The Toronto Blue Jays and the Seattle Mariners will play the finale of a four-game set at T-Mobile Park on Sunday afternoon.
The Blue Jays have dropped eight of their last nine games and held a dreaded “players-only meeting” during their current road trip. The Mariners, meanwhile, have won seven in a row to climb above the .500 mark.
Can they complete the sweep in this spot? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Blue Jays vs Mariners on Sunday, July 10.
Blue Jays vs Mariners odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Mariners were unveiled as consensus favorites of -115 on Sunday morning, but are now listed at -120 at most sportsbooks. The consensus opening total was unveiled at 7.5, and while some books have let it remain there, others have raised the line to 8.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.
Blue Jays vs Mariners predictions
Picks made on 7/10/2022 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Blue Jays vs Mariners game info
• Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
• Date: Sunday, July 10, 2022
• First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET
• TV: Sportsnet, Root Sports
Blue Jays vs Mariners betting preview
Starting pitchers
TBD: The Blue Jays have yet to announce a starter for this game.
Logan Gilbert (10-3, 2.61 ERA): Logan Gilbert seeks his fourth straight victory on the hill to tie for the MLB lead currently held by Justin Verlander and Tony Gonsolin. Gilbert has struck out over three batters for every one he’s walked over his last eight starts (38-11 strikeout/walk ratio).
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 19-7 in the Mariners’ last 26 home games. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Mariners
Blue Jays vs Mariners picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Moneyline analysis
Logan Gilbert should add to the Blue Jays’ woes and enable the Mariners to take their eighth straight victory on Sunday afternoon.
Toronto’s recent skid is due in large part to their suddenly-feeble offense, which has plated a mere 2.44 runs per game over their last nine efforts.
Gilbert’s ERA may have jumped from 0.40 to 2.61 since the start of May, but he continues to give Seattle both reliable production on the mound and a chance to win practically every time out. Gilbert has failed to record six innings of work only twice in his last 10 tries.
Meanwhile, with Kevin Gausman’s return start pushed back and Yusei Kikuchi out, the Blue Jays have a sizable gap to fill in their rotation for Sunday. No matter who Toronto manager Charlie Montoyo tabs for the start, bettors can expect a heavy dose of the Blue Jays’ mediocre bullpen that sports a 4.11 ERA over the last two weeks, 17th in the majors.
Seattle scored 13 runs over the first two games of this series before settling for two in the victory on Saturday. With Julio Rodriguez, J.P. Crawford, and Eugenio Suarez all boasting an OPS above .940 in July, there are currently few “easy outs” in the Mariners’ order.
The Seattle bullpen has played a major role in their club’s hot streak, as this unit owns a 1.56 ERA over the past two weeks. They should offer the Blue Jays few scoring chances once Gilbert exits and lock down another victory.
Prediction: Mariners moneyline (-120 at FanDuel)
Over/Under analysis
The total may look too low to go Under on, but with the way the Blue Jays’ bats are struggling, the Over is not very enticing.
Toronto’s leadoff man George Springer has been mired in a deep funk since the start of July, batting .138, albeit he hit a homer for his club’s only run on Saturday. Bo Bichette is a modest .214 at the dish over the last week.
The Blue Jays’ power has dried up too, as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the club leader in OPS at just .821 over the last week.
The Mariners’ bullpen has had to work hard in this series, as Diego Castillo (1.13 ERA last two weeks) has pitched three straight days, and Andres Munoz (1.56 ERA last two weeks) has worked two straight days. However, Seattle has depth to spare in the form of Paul Sewald, Penn Murfee, and Erik Swanson.
Sewald has tallied 13 strikeouts over his last 7 2-3 innings, earning five saves in the process. Murfee has already worked 1 2-3 scoreless innings in this series, and Swanson has recorded 10 straight scoreless appearances.
Prediction: Under 8 (-115 at BetRivers)
Best bet
It’s hard to bet against this surging Seattle squad, especially with the Blue Jays being in freefall and having no starter named with just hours until the first pitch.
Gilbert figures to record yet another quality start, giving manager Scott Servais a fairly easy path to victory with his outstanding bullpen.
The Mariners’ lineup has finally begun living up to its early-season promise during this 15-3 hot streak, and the addition of Carlos Santana from the Royals in late June has only fanned the flames.
Santana’s two-run homer was all the Mariners needed for the win on Saturday. He’s hitting .296 since the start of July.
The Mariners would be a value bet even if they drifted up to -140. Don’t look a gift horse in the mouth.
Pick: Mariners moneyline (-120 at FanDuel)
