-Buy the hook off the field goal
-Pick the right team
That's it. That's all you need to do.
If you pick a garbage/random game, the hook might matter, and that's where ur analysis definitely comes in handy.
EXACTLY !!
763-27 pushes = 736
736 GAMES winning 50% = 368 games won - 368 games lost- 27 pushes = a 50% W/L record.
Do the math......................................
$110 at -110 --- 368 wins = $36,800
368 losses = $40,480
27 pushes = $0.
Player not buying points and winning 50% = lost $3680
Player buying points would have the same 368 + 27 pushes that become wins for 395, he turns 31 losses into pushes.................368 -31 = 337 losses
his line -395 wins - 337 losses - 31 pushes
do the math..................................395 wins = $39500
337 losses at -120 = $40,440
he loses $940, much better to buy points.
You could also have both players bet equal amounts.....................
Player buying points, wins 395 games betting $110 at -120 = $32,915
337 losses at $110 each = $37,070
player betting same amount loses $4155.
Now the player not buying points come-out ahead, interesting...................
I quess the moral of the story is to lay the extra $ in juice, the player laying extra juice is also betting more so maybe that is why he comes-out ahead.
Son of a gun, I thought something wasn't right about the this.......................
Player buying points and betting the same amount $110 actually wins $36,208, not $32,915 as I posted in the other post.
The $32,915 is from betting $100 a game.
Therefore, player buying points loses $862 and comes-out ahead of player not buying points.
EXACTLY !!
763-27 pushes = 736
736 GAMES winning 50% = 368 games won - 368 games lost- 27 pushes = a 50% W/L record.
Do the math......................................
$110 at -110 --- 368 wins = $36,800
368 losses = $40,480
27 pushes = $0.
Player not buying points and winning 50% = lost $3680
Player buying points would have the same 368 + 27 pushes that become wins for 395, he turns 31 losses into pushes.................368 -31 = 337 losses
his line -395 wins - 337 losses - 31 pushes
do the math..................................395 wins = $39500
337 losses at -120 = $40,440
he loses $940, much better to buy points.
You could also have both players bet equal amounts.....................
Player buying points, wins 395 games betting $110 at -120 = $32,915
337 losses at $110 each = $37,070
player betting same amount loses $4155.
Now the player not buying points come-out ahead, interesting...................
I quess the moral of the story is to lay the extra $ in juice, the player laying extra juice is also betting more so maybe that is why he comes-out ahead.
Son of a gun, I thought something wasn't right about the this.......................
Player buying points and betting the same amount $110 actually wins $36,208, not $32,915 as I posted in the other post.
The $32,915 is from betting $100 a game.
Therefore, player buying points loses $862 and comes-out ahead of player not buying points.
Another way to look at it......................................
Risk VS Reward....................................
Buying points has a risk of losing a extra $10, the reward for winning instead of pushing is $100 or a 10-1 ratio.
So for every 10 losses you need 1 time to win instead of push to break even.. And if you win 50% of your games those 10 losses would come in 20 games.
That's 20-1 and since the 3 or 7 come in play every 13.15 games you are well ahead of that buying points.
Buying to 3 or 7 , pushing instead of losing creates a reward of $110 while having a risk of losing an extra $10 when losing. Or a 11-1 ratio.
If you win 50% of your games that would be 22 games and you need 1 time for the 3 or 7 to come into play. And since the 3 or 7 come into play once every 13.15 games your way ahead.
Buying to 3 or 7 creates a bigger reward of $110.
Another way to look at it......................................
Risk VS Reward....................................
Buying points has a risk of losing a extra $10, the reward for winning instead of pushing is $100 or a 10-1 ratio.
So for every 10 losses you need 1 time to win instead of push to break even.. And if you win 50% of your games those 10 losses would come in 20 games.
That's 20-1 and since the 3 or 7 come in play every 13.15 games you are well ahead of that buying points.
Buying to 3 or 7 , pushing instead of losing creates a reward of $110 while having a risk of losing an extra $10 when losing. Or a 11-1 ratio.
If you win 50% of your games that would be 22 games and you need 1 time for the 3 or 7 to come into play. And since the 3 or 7 come into play once every 13.15 games your way ahead.
Buying to 3 or 7 creates a bigger reward of $110.
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