For instance the teams I took the last series were Cards, Reds, Mets, Angels,Orioles, Red Sox, Yankees, Phillies, Rangers, Braves, Giants and Washington. They all won in there first two games except Washington so I took the profit and didn't bet the 3rd game with Washington. I have made money every series doing this and even if one team gets swept out of the 12 teams I pick I will still most likely make money for the series.
For instance the teams I took the last series were Cards, Reds, Mets, Angels,Orioles, Red Sox, Yankees, Phillies, Rangers, Braves, Giants and Washington. They all won in there first two games except Washington so I took the profit and didn't bet the 3rd game with Washington. I have made money every series doing this and even if one team gets swept out of the 12 teams I pick I will still most likely make money for the series.
You just have tp pick your spots Bud... Ya can't win 'em all but you can be more consistent if you avoid plays on large fav's and just look for picks that seem to have a fair shot at winning.
I have certain teams that I like to side with and they are consistent for me (but even they lose sometimes). Then thier are certain teams that I go against on a regular basis and do well with (but even they win sometimes).
The other day EVERY fav in the AL lost SU... All of them. Cost me a pretty coin.
I look for solid picks... for Monday, April 30th 2012 there are MULTIPLE hot dog plays (in my opinion).
They are Baltimore(at NYY)... Oakland(at Boston)... and the Dodgers(at Colorado).
The Favs I like are Miami(vs Arizona)... Texas(at Toronto)... Atlanta(vs Pirates)... Detroit(vs KC) and TampaBay(vs Seattle).
I don't OVERTHINK MLB picks... I just look at the ESPN scoreboard for the upcoming games and check the Pitching matchups first(Wins - Losses and ERA)... then the teams home and road records and thier overall record.
I watch the MLB channels highlights each night to keep a good feel for teams.
And that's how I make my decisions. Just look for the best mismatches vs the lines posted and AVOID big favs.
Just try and develope a feel for each team and ignore the lines... they only blind you one way or the other. I pick my teams BEFORE looking at the lines.... and I stick with my slections unless later on I notice some significant information that I feel is important enough to alter my selection... then I will either flip or... usually I just pass on it then.
I use a book... and write down all the teams for that day that I like... and list them in order by less risk to higher risk in my opinion. I add my estimated amount of runs for totals... Then I look at the lines and write them down also. Then I make my selections. At the end of the day I write a "W" or an "L" next to the teams... This way I can track how well my perception is of each team and how well they have done for me. My book looks like it's written in Chinese... ha,ha,ha. But it works for me.
I seriously think that Baltimore...Oakland and the Dodgers ALL win tomorrow as nice dog lines while Miami... Atlanta... Texas... Detroit and TampaBay are decent prices for solid fav plays. Each of my selections here have favorable pitching matchups and the Home vs Road records are very acceptable also.
Good Luck jnemeh
You just have tp pick your spots Bud... Ya can't win 'em all but you can be more consistent if you avoid plays on large fav's and just look for picks that seem to have a fair shot at winning.
I have certain teams that I like to side with and they are consistent for me (but even they lose sometimes). Then thier are certain teams that I go against on a regular basis and do well with (but even they win sometimes).
The other day EVERY fav in the AL lost SU... All of them. Cost me a pretty coin.
I look for solid picks... for Monday, April 30th 2012 there are MULTIPLE hot dog plays (in my opinion).
They are Baltimore(at NYY)... Oakland(at Boston)... and the Dodgers(at Colorado).
The Favs I like are Miami(vs Arizona)... Texas(at Toronto)... Atlanta(vs Pirates)... Detroit(vs KC) and TampaBay(vs Seattle).
I don't OVERTHINK MLB picks... I just look at the ESPN scoreboard for the upcoming games and check the Pitching matchups first(Wins - Losses and ERA)... then the teams home and road records and thier overall record.
I watch the MLB channels highlights each night to keep a good feel for teams.
And that's how I make my decisions. Just look for the best mismatches vs the lines posted and AVOID big favs.
Just try and develope a feel for each team and ignore the lines... they only blind you one way or the other. I pick my teams BEFORE looking at the lines.... and I stick with my slections unless later on I notice some significant information that I feel is important enough to alter my selection... then I will either flip or... usually I just pass on it then.
I use a book... and write down all the teams for that day that I like... and list them in order by less risk to higher risk in my opinion. I add my estimated amount of runs for totals... Then I look at the lines and write them down also. Then I make my selections. At the end of the day I write a "W" or an "L" next to the teams... This way I can track how well my perception is of each team and how well they have done for me. My book looks like it's written in Chinese... ha,ha,ha. But it works for me.
I seriously think that Baltimore...Oakland and the Dodgers ALL win tomorrow as nice dog lines while Miami... Atlanta... Texas... Detroit and TampaBay are decent prices for solid fav plays. Each of my selections here have favorable pitching matchups and the Home vs Road records are very acceptable also.
Good Luck jnemeh
It also helps to check the boxscores daily. I do this and it gives me a good mental picture of when teams are giving up runs (late or early or all game long)... and if they are giving up them in bunches during a certain part of the game. Are the starters costing them games or the bullpens... Is a team scoring late ALL the time... does a team play well when behind in a game... Does a team rely on HR's to win thier games or can they produce runs without many HR's... Does a team need a ton of hits to score or do they score often with a normal amount of hits...??? All these are part of what I try and keep in mind when making picks.
For example... It seems that Lincecum tends to give up HR's in the 4th and 5th innings which can kill 1st 5 innings plays on the Giants (-1/2 run) or the 1st 5 innings Unders plays. I avoid those kind of plays on them now.
It also helps to check the boxscores daily. I do this and it gives me a good mental picture of when teams are giving up runs (late or early or all game long)... and if they are giving up them in bunches during a certain part of the game. Are the starters costing them games or the bullpens... Is a team scoring late ALL the time... does a team play well when behind in a game... Does a team rely on HR's to win thier games or can they produce runs without many HR's... Does a team need a ton of hits to score or do they score often with a normal amount of hits...??? All these are part of what I try and keep in mind when making picks.
For example... It seems that Lincecum tends to give up HR's in the 4th and 5th innings which can kill 1st 5 innings plays on the Giants (-1/2 run) or the 1st 5 innings Unders plays. I avoid those kind of plays on them now.
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