How to hit 70% (or better) in MLB using Teamrankings.com

birdiman, that's what I was trying to get at.

You can never backtrack this system because the rankings are constantly changing.

THATS right I did go back every day every game  the numbers change... it was quite interesting to see how they rank...   they go up and down even if they dont play a game the day before...    I am not saying that they are valid... but based on Nabil's suggestion... that is what I came up with based on this season ALONE.

Now for the NL stats based on the 1st four series alone in 2010  EVERYDAY EVERY GAME STATS...   BASED ON NABIL FORMULA

NL

to date:

Teams rated higher in the NL have won 11-11-1 in series one; 12-12 in series 2; 13-12 in series 3 and 14-10 in series 4. Not good odds here.

Teams playing each other with a differential of 5 or more as Nabil states have won 5 out of 13 games 38% winners (Losses series 1 PHI (102.7)@WAS(96.7); series 3 Pit (95.2)@SF (102.5), CIN (103.3)@FLA(98.3), WAS (96.6) @PHI (103.7), MIL (95.4)@ CHC (104.1), NYM (93.9) @ COL (103.2), and AZ (96.7)@ LAD (103.5); series 4 COL (96.9)@ATL (102.2)

Interesting....  diff between AL and NL hey Nabil...   Wonder how this will pan out when InterLeague play begins...

Double check my work guys if you gots the time... took me a few hours..

Oh yeah...    SO....Nabil claims 70% winners...  

Combine AL and NL stats I have listed...   I get .......drumroll

.........   15 -16 for games with 5 point differential 48%      .......

Please follow at your own risk...   

Using teams with a power rating advantage of 5.00 is a first step in the process and not the whole process

I have repeated many times over, over and over again : cap the games

The idea here is to isolate games worthy of further investigations. There are 15 games to cap. All you have to do is cap them and focus on the best ones.

If you blindly bet on KC last night without capping the game, without taking into consideration the pitching matchup, sorry for your loss

If you paid attention to the comments I made, you will notice that I said I would bet on Oakland last Saturday (they won) and I would not bet on KC last night (they lost)

Do your homework.

There is a lot of volatility in the power ratings right now because the season has just started.

As the season moves forward, the power ratings will settle down and you won't notice sharp variations from one day to another.

Here is my suggestion to all of you, guys

Figuring out teams with an advantage of 5.00 or better is the easy part. You can also get a listing of all the probable pitchers for the series involving teams with an advantage

On Thursday, I will list all the games right here and you are all invited to list the games you like.

You will see how well this approach works.

As I do appreciate your Sympathy to my loss, I thought I saw you told a few that KC IS the play, but cap yourself...   I am not blaming you bro...just did my own homework for the first few series of the 2010 season.     

I commented the way I did because there was only one series this season that fit your system... that would be the 3rd series for SF/Pitt SF was 101.7 and Pitt was 95.8    SF won the series 2-1.   I didnt see any other first game of the series greater than 5 besides that one...   

Lookin at today games myself....   

Dude ! If you are going to get this emotional over a loss, you may want to consider another venture. Gambling may not be for you

You seem to have disregarded a key word in the comment you just posted and the word is : HOWEVER

Also, why aren't you posting comments I made which clearly indicates that I was not going to bet on KC last night ?

. 

Again, bet on KC if you think the pitching matchup is favorable to them. If not, wait for a better day

Here I will tell you what I like today

I am betting on Minnesota, the best game of the 5 possible games today

Bet on Minnesota. You won't regret it

And I am not using the word HOWEVER here

Emotional.... who is getting emotional.

I am neutral here... just being skeptical of what people post...   I know some peeps on here are lazy and just bet what other people tell them to bet... or what people post...

I took KC for my own reasons...and liked that we were on the same side.... I read everything you wrote...   "KC is the play"  "TB is the play"  "Cap yourself"  "I am not betting KC"...   read it all.

I am eager to see how this all pans out...    Relax...I am not a hater... just being skeptical ...Did i not post anything that was not True????      Please tell me and I will retract my whatever I said that was not true...

Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

 Like minnesota.  it is a system play for me also.  BOL

Good luck to you too

Can't go wrong with Minnesota tonight

Nabil,

It's hard for me to pull the trigger on MINN as well as the Indians are throwing the ball right now.  A lot of chalk in that game for my tastes.  That being said, best of luck to yourself and the rest of the brothers on the Twins tonight. 

Looking at your system, I personally like Florida at Houston as a pretty favorable matchup tonight, laying only -108.  I also like Pitt +115.  I think, (again using your criteria) that Thursday's Tampa Bay game might be a must play with Shields on the mound against Chicago's Peavy.

Am I somewhere in the ballpark on what you are thinking here?

I also like the Bravos tonight.  Although there is a lot of chalk to be laid, the Phil's bats have been quiet of late and Kendrick is "the worst"... like a stinky old Bojangle's sausage biscuit.

I dunno, if I was really good at this, I wouldn't have to work for a living, would I?

I agree with your comment regarding the ML. A lot of chalk

That is why I bet Minnesota -1

The odds : -106

Almost even money

tell me how your system works Nabil ?

yesterday which play you took ?

I played KC but lost

which teams have you played yesterday ?

and tonight which team you will play ?

thks

There is a detailed description of the approach (hate the word system) on the first page. Easy to follow

The idea is to identify teams with an advantage of 5.00 or better, cap all the games in the series (15 games in this particular case) and focus on the best plays.

My top play for tonight : Minnesota -1

Let's just hope the jinx god is on vacation

ok minesota seems to be a good play cause poweer rat = 5.5 ( 101.8 - 96.3)

But tampa bay seemsto be good too but the best pitcher shield will be on the mound thursday so its a play for thursday.

Minesota - 1 cause much wining teams win by +1 points.