|My statistical inspiration today is based on the frequency rate of away teams scoring in 2nd leg Quarter final matches. In the last 5 years (20 games) they away squad has scored in 14 fixtures...hitting at 70%.
Posted: 4/4/2012 11:28:45 AM
APOEL team Total Over 0.5 +184
Real Madrid has only kept 2 clean sheets at home in 2012 (2 out of 11)
Chelsea vs Benfica Both teams to score -125
Reduce juice on Benfica and omitting need of playing the over. A mesh of both plays.
Real Madrid vs APOEL...Real up 3-0 on aggregate...this tie is done...so expect changes from the home squad....But remember that their bench out classes their opponents. I like the idea of goals being scored based on the theory of space....Real at home will be able to get any space they require and goal opportunities should arise....and the fact that this tie is done will leave Real weary of getting any yellows or suspension for their next round...therefore creating no need for tackling and creating some space for APOEL..
Real Madrid vs APOEL Over 3.5 -107
Chelsea vs Benfica...Toughest call of all quarter finals. Chelsea have been in some form, but Benfica have performed well on away fixtures this year in Champs League. Drogba not being 100% is troublesome....I have the feeling that the refs somehow will leave their mark in this game...Penalty/ Red Card..? Only angle I like is that Benfica need to chase...so I will expect some flow to this game....I'll translate flow into goal opportunites that get blocked for corners.
Chelsea vs Benfica 1st Half Corners Over 5 -121
.....I really want to play Chelsea to score a penalty +550.....may add closer to game time.