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Heavy Favorites

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Posts: 16408
Posted: #26
November 5
Djoker (-980) 1 unit  
Ferrer (-1000) 1 unit  

November 9

C. Ball (-900) 1 unit  


Heavy Fav Plays:  3-0 +3.00 units
 
Captain
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Posts: 6716
Posted: #27

haven't read what others think but from my experience, absolutely NOT!

always, always one favourite that will lose. Always happens either Melzer, Ferrer, Federer(unlikely) will lay an egg.

 
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Posted: #28
i did portland last night........you can find some good ones in others sports as well...oh im sorry was i talking to myself or is the simms ignore button on?
 
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Posted: #29
November 10
Djoker (-600) 1 unit  


Heavy Fav Plays:  4-0 +4.00 units
 
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Posted: #30
November 10

Feds (-1210) 1 unit  


Heavy Fav Plays:  5-0 +5.00 units
 
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Posted: #31
November 11

Feds (-1120) 1 unit 
 
Captain
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Posted: #32
Hate betting Favorites in money line such as tennis and hockey...yeah they win nut what god is payout? Dogs payout better by far
 
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Posted: #33
of course dogs pay better...when they win.

i am TRYING something out here folks.  working so far...
 
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Posted: #34
November 11

Feds (-1120) 1 unit 
Nishikori (-650) 1 unit
 
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Posted: #35
I know this is tennis, but just wanted to throw this parlay that screwed me big time in here. It's where big faves can bite you. Who knew Utah had two giant comebacks in them back to back on the road. Orlando was up 18 with a little over a minute to go in the 3rd. I really thought this one was a no lose situation and was going to make me some nice change on a bunch of heavy faves.

$2,873.85$825.63$0.00Loss4 Team Parlay





Loss11/10/10 7:05pm  NBA Basketball  702 Orlando Magic -800* vs Utah Jazz 





Win11/10/10 9:35pm  NBA Basketball  718 San Antonio Spurs -1800* vs Los Angeles Clippers 





Win11/10/10 7:00pm  College Basketball  722 Maryland -1400* vs Coll Charleston 





Win11/10/10 7:00pm  College Basketball  724 Pittsburgh -8500* vs Illinois Chicago 



 
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Posted: #36
that is why i am trying to stick to tennis.  there is no way that a -800 loses more in tennis than a -800 in basketball.

anyone got stats on this?
 
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Posted: #37
November 11

Feds (-1120) 1 unit 
Nishikori (-650) 1 unit  


Heavy Fav Plays:  6-0 +6.00 units
 
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Posts: 157
Posted: #38
be careful bro. i do this strategy often with college football favorites.

are you going big on murray?
 
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Posted: #39
November 11

Feds (-1120) 1 unit   



Heavy Fav Plays:  7-0 +7.00 units
 
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Posted: #40
what does feds mean?
 
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Posted: #41
roger FEDerer
 
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Posted: #42
in-play:

Feds (-1675) .5 unit
 
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Posted: #43
Betting NBA ML's is profitable, ONLY if you take dogs.  Bet the spread.
 
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Posted: #44
in-play:

Feds (-1675) .5 unit   



Heavy Fav Plays:  8-0 +7.50 units
 
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Posted: #45
November 17

Riba (-600) 1.5u
 
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Posted: #46
Sims, you're doing great man.  NBA and NFL don't hit cuz they're pro's.  Tennis ML's is the way to go.  I love what moneymaker said about be ready to cover the loss just in case.. but you're doing great.  On the challenger plays I only bet 2 matches where the fav was at -250 - -275.

The BIGGEST strategy I make in tennis plays like (challengers) or something small and similar is if the fav HAS PLAYED and WON 1 or 2 matches before.  I noticed Gashvili too at 2-0.  He kinda stuck out on match.stats but the biggest key in this strategy is... you can't go by previous matches when its been 8 or 9+ so months.  And if the last match was like close 6-4, 7-6(4)....I dont bet it.

The perfect tennis bet in challenger only period is FAV (-210) is 1-0 against DOG
 
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Posted: #47
wow i just submitted without finishing the post... too many budweisers... anyway man.  u know what your doing.... fuck basketball and football.  u know u dont even have to go SUPER big favs like -900+.  Its an experiment for ya. 

I love it.  Good luck brother!!

 
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Posted: #48
i don't have to tell you how playing heavy faves worked for me!

Fed lost and, as you know, was in a spot during the loss where he was favored -1800 to win the match! 
 
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Posted: #49
i have reba also to close out a parlay. one thing i have about challenger tournaments is that theres always poor coverage. do you guys know if theres a live score anywhere? or if its even started 
 
 
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Posted: #50
thanks for the words guys.  


November 17

Riba (-600) 1.5u  


Heavy Fav Plays:  9-0  +9.00 units
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