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September Dogs - Starting with $4k

Forum: MLB Betting Page 58 of 58 «  54 55 56 57 58  
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: September Dogs - Starting with $4k
plenty420 PM plenty420
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quote#1426
Posted: 10/6/2017 7:13:57 PM
Already on the Nats, I think i'll sprinkle the RL too.

BOL Herbs 
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#1427
Posted: 10/7/2017 1:54:03 PM
Chicago Cubs +115 
vs Washington Nationals
$98 to win $112.70

A Dog off of a a win as a dog where they scored 3 or fewer runs is 758-939 +82.07 units since 2004.

herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#1428
Posted: 10/15/2017 1:57:22 PM
Haven't been betting the playoffs much. Sweet hit on the Chargers though as 3.5 dogs last week in NFL. 

For today though in MLB I like this one, but go light or pass:

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.25 +124
vs Chicago Cubs
$154 to win $190.96 

  • TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2004, in the playoffs, a hot team off of 2+ straight wins in their last 3 games is 243-197 55.2% +50.57 units SU +9.1% roi when facing a cold team off of 2 or fewer wins in their last 3 games. Now at +56.88 units and active on the Dodgers today!

  • The Dodgers are 7-0 ON since Sep 24, 2017 at home

  • Since 2004, when favorites win in the playoffs, the runline is historically, the better option: 183-0 +64.2% roi for the ML vs. 106-38 +79.6% roi for the RL

dbasports PM dbasports
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quote#1429
Posted: 10/16/2017 12:22:17 AM
Pendo PM Pendo
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quote#1430
Posted: 10/16/2017 1:28:30 PM

Your winning ways never cease Herbals !!

herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#1431
Posted: 11/1/2017 4:07:21 PM
Hey guys, sorry I've been absent in the playoffs. I did well, but didn't have time to post.

The game now is difficult to prediction, but my lean.....a sort of weak lean.....is on the Dodgers:

Here are some important factors to consider:

*The Astros are 5-15 SU (+36% roi fade since Sep 18, 2016 as a road dog
*The Astros are 8-21 AGAINST since Sep 07, 2016 as a dog
*KEY SYSTEM: Since 2004, in the playoffs, a hot team off of 2+ straight wins in their last 3 games is 243-197 55.2% +50.57 units SU +9.1% roi when facing a cold team off of 2 or fewer wins in their last 3 games. (Take the Dodgers)
+
2 other pretty big systems FOR the Dodgers (systems, not trends)

...but then we have this beast of a system liking the Astros:
Since 2008, Championship Series or World Series teams off of a loss are 93-62 +29.58 units (+15.9% roi) SU...on the blind.

Although....if you dissect that one, it completely flips to 2-9 SU (+42.5% roi fade ML / +84.7% roi fade RL) looking only at World Series games, later in the series, road teams only averaging at least a half a run negative run per game SU margin in their last 4 games. The Astros fit that bill as a fade.


herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#1432
Posted: 11/1/2017 5:17:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:

 
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.25 +124 WINNER!
vs Chicago Cubs 
$154 to win $190.96 

Current Bankroll: $13,807.95
from $4000 (+245.20 units)

Sorry again, was afk for a while and never updated after that last win. That win brought the record to a new all time high for the thread (since 9/6/2012).

Whatever you bet, you doubled your money if you tailed all of it, and then some. MLB is coming to an end now, but I'll most likely be back next year doing the same thing here.
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#1433
Posted: 11/1/2017 6:15:54 PM
For today, I like the Dodgers, but really don't want to force a bet here. The Dodgers might be a trap and we're on the public side, so 

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.25 +116
vs Houston Astros
$15 to win $17.40

Small "Beer Money" Play
Read the writeup in the other post (2 back)
plenty420 PM plenty420
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quote#1434
Posted: 11/1/2017 6:31:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:

For today, I like the Dodgers, but really don't want to force a bet here. The Dodgers might be a trap and we're on the public side, so 

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.25 +116
vs Houston Astros
$15 to win $17.40

Small "Beer Money" Play
Read the writeup in the other post (2 back)
MONEYMISFITS PM MONEYMISFITS
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quote#1435
Posted: 11/1/2017 7:25:33 PM
you have no idea how happy i am to see you on my boys in blue 


cheers and good luck to the dodgers!!!!!!!
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#1436
Posted: 11/3/2017 2:00:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MONEYMISFITS:

you have no idea how happy i am to see you on my boys in blue 


cheers and good luck to the dodgers!!!!!!!

Glad it was Beer money :)  They tried....maybe :P

Season Ends!

Current Bankroll: $13,792.95
from $4000 (+244.82 units)

Started thread in 2013. 
Profit this season was +71.01 units 

See you all next year, hopefully in April 2018 we'll continue. First month is great for dogs traditionally.
zebrakiller PM zebrakiller
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quote#1437
Posted: 11/4/2017 2:34:36 AM
Forum: MLB Betting Page 58 of 58 «  54 55 56 57 58  
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