some BIG plays in the passing game after they establish an effective
run attack.
Initially i really liked arkansas state (projected
spread was 28.5, now 33) but i think oregon might overwhelm this team
and mistakes and unsustainable drives could lead to a very high scoring
day for oregon. I look for the ducks to put up at least 52 points in
this game, and if they score as quick as they have the last two years,
they might be in the 60's. similar to the game last year vs. nevada, BIG
plays, Turnovers, and short fields might lead to a blowout here.
Arkansas State vs Oregon OVER 65 ***BREAKDOWN*** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This
will be my largest wager of Week 1 and the total comes in a full
touchdown lower than i projected it to be. Oregon returns 11 starters
overall (6o, 5d) including 65 career starts on the OL (8 of the top 10
back) and some very athletic receivers. I think Oregon will have no
issues on offense running their fast paced attack, and their ground game
will excel greatly in this matchup with ArkSt.
Defensively
Oregon is sporting a very highly touted defensive line, and an average
secondary with three of the top 5 guys back. they have very athletic
safeties, but are very inexperienced at corner, with two projected
sophomores as starters. they have solid special teams units and should
have several big plays with this unit on the field.
ArkSt
returns 4 yr starter Ryan Aplin at QB, and they are going to look to
spread the football around to a very experienced bevy of wide
receievers. they have Josh Jarboe, Taylor Stockemer, and some very
capable backups that should be able to expose oregons suspect corner
play. Ark St's Offensive line is very inexperienced and might struggle
to sustain drives after the 1st half, causing short fields and easy 2nd
Half oregon touchdowns.
Defensively ark state returns only 4
starters and have alot of holes to fill. they are looking to replace 3
starters on the DL and are using 4 guys who played NJUCO ball last year
to do so. at Linebacker, they lose thier top two and their secondary is
very inexperienced as they lose 3 all conference DB's. oregon should see
some BIG plays in the passing game after they establish an effective
run attack.
Initially i really liked arkansas state (projected
spread was 28.5, now 33) but i think oregon might overwhelm this team
and mistakes and unsustainable drives could lead to a very high scoring
day for oregon. I look for the ducks to put up at least 52 points in
this game, and if they score as quick as they have the last two years,
they might be in the 60's. similar to the game last year vs. nevada, BIG
plays, Turnovers, and short fields might lead to a blowout here.
Jdnmoney - Wow! Huge props ... you should have a website and sell this stuff - excellent analysis my friend.
Can you get the over/under in Vegas on Oregon/ASU? I completely agree with you, BTW, I am from Arkansas and know for a fact that Mal will put up 21 on the Ducks. Oregon could cover the 65 almost by themselves on the Red Wolves' D. Easy money ....
Jdnmoney - Wow! Huge props ... you should have a website and sell this stuff - excellent analysis my friend.
Can you get the over/under in Vegas on Oregon/ASU? I completely agree with you, BTW, I am from Arkansas and know for a fact that Mal will put up 21 on the Ducks. Oregon could cover the 65 almost by themselves on the Red Wolves' D. Easy money ....
San Jose St
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
San Jose returns 6 starters on offense. they are breaking in a new QB,
but havent chosen a starter. the battle includes David Fales (juco),
dasmen Stewart (very athletic dual threat QB who is very elusive and
fast) and Blake Jurich (only a few attempts last year)
San Jose has physical RB Deloen Eskridge who transfered from the U. of
Minn. and produced very sucessful numbers in his 2 years playing for the
Goofs. (led team in rushing in 2010 and had almost 1200 career yds in
the B10.)
San jose returns a good group of WR led by Noel Grigsby who is a top
25-30 WR in college football. LY he had 89 catches for 889 and he had
882 yds in 2010 as a freshman. they also have chandler jones, jabari
carr and a stud TE in Ryan Otten. Ryan otten is an NFL Tight End at 6-5
245lbs and he is very versatile, catching passes for 750 yds LY and
contributing in the run game.
san jose returns 66 career starts on the OL (average) and are starting 3
Jrs. and 2 Srs. all with experience. while they dont have a starter
over 300 lbs on the OL, this group is quick and should allow for plenty
of big running plays around the outside. they are also very good in the
screen game.
San jose returns a Jr. Kicker, who was the supplementary kicker last
year going 2/5 on FGs but had a net 42.8 punting average. he will be
asked to do all of the kicking this year. on kickoffs, he had 8 TBs in
65 Kickoffs.
Defensively the spartans return 5 on D, and they have a very underrated
DL, which should have improved numbers. the Linebacking Corp. should be
solid as they return 2nd team WAC LB keith smith, along with their 2nd
leading tackler from LY in Vince Buhagiar.
the secondary for SJSU should be as good as last years team who only
allowed 221 Pass Yds per game. their top interception guy from last year
James Orth ( 4 picks, 50 int ret. yards) is back along with experienced
corner ronnie yell.
their punter is also thier placekicker and he avg. 42.8 on the net punting average LY.
