|Bumpity, Bumpity, Bump.
Posted: 3/19/2014 9:10:35 AM
I will be doing a version of this year, on another thread, but just wanna get a discussion going on this one to let you know the plan.
First, last year's version didn't backtest well, so I'm tossing it. We will be, for now, using the 'Overall' rankings. It backtested the best out of all that I have backtested.
Second, we will be playing only HOME teams.
Third, we will be playing ALL games of a series
Fourth, it won't be a chase, but rather we will use labby lines.
I only backtested the labby for May 2-21 in 2011. As a whole, playing it straight, during that time frame, using these filters, it went 44-35, -5.17. I was able to clear 11 lines for 22 units using the labby. So I looked for rankings that had at least a 50% win percentage on my filters.
I will get into how I do the labby on the new thread..I'm still debating how I want to do it. I don't like placing a 5 unit bet on a -200 favorite, know what I mean? That's another reason, people hate chases. One series, with 3 losses...all at -200, is -26 units.
This system doesn't start until the first series starting in May. I can't make a spreadsheet until after the season starts. I will make a sheet (or try) so you can easily manage your lines, if you choose to use them.