|Hey guys, sorry I've been absent in the playoffs. I did well, but didn't have time to post.
Posted: 11/1/2017 4:07:21 PM
The game now is difficult to prediction, but my lean.....a sort of weak lean.....is on the Dodgers:
Here are some important factors to consider:
*The Astros are 5-15 SU (+36% roi fade since Sep 18, 2016 as a road dog
*The Astros are 8-21 AGAINST since Sep 07, 2016 as a dog
*KEY SYSTEM: Since 2004, in the playoffs, a hot team off of 2+ straight wins in their last 3 games is 243-197 55.2% +50.57 units SU +9.1% roi when facing a cold team off of 2 or fewer wins in their last 3 games. (Take the Dodgers)
2 other pretty big systems FOR the Dodgers (systems, not trends)
...but then we have this beast of a system liking the Astros:
Since 2008, Championship Series or World Series teams off of a loss are 93-62 +29.58 units (+15.9% roi) SU...on the blind.
Although....if you dissect that one, it completely flips to 2-9 SU (+42.5% roi fade ML / +84.7% roi fade RL) looking only at World Series games, later in the series, road teams only averaging at least a half a run negative run per game SU margin in their last 4 games. The Astros fit that bill as a fade.