Sunday:
Milan/Parma - still amazed at books refusal to give Parma credit as many opened with Milan in/near mid-300s; drasticlly different than locals whom started in low 200s. Nasty spot for Milan here, played on thursday which ended up being much tougher than inagined and banged in 4 goals in the last half hour to overcome a defecit. but I think that might have triggered something for them. Parma already beat Inter here and are on a 2 match winning streak beating two teams just below Milan in the table. but gotta go with the goals option here, aside from Juventus match, Milano have scored 2+ in each of their home games and dont think their defense is sturdy enough to contain Parma either.
Milan/Parma over 3.5 @+104
Frosinone/Cagliari - Island boys shouldnt be marked as favorites to anybody on the road. your typical "good-at-home-bad-on-road' club. but Fros is one of Serie A worst defenses, had a nice little unbeaten run fer a while but were hammered by Inters 2nd string last wknd. tempted to play the side but better to take this instead.
BTTS @-120
Sass/Udine - taking a chance here. Sass heading back to where they SHOULD be - bottom half of table - on a major slide and forgot how to score. after a great start, have only managed to beat lowly Chievo and have a boatload of missings this wknd. Udine suprised Roma last wknd tho I dont believe its a "huge upset" as Roma was in a sandwich spot. but im taking a hunch the Intl break helped this team and they did manage to win here last year.
Udinese to win @+305
Torino/Genoa - I give up with Torino for a while. got them pegged to finish in the Top 6 and id have better luck tossing darts blindfolded right now than trying to figure out what theyre gonna do. PASS.
Chievo/Lazio - Immobile. to heck with the lines. guess its no longer my little 'secret' as 17 out of the 20 guys in our Fantasy league have him pegged for the striker this weekend. cazzo!! thru the years, "Mr. Selfish" absolutely loves padding his stats vs weaklings. especially weaklings with bad defenses; which helps keep him in contention for the goalscoring title every freaking year. and since its been almost a month, he's overdue.
Immobile to score 2+ @+225
Roma/Inter - had plans to hammer this one, but certain things have made me cautious. firstly, Roma has an injury/missings list a mile long; not just the volume but WHOM will be out too: Dzeko, El Shaarawy, Pellegrini, Pastore, De Rossi and Perotti are all out. good lord, thats 3/4 of their offense right there; and enough to make a play on fading them no matter where its being played. on top of that, Inter has lost just twice in past 7 meetings. for Inter, only Nainn is missing and have a full strength side. the downside is 3-pronged: 1) its rare for any team to sweep the season series down in Rome & Inter just blew away Lazio a few rounds ago. 2) Roma has been at home since last week, Inter had that long trip to London and a really tough match + 1 less days rest - their CL match was on Wed, Romas Tuesday. 3) line has barely moved locally; given the scenario with the injuries, in Italy... this is pretty significant.
Olimpico on Sunday nights in the 'stand-alone'? especially after losing 2-straight... not in mood to discuss this.
Inter pick @-110, and lets toss a little on the outright @+160
Serie B:
Brescia to win @-132
Perugia/Pescara over 2.5 @+105