Posted: 9/12/2014 1:04:45 AM
Just a thought. This is what I'm going to trial for this season.
1) Select all underdogs for the day opening +110
2) Compare each matchups RPI, cancel out all dogs with lower RPI than fav.
3) Take the teams in each matchup for the last 5 games and assign pts to each team as follows;
-Reg time win 3pts
-Reg time loss 0pts
-Reg time draw 1 pt
4) If underdog scores more pts then we have a play.
Not sure if we should eliminate a team if they are playing on a b2b night.
Any thoughts, criticisms or additions to this would be greatly appreciated.
I think we have determined this is almost impossible to back test unless someone has saved daily RPIs.