Posted: 5/2/2012 2:17:59 PM
Prop playoff record: 5-1
Tony Parker Over 7.5 assists -110
Tony has become the driving force of the Spurs this year and has been playing out of his mind. He averaged 7.7 assists throughout the regular season on 32 minutes per game. He played 37 minutes and recorded 8 assists in game 1.
Here are a couple of reasons why I like Tony's assist number to increase tonight:
-I think that the Jazz make a game of it tonight and make the Spurs work for 48 minutes to beat them. (A close game equals Tony seeing possibly 40 minutes instead of the 37 he got in game 1). Also, Tony will continue to be aggressive and dominate the ball as long as the game is within reach for the Jazz.
-The Spurs led the league in 3 pt shooting avg in the regular season and struggled a bit from distance in game 1. A good bit of their 3 pt attempts are the result of Tony getting in the lane, causing the defense to collapse, and then kicking it out to the wing. The Spurs shooting more along this year's average equals another opportunity or two for Tony to get an assist.
Tony Parker Over 21.5 points -130
I like this one for the same reasons I like the assist play. Tony will be the best player on the court tonight and I think he will prove that once again. The Spurs are at their best when Tony is dominating the ball and being aggressive.
Leans on regular plays tonight:
Orlando +3 and Over 183.5
Not sure if I will play all of these or none of these yet. I may have a prop play on the late game also depending on how the Parker plays turn out.