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Green Bay at Denver (10/29/2007)

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Posts: 192

Blkshrt

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2007

Posts: 1096

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:10 PM ET #101

Denver -3 and Under 44.

GB is very overrated and Denver is at home.

The cold may not be a factor but 5150ft in altitude will be tonight...

Good Luck.

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Terps06

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 165

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:12 PM ET #102

Favre: 9 TD/ 6 INT/ 11 SACKS

Cutler: 7 TD/ 8 INT/ 8 SACKS

Wynn: 4 TD/ 4.1 AVG/ 0 FUMBLES

Henry: 1 TD/ 4.6 AVG/ 2 FUMBLES (You'd think he'd be good at the "handoff.")

Crosby: 2/4 over 40 yards/ 1/1 over 50 yards

Elam: 3/5 over 40 yards/ 0/1 over 50 yards

GB Defense: 15 SACKS/ 8 FF/ 6 INT

DEN Defense: 13 SACKS/ 5 FF/ 6 INT

GB Punter: 7 inside 20

DEN Punter: 4 inside 20

Weather: low 60's, no