Alright, looking at some other games this weekend…
Jets -4 / 49’ers
Lucky for us the Jets took a loss week and the Niners won. Because, if it were the opposite, the line would be a lot higher and now we are getting some good value at Jets -4.
Two not statistical factors that lean me early to the Jet’s are “Favre” and the fact that they need to win and are in the playoff hunt still.
For
Now, looking at a 44% 3rd down conversion rate, the Jet’s will look to get a few more possession because the Niner’s bring in a poor 35% 3rd down conversion rate. This is a huge advantage for Jet’s as they will see more possessions, which even benefits their D by giving them more rest. San Fran is even allowing teams to convert 40% of the time on 3rd downs.
Another advantage for the Jet’s is that they are 2nd in the NFL in getting into the Redzone and when they do, they score a TD more than 50% of the time. That is huge. Defensivly, these two teams are about equal in the Redzone.
The side to be on here is the Jet’s
Other Pick Jet’s -4