## What are the odds...... |
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NBA Betting |
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Author: | [NBA Betting] Topic: What are the odds...... |

curtis07 | |

Prospect |
#1If you flip a coin heads 9 times in a row......are your chances for that 10th flip still 50-50 or have the odds of it being tails increased..... |

Daywalker331 | |

Veteran |
#2 |

Daywalker331 | |

Veteran |
#3 |

curtis07 | |

Prospect |
#4there is no hostility towards me not that i know of i was just killing that guy who capped the clippers as an 8 pt favorite tonight....i said he was a joke any plays tonight |

curtis07 | |

Prospect |
#5thanks my man |

curtis07 | |

Prospect |
#6 |

Daywalker331 | |

Veteran |
#7Ok well it's a Physic's expirment it's actuslly really been tested of course coin flip works better thsn Roulette wheel for the simple fact there's two Green slot's on american and one green on european. However i''ve had great suscess at it ..however once i went to a table that was red 10 spins playd black doubling my wager each time tto make up for losses ran outta steam on the 17th spin and on the 18th it was green!!! Terrible night many year's ago!!! |

pepsi562 | |

Prospect |
#8gambler's fallacy believing just cause 5 previous are heads for instance the next one is more likely tails |

uncsfinest | |

Prospect |
#9 |

Daywalker331 | |

Veteran |
#10 |

success1 | |

Veteran |
#11 |

curtis07 | |

Prospect |
#12 |

ApocalypseLater | |

Veteran |
#13QUOTE Originally Posted by curtis07:daywalker that other thread just reminded me of the convo i just had with some of my coworkers and i am looking for the true answer...i said the odds of being tails have increased they said they will always be 50-50 no matter what....they are not gamblers though.....so just wanted to get some more opinions i know who u feel......which i agree with.... holy garbage it scares the hell out of me that people actually don't know the answer to this question... this is literally statistics 101... first day, first lesson... the odds of any coin flip will always be 50-50 no matter what any previous coin flip produces... always! this never will change! this is not a matter of opinion... this is statistical law! i'm thinking you should not be gambling if you don't know this... wow! |

curtis07 | |

Prospect |
#14 |

Daywalker331 | |

Veteran |
#15QUOTE Originally Posted by Damn you got a DRS from Cornell.. That's the most IMPRESSIVE post I've ever read in here. |

kodiaker | |

Rookie |
#16QUOTE Originally Posted by Daywalker331:My gosh it's a theory It's the law of averages it's has nothing to do with a coins memory. It has to do with statistics and averages. JACOB BERNOULLI came up with it NOT ME you can GOGGLE IT. It's like I hate to say this.... GOD some believe and some don't but it has not been proven to be right or wrong. i hope that statemenet didn't jus start a real garbage storm 1. A theory isn't a law. They're two different things. 2. How do I GOGGLE something? 3. What does God have to do with this topoc? 4. You don't understand the law of averages. It isn't a real, developed theory or law. Like you said, it's a belief and thus you cannot evoke it to be true; in that case, an argument about it has no point whatsoever. In any case, though, the law of averages does not at all counteract the argument that a coin-flip will always be 50-50. |

Mikado | |

All-Star |
#17Each flip is independent of the flip that came before that. In other words the last flip has no effect on future flips. 50/50 is the probability each time - your odds may not be 50/50 like in roulette. Either way, I've seen it spin on red over 15 times in a row, and the same thing can be said for a coin. As humans we would like to say the time of probability is up and that the coin is "DUE" to hit the other way. We just like to think that way naturally in order to convince ourselves that the other side of the coin would be even more likely to come up since it is "DUE". Don't buy into this. The truth is in the math, not in your heart. |

kodiaker | |

Rookie |
#18 |

Daywalker331 | |

Veteran |
#191 The Theory is call the Law of Averages 2 Type Goggle in your seach bar click on the engine then type Law of averages or BERNOULLI and READ 3 God was an example of something that people may or may not believe in (like the law of averages) that theres no real proff of existance. 4 Emulates Your opinion ...go back to GOD ANSWER and read agian 5. I am ABSOLUTLY DONE WITH THIS TOPIC!!!! |

Degen55 | |

Veteran |
#20 |

sandrez7 | |

Veteran |
#21QUOTE Originally Posted by Mikado:I've heard a lot of people use the analogy with the roulette table and black and red. However coins are the same concept. Each flip is independent of the flip that came before that. In other words the last flip has no effect on future flips. 50/50 is the probability each time - your odds may not be 50/50 like in roulette. Either way, I've seen it spin on red over 15 times in a row, and the same thing can be said for a coin. As humans we would like to say the time of probability is up and that the coin is "DUE" to hit the other way. We just like to think that way naturally in order to convince ourselves that the other side of the coin would be even more likely to come up since it is "DUE". Don't buy into this. The truth is in the math, not in your heart. |

vlack | |

Prospect |
#22QUOTE Originally Posted by curtis07:Have been having a convo with colleagues over this.... If you flip a coin heads 9 times in a row......are your chances for that 10th flip still 50-50 or have the odds of it being tails increased..... Maybe you guys are asking the wrong question. The right question would be " What are the odds that there will be 10 straight heads". They are correct when they say that the 10th coin flick will still be 50/50. But when are talking about 10 straight heads, then it is a different story. |

Lefty1981 | |

Veteran |
#23unless its a double sided coin. |

Mikado | |

All-Star |
#24QUOTE Originally Posted by vlack:Maybe you guys are asking the wrong question. The right question would be " What are the odds that there will be 10 straight heads". They are correct when they say that the 10th coin flick will still be 50/50. But when are talking about 10 straight heads, then it is a different story. Considering if you were betting that a coin would land on heads 10 straight times than the probability would be different than 50/50. It would make it more like 1000/1 I believe. I am no math major like the original poster, I could be wrong. However, I do believe it you are betting on a coin landing on heads 10 times straight the odds is always 50/50. It is probability that is changing. I could have it all mixed up or whatever, but the original question was not all that clear to begin with. |

theclaw | |

Captain |
#25The odds remain at 50-50 regardless of past flips. Here's the thing to remember, IF GIVEN ENOUGH CHANCES SOME-ONE OR SOMETHING WILL BEAT THE ODDS EVENTUALLY. Look at it this way, if 100 people were to flip a coin 100 times, the overwelming majority will be very close to 50-50, but a few exceptions will beat the odds because in 100 chances a few will almost always beat the odds. A nice day-out would be take your GF, wife or family to the museum of science, they will have props set-up to illistrate this point. |

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