Hey edward don't know if you read my earlier posts a few days ago but this is still a work in progress. I have added some particulars but this is the gist of it, I've noticed a system that produces a high amount of winners in the NBA (regular season, and hopefully in post season also, although it got off to a bad start)-
The key is all 3 rules MUST be followed in order to qualify.
1) There must be a line move that is progressive and sticks, as opposed to bouncing back and forth, in my direction, and not due to an injury or player being out (example, I like Dallas -1.5 and the line moves to Dallas -3.5)
2) The line move/play has to be in opposition to what the public seems to like (ex 62% busters on OKC +3.5)
3) I have to like the pick myself, and not go against my gut.
-- So the rules are there must be a line move that indicates I'm on the sharp side, AND the busters have to be on the other side, AND i have to like it, or at least not dislike it. For me personally sometimes a play will look right but i don't like it, and then it loses. I decided that rule 3 is important for me personally, although maybe not for anyone else.
Looking back at the games tonight, the line moved early on NY, but then back to original line, and public liked Mia, and I wanted to root for NY. So I took NY, although technically the play didn't qualify, based on rule 1. Interestingly the total did drop 1/2 a point and qualified more so than the side did, and that hit, but i never considered it.
The true sharp play was the OKC under, and i said that all day long. The busters were all over the over, and the total dropped from 196 to 194, then to 193.5 later. This was a great line move, it was progressive, it was solid and never went back up, even though the B's were pounding the over. Dallas line went back and forth and did not qualify.