The first race of the second round of NASCAR betting in the playoffis is here. This may be one of the most important races of the playoffs, aside from Martinsville on Nov. 1 and Phoenix on Nov. 8. With what's looming next, you don't want to be heading to the final two races of the Round of 12 behind the eight ball.
Covers Experts’ Auto Racing Advisor sizes up the NASCAR odds for and gives his favorite NASCAR predictions and betting picks for the South Point 400, with the green flag dropping Sunday at 7:00 p.m. ET.
NASCAR betting odds for South Point 400
| Driver | Odds to Win |
|---|---|
| Brad Keselowski | +500 |
| Joey Logano | +500 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +500 |
| Kevin Harvick | +600 |
| Denny Hamlin | +800 |
| Ryan Blaney | +900 |
| Kyle Busch | +1,000 |
| Chase Elliott | +1,100 |
| Aric Almirola | +2,500 |
| Jimmie Johnson | +2,800 |
| Alex Bowman | +3,300 |
| Clint Bowyer | +3,300 |
| Austin Dillon | +3,300 |
| Kurt Busch | +4,000 |
| William Byron | +4,000 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | +4,000 |
| Erik Jones | +4,000 |
| Matt Kenseth | +6,600 |
| Tyler Reddick | +6,600 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +6,600 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings
Who will win the South Point 400?
Favorites to Bet
Martin Truex Jr. (+500)
Truex won the last time we were in Vegas (September 2019) for a playoff race and has eight Top-11 finishes on the 1.5-mile track, including five Top-4 efforts and two wins in his last nine starts. He’s won 12 races on 1.5-mile tracks since 2016, nearly twice as many as the next closest driver.
Brad Keselowski (+500)
He has three Top-3 finishes in his last four starts in Vegas, to go along with 10 consecutive Top-7 finishes there overall.
Joey Logano (+500)
He won the spring race for the second straight year and has nine straight Top-10 finishes in Vegas.
Kevin Harvick (+600)
Another good driver here. Harvick has three Top-4 finishes in his last five Vegas starts, including a win in 2018 and a runner-up last fall.
Ryan Blaney (+900)
He has three fifth-place finishes in his last five Vegas starts and five Top 7s in his last seven tries overall.
Long shots to bet
Aric Almirola (+2,500)
He has three Top-10 finishes in his last five Vegas starts.
Jimmie Johnson (+2,800)
Johnson's a four-time Vegas winner and finished fifth this past spring.
Austin Dillon (+3,300)
Dillon has another great chance as he finished 12th in this race last year and fourth in the spring. If all the top drivers struggle, Dillon could yet again score a Top 5 — his third in four playoff races run.
Alex Bowman (+3,300)
Bowman was sixth in last September’s Vegas race and if not for a late caution, was going to be in the Top 2 this past spring.
Betting Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Vegas was recently repaved and that, mixed with the new aero package, meant some clean racing. The track has more lanes to race on, but the horsepower is down from 750 to 550 still and the spoiler is also still raised. The aero ducts are in place as well again.
The 2019 spring race saw two caution flags fly — both for stage breaks. In the 2018 race, we saw only four cautions fly for just 29 laps. In the playoff race last year, we only saw four more yellows, half for stage breaks too, for 22 combined yellow flag laps. This past spring, we only had five cautions for 28 laps.
That’s why I can see another clean race on Sunday.
Stat to watch
Strange but true: the second-stage winner at Vegas has won all but one of the five races under the stage racing era, the exception being Joey Logano, who finished fifth in Stage 2 back in February but wound up in victory lane later.