Stanford.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
stanford returns 6 starters on offense and 7 on Defense.
they obviously lose andrew luck, and look to replace him with Brett
Nottingham. (5-8 LY with a TD pass and 78 yds.) Nottingham is unproven
as he only played in garbage time.
stanford used a RB by committee last year, but are going to make Stepfan
Taylor the feature back this year. he had 242 carries for 1333 last
year and 10 tds.
stanford loses their top 4 pass catchers from last year and their
leading returning catcher is their full back ryan Hewett (34 catches,
282 yds. also they return a solid TE in Zach Ertz (27 catches for 343)
but this is a very inexperienced unit overall and should have
significantly less production with the new QB and i would expect minimal
continuity right away.
the offensive line for stanford is down their two best OL from last year
and only return 37 career starts (weak). this OL will undoubtably give
up more sacks this year and thier run average should suffer as well, as
their heaviest OL is 308.
the stanford DL has 2 starters back and should be as productive as they
were last season. the LB corp returns Jarek Lancaster and Shayne Skov.
they do lose two of thier top 3 tacklers from LY but should have no
problem in the P12 sustaining their defensive numbers, although i look
for thier run stopping production to decrease.
the stanford secondary is very inexperienced and they project to start a
guy at corner in wayne lyons who has never played a snap in college.
they lose a 1st team all P12 corner in Delano howell, and their numbers
should be about what they were last year in the secondary ( 61.7% comp.
percentage, only 3 picks!!)
stanford returns a senior punter and a very solid sophomore kicker.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
my take on the game:
i truely believe stanford will come back down to reality this year. in
this game, san jose should be able to load 8 in the box and dare the new
QB to beat them, with inexperienced WR's. i think stanford will score,
but they will be long, methodical drives and some might stall and
result in FG's. I think San jose will suprise many this year with a very
improved offense that should spread the ball around nicely to 4-5 WR's.
( who should all have 30+ catches as seasons end, even with grigsby
getting 90+)
i think the spread is way too high. stanford should score about 35 in
this game, but i think sanjose will score enough to cover the number. i
think the 1st half will be extremely low scoring and with both teams
having solid punters, field position will be at a premium.
I like San Jose State +25.5 in this matchup and will call for a 35-16 final.
San Jose St
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
San Jose returns 6 starters on offense. they are breaking in a new QB,
but havent chosen a starter. the battle includes David Fales (juco),
dasmen Stewart (very athletic dual threat QB who is very elusive and
fast) and Blake Jurich (only a few attempts last year)
San Jose has physical RB Deloen Eskridge who transfered from the U. of
Minn. and produced very sucessful numbers in his 2 years playing for the
Goofs. (led team in rushing in 2010 and had almost 1200 career yds in
the B10.)
San jose returns a good group of WR led by Noel Grigsby who is a top
25-30 WR in college football. LY he had 89 catches for 889 and he had
882 yds in 2010 as a freshman. they also have chandler jones, jabari
carr and a stud TE in Ryan Otten. Ryan otten is an NFL Tight End at 6-5
245lbs and he is very versatile, catching passes for 750 yds LY and
contributing in the run game.
san jose returns 66 career starts on the OL (average) and are starting 3
Jrs. and 2 Srs. all with experience. while they dont have a starter
over 300 lbs on the OL, this group is quick and should allow for plenty
of big running plays around the outside. they are also very good in the
screen game.
San jose returns a Jr. Kicker, who was the supplementary kicker last
year going 2/5 on FGs but had a net 42.8 punting average. he will be
asked to do all of the kicking this year. on kickoffs, he had 8 TBs in
65 Kickoffs.
Defensively the spartans return 5 on D, and they have a very underrated
DL, which should have improved numbers. the Linebacking Corp. should be
solid as they return 2nd team WAC LB keith smith, along with their 2nd
leading tackler from LY in Vince Buhagiar.
the secondary for SJSU should be as good as last years team who only
allowed 221 Pass Yds per game. their top interception guy from last year
James Orth ( 4 picks, 50 int ret. yards) is back along with experienced
corner ronnie yell.
their punter is also thier placekicker and he avg. 42.8 on the net punting average LY.
Stanford.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
stanford returns 6 starters on offense and 7 on Defense.
they obviously lose andrew luck, and look to replace him with Brett
Nottingham. (5-8 LY with a TD pass and 78 yds.) Nottingham is unproven
as he only played in garbage time.
stanford used a RB by committee last year, but are going to make Stepfan
Taylor the feature back this year. he had 242 carries for 1333 last
year and 10 tds.
stanford loses their top 4 pass catchers from last year and their
leading returning catcher is their full back ryan Hewett (34 catches,
282 yds. also they return a solid TE in Zach Ertz (27 catches for 343)
but this is a very inexperienced unit overall and should have
significantly less production with the new QB and i would expect minimal
continuity right away.
the offensive line for stanford is down their two best OL from last year
and only return 37 career starts (weak). this OL will undoubtably give
up more sacks this year and thier run average should suffer as well, as
their heaviest OL is 308.
