|The total is at 192 currently.
Posted: 2/3/2012 6:35:16 PM
This total has been rising all day and I think there is some value on the under now. Both teams are in the top 7 in defensive efficiency, ppg allowed and opponents' FG %.
Both are also in the bottom half in terms of offensive ppg scored and pace.
I think the line has become overly inflated due to Indiana and Dallas' recent 4 run stretch in which they both scored over 100 points a game in 3 of those 4 games. I realize Beaubois playing for the injured Kidd has forced Dallas to run more of an uptempo pace, but this is not the Mavs' true style. Odom and Haywood return tonight and that should slow things up and make them more defensively oriented. The Mavs frontcourt matches up well with Indiana. Haywood will capably defend Hibbert. Odom and Marion(maybe Wright also) should be able to body up and give West and Granger a tough night. Nowitzki has still not regained his form and a variety of Indiana defenders(Hansbrough, Amundson, West) will harass him tonight. I think Dirk's woes continue tonight.
In the backcourt, George has the speed to stay with Terry. Beaubois and Collison should neutralize each other.
Indiana, against top 10 defensive teams, has scored over 192 points in only 1 of 9 games this season(98-96 against the Lakers). Dallas is 0-4 over this total against East teams.
I look tonight for a reversion to both teams' defensive nature. I am on the under 192.
Good luck to you all.