The Miami Hurricanes vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish might not have the same pizzazz in college basketball betting as it does in college football, but it's still a solid ACC showdown to wager on this Sunday.
The Fighting Irish are 8-10 SU this season but are 7.5-point home favorites against the 7-11 Hurricanes. Oddsmakers have been bang on for both teams with Miami and Notre Dame an identical 9-9 ATS.
So let's break down the NCAA odds with our best free Miami vs. Notre Dame picks and predictions for February 14, with tipoff at 6 p.m. ET.
Miami Hurricanes at Notre Dame Fighting Irish betting preview
Key injuries
Miami: Earl Timberlake G (Out), Chris Lykes G (Out), Sam Waardenburg F (Out), Rodney Miller Jr. C (Out).
Notre Dame: Robby Carmody G (Out).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Fighting Irish are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite while the Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their previous eight contests as underdogs on the road. Find more NCAA betting trends for Miami vs. Notre Dame.
NCAAB sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick EversonFanDuel pegged Notre Dame a 7-point favorite Saturday evening and moved to -7.5 a couple of times, then down to -6.5 late this morning. As of 2:45 p.m. ET, the Fighting Irish are back at the -7 opener while taking 66 percent of bets and 59 percent of money on the spread. The total hasn't budged off 140.5, with tickets and money both about 2/1 on the Over.
Check out the full line movement for this gameAgainst the spread (ATS) pick
Miami is coming off a close 80-76 overtime loss to Virginia Tech, a tough defeat following a win against Duke. That victory against the Blue Devils is the Hurricanes' only win in their last six games, which includes a January 24 matchup against Notre Dame that they lost at 73-59 at home.
The Fighting Irish are coming off their own win against Duke (the Blue Devils really have become the ACC punching bag this season) and are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their previous four games.
Both schools have been slightly below average on defense, with the Hurricanes allowing opponents to shoot 43.4 percent from the field and the Irish allowing an opponent field goal percentage of 44.2, but the big difference between those teams has come on the offensive end of the floor. Notre Dame is 32nd in the country in offensive efficiency, averaging 107.7 points per 100 possessions, while the Hurricanes rank outside the Top 250 with 94.4 points per 100 possessions.
Miami has been even worse on the road, with that number dropping to 91.7, and homecourt advantage could be the difference when betting this line. The Hurricanes have an average scoring margin of minus-13.2 points per game on the road and have lost each of their last four road contests by at least 12 points.
Injuries have also piled up for Miami, which currently has two starters – Chris Lykes and Earl Timberlake – on the sidelines, joining Sam Waardenburg and Rodney Miller Jr., who were starters last season. Back the Irish.
PREDICTION: Notre Dame -7 (-110)
Over/Under pick
Both schools have cashed the Over in each of their last two games but prior to that, each team had gone 4-0 to the Under in their previous four contests.
Miami's scoring struggles in away games have resulted in the Hurricanes averaging just 62.3 ppg on the road and going 4-1 to the Under in their last five away games. Meanwhile, the Irish are 4-1 to the Under at home against conference foes this season.
Don't expect either team to get many second chances either, with Notre Dame ranking just 325th in the country with 5.7 offensive rebounds per game and Miami averaging 5.5 offensive rebounds per game over its last four contests.
Both teams also play at a very slow tempo: Miami ranks outside the Top 200 in possessions per game and Notre Dame is 318th. Back the Under.
PREDICTION: Under 140.5 (-110)
Miami vs Notre Dame betting card
- Notre Dame -7 (-110)
- Under 140.5 (-110)
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