|Jeremy Hellickson is very likely candidate for a serious regression. Very high FIP and xFIP relative to ERA, a poor K/9 and K/BB, high strand rate, low GB%, and very favorable BABIP (.223).
Posted: 4/2/2012 11:06:31 PM
Looking at his underlying stats from 2011, it is almost unbelievable he kept his actual ERA under 3.
I would look to bet the over in his first few starts.
I definitely like Cory Luebke. His stellar run of starts from last season seems quite sustainable.
Brandon Beachy looks to possibly be an underrated commodity, as he has limited name recognition, but he does play for a pretty public team.
I think the Mets Over might hold some value early in the season. I think Ike Davis and Lucas Duda are very underrated, plus they moved the fences in at Citi Field.