Playing two matches today, one kind of a hunch and one I'm tailgating heavily on historical, situational results..
Superliga (Denmark)
Odense -1, 1.5 +101 (10 units)
Since their loss to Hobro in the second match of the campaign, OD has only lost once in nine matches (5-3-1 w-d-l). They're in really good form with a home draw against league leader Midtjylland, a 1-0 loss against Kobenhavn and a 4-0 thrashing defeat over Horsens. They're likely isn't enough emotion for revenge to play a huge part today, but Hobro is the bottom feeder of the table, so there is some incentive to avenge the previous loss.
Super Lig (Turkey)
Galatasaray +101 (30 units)
Since the start of the 2016 Super Lig, Galatasaray is 16-1-2 (w-d-l) following a loss in league play. Those two losses? Yep, both against Fenerbahce. In these matches, they are outscoring opponents 54-13, an average of 2.8 goals for and 0.7 goals against. Fenerbahce has really been struggling in league play thus far, especially on the road where they have one win in five matches and only one goal. Maybe they just have Galatsaray's number, but I'm investing that is not the case and the better team, who is in better form, who might know their only losses off a loss was to Fenerbahce, comes out and takes care of things in front of their home faithful
Playing two matches today, one kind of a hunch and one I'm tailgating heavily on historical, situational results..
Superliga (Denmark)
Odense -1, 1.5 +101 (10 units)
Since their loss to Hobro in the second match of the campaign, OD has only lost once in nine matches (5-3-1 w-d-l). They're in really good form with a home draw against league leader Midtjylland, a 1-0 loss against Kobenhavn and a 4-0 thrashing defeat over Horsens. They're likely isn't enough emotion for revenge to play a huge part today, but Hobro is the bottom feeder of the table, so there is some incentive to avenge the previous loss.
Super Lig (Turkey)
Galatasaray +101 (30 units)
Since the start of the 2016 Super Lig, Galatasaray is 16-1-2 (w-d-l) following a loss in league play. Those two losses? Yep, both against Fenerbahce. In these matches, they are outscoring opponents 54-13, an average of 2.8 goals for and 0.7 goals against. Fenerbahce has really been struggling in league play thus far, especially on the road where they have one win in five matches and only one goal. Maybe they just have Galatsaray's number, but I'm investing that is not the case and the better team, who is in better form, who might know their only losses off a loss was to Fenerbahce, comes out and takes care of things in front of their home faithful
Settle GL today on the opposite side with Fener for a small play. just dont like this spot for Galat. based on form and how they both have fared already this year, Galat "should" win with ease.
but this wknd just makes me nervous for some reason; and sure as heck am not laying juice with any big club. like you stated, i too, just might end up getting thy head served back on a platter. but id rather err on the side of caution. as its a long season.
spending more focus on the mid/bottom-table teams.
Settle GL today on the opposite side with Fener for a small play. just dont like this spot for Galat. based on form and how they both have fared already this year, Galat "should" win with ease.
but this wknd just makes me nervous for some reason; and sure as heck am not laying juice with any big club. like you stated, i too, just might end up getting thy head served back on a platter. but id rather err on the side of caution. as its a long season.
spending more focus on the mid/bottom-table teams.
Spec - Just saw your post, the one thing I kept having to fight off was the sandwich spot/focus elsewhere, but, like any investment, the ones with 'no doubt' are the ones to always avoid. So with the doubt, and the little Spec whispering in my ear of the sandwich spot, I pressed on. I snuck in Odense first half, so that helped me absorb the risk a little bit. Good luck today and this weekend, I usually disappear on the weekends for football, but going to try and get some focus on the pitch
adding:
Ligue 1 (France)
PSG-Lille under 3.5, 4 -115 (11.5 units)
PSG hasn't scored less than two goals in any league match and Lille has only given up 2 once thus far (last match). Lots of missing regulars for PSG, going to invest that Lille holds firm.
Bundesliga (Germany)
Stutggart +187 (8 units)
Playing a number here. I think home and road performance for each club is skewed
Spec - Just saw your post, the one thing I kept having to fight off was the sandwich spot/focus elsewhere, but, like any investment, the ones with 'no doubt' are the ones to always avoid. So with the doubt, and the little Spec whispering in my ear of the sandwich spot, I pressed on. I snuck in Odense first half, so that helped me absorb the risk a little bit. Good luck today and this weekend, I usually disappear on the weekends for football, but going to try and get some focus on the pitch
adding:
Ligue 1 (France)
PSG-Lille under 3.5, 4 -115 (11.5 units)
PSG hasn't scored less than two goals in any league match and Lille has only given up 2 once thus far (last match). Lots of missing regulars for PSG, going to invest that Lille holds firm.
Bundesliga (Germany)
Stutggart +187 (8 units)
Playing a number here. I think home and road performance for each club is skewed
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