the stanford DL has 2 starters back and should be as productive as they
were last season. the LB corp returns Jarek Lancaster and Shayne Skov.
they do lose two of thier top 3 tacklers from LY but should have no
problem in the P12 sustaining their defensive numbers, although i look
for thier run stopping production to decrease.
the stanford secondary is very inexperienced and they project to start a
guy at corner in wayne lyons who has never played a snap in college.
they lose a 1st team all P12 corner in Delano howell, and their numbers
should be about what they were last year in the secondary ( 61.7% comp.
percentage, only 3 picks!!)
stanford returns a senior punter and a very solid sophomore kicker.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
my take on the game:
i truely believe stanford will come back down to reality this year. in
this game, san jose should be able to load 8 in the box and dare the new
QB to beat them, with inexperienced WR's. i think stanford will score,
but they will be long, methodical drives and some might stall and
result in FG's. I think San jose will suprise many this year with a very
improved offense that should spread the ball around nicely to 4-5 WR's.
( who should all have 30+ catches as seasons end, even with grigsby
getting 90+)
i think the spread is way too high. stanford should score about 35 in
this game, but i think sanjose will score enough to cover the number. i
think the 1st half will be extremely low scoring and with both teams
having solid punters, field position will be at a premium.
I like San Jose State +25.5 in this matchup and will call for a 35-16 final.
you would think that the over in Oregon is great bet BUT Arky St. is an average team, i doubt they put up more than 10-14 on Oregon, which has their best defense there in years. Also, Oregon breaks in new qb, their strength is in their backfield which will keep the clocking running. No reason or need to be too flashy in this game. I think you need either a defensive td or special teams score to hit the over..48-13 Ducks
you would think that the over in Oregon is great bet BUT Arky St. is an average team, i doubt they put up more than 10-14 on Oregon, which has their best defense there in years. Also, Oregon breaks in new qb, their strength is in their backfield which will keep the clocking running. No reason or need to be too flashy in this game. I think you need either a defensive td or special teams score to hit the over..48-13 Ducks
JD - you are correct here. ASU will score 3 Tds on Oregaon. I said it. I'll eat crow if I'm wrong. Why? Chip doesn't care (that much) if the opponent scores.. I don't care what he says on ESPN, as long as he wins, preferably by a big margin, he's fine. Can't blame him on that.
Gus, OTOH, his whole career is predicated on offense scoring no matter what. And he is smart enough to do it. Ar State will score on Oregon -- more than any of us think they will. But they cannot stop Oregon; their defense will not be able to handle Oregon's speed. So the over is the correct play & and you are smart to make it your top pick.
My only question is (to you or anyone on covers), can you get the over in Vegas? :)
JD - you are correct here. ASU will score 3 Tds on Oregaon. I said it. I'll eat crow if I'm wrong. Why? Chip doesn't care (that much) if the opponent scores.. I don't care what he says on ESPN, as long as he wins, preferably by a big margin, he's fine. Can't blame him on that.
Gus, OTOH, his whole career is predicated on offense scoring no matter what. And he is smart enough to do it. Ar State will score on Oregon -- more than any of us think they will. But they cannot stop Oregon; their defense will not be able to handle Oregon's speed. So the over is the correct play & and you are smart to make it your top pick.
My only question is (to you or anyone on covers), can you get the over in Vegas? :)
very strong card. I will most likely play each one except Florida. I just dont like their QB situation but I think at worst this card goes 5-1 with FL as the only non cover. I was kinda nervous about Oklahomas offensive line personally and they just had another DLineman get suspended indefinately this season but hey at the end of the day its still UTEP and they should put a supreme ass whoopin on them week 1. UCLA will be stoked to whoop some ass under Jim Mora. Also loving the Oregon over courtesy to JDN for his extremely accurate prediction in that game. Braxton Miller will step up to the plate week 1 and I think that line may be a tad bit low. ANything under 24 should be good money BOL
very strong card. I will most likely play each one except Florida. I just dont like their QB situation but I think at worst this card goes 5-1 with FL as the only non cover. I was kinda nervous about Oklahomas offensive line personally and they just had another DLineman get suspended indefinately this season but hey at the end of the day its still UTEP and they should put a supreme ass whoopin on them week 1. UCLA will be stoked to whoop some ass under Jim Mora. Also loving the Oregon over courtesy to JDN for his extremely accurate prediction in that game. Braxton Miller will step up to the plate week 1 and I think that line may be a tad bit low. ANything under 24 should be good money BOL
Redbook - I don't know how you got that stat but major props to you for getting it! -- I was going anectdotally (is that a word?:)
What is the ATS record of Week 1 chalk of 30 points or more (over any time period greater than 5 years from today)? If you have access to that stat, please provide as I am confident it will be more compelling than overall chalk.
Redbook - I don't know how you got that stat but major props to you for getting it! -- I was going anectdotally (is that a word?:)
What is the ATS record of Week 1 chalk of 30 points or more (over any time period greater than 5 years from today)? If you have access to that stat, please provide as I am confident it will be more compelling than overall chalk.
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