The Duke Blue Devils try to snap a two-game losing skid when the Notre Dame Fighting Irish come to Cameron Indoor Stadium on Tuesday afternoon.
Duke, which is coming off a home loss to rival North Carolina on Saturday, is a 6.5-point college basketball betting favorite versus Notre Dame. The Irish had won four of their last five outings before losing at Georgia Tech on the weekend.
Check out our NCAA basketball betting free picks and predictions for Notre Dame vs. Duke on February 9.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview
Key Injuries
Notre Dame: None
Duke: None
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
Duke is 19-7-1 Over/Under in its last 27 home games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Notre Dame vs. Duke.
NCAAB Sharp Money and Line Movement Report
By Patrick EversonDuke hit the FanDuel odds board as a 6.5-point favorite and twice went to -7.5, where the number remains as of 2:30 p.m. ET. However, Notre Dame is attracting 57 percent of spread bets and 54 percent of spread money. The total is down two points to 146.5, with 60 percent of bets and 57 percent of money on the Over.
Check out the full line movement for this gameAgainst the Spread (ATS) Pick
The Blue Devils are on red alert after dropping Saturday's game to Tobacco Road rival UNC, putting Duke in a position where it may get passed over for a spot in the NCAA tournament. Baring some resume wins in the home stretch of the ACC schedule, and a deep run in the conference tournament, the Dukies may not go dancing come Selection Sunday.
A big part of the problem is defense. The Blue Devils allow more than 72 points per game on 46 percent shooting from the field. It gets even worse from the perimeter, with Duke's opponents draining 38.4 percent of shots from beyond the 3-point arc this season – 328th in the country. Even the Tar Heels, who stink from deep, finished Saturday's victory 10 for 15 from distance.
Enter the Irish, who rank among the best 3-point shooting teams in the conference. Notre Dame is knocking down almost 39 percent of its triples taken, averaging 10 3-point buckets over its last three contests. The Irish went 9 for 21 from outside in a 75-65 home loss to the Blue Devils back in December – part of a stretch in which the program went 1-6 SU and ATS.
Since January 16, however, the Irish have upped their offensive production to 74.5 points per contest – compared to an average of 63.6 points in their first five ACC outings of the season (all losses). Cameron Indoor is nothing without its fans and ND has covered in five of its last seven road stops, while Duke is a dismal 2-7 ATS in its last nine efforts at home.
PREDICTION: Notre Dame +6.5 (-110)
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Over/Under Pick
We mentioned Duke's defensive ineptitude above but the Irish are no steel trap, either. Notre Dame has benefitted from playing some softer ACC offenses in recent outings and struggle to limit foes on the road, allowing 72.6 to host teams on the year.
The Blue Devils may not have their regular arsenal of offensive weapons, but Coach K still has some kids who can fill the stat sheet. Duke saw some improvements from its offense in the loss to UNC, shooting almost 54 percent from the field and hitting 11 of 25 from 3-point land. The bench also chipped in with some surprise contributions, getting 36 points off the pine.
Leading scorer Matthew Hurt had a rough Saturday, netting only seven points in 21 minutes due to foul trouble versus North Carolina. That forced Mike Krzyzewski to tinker with his rotation and he found success with a smaller lineup that helped pick up the pace offensively.
On the year, Duke is 119th in tempo at KenPom.com (69.9) and averages 72.1 possessions per game (162nd). The Blue Devils found another gear versus North Carolina, however, with 78 possessions powering a season-high 87 points. Bettors should expect Duke to ball small again in what will be a shootout in Durham Tuesday.
PREDICTION: Over 149 (-105)
Notre Dame vs Duke Betting Card
- Notre Dame +6.5 (-110)
- Over 149 (-105)
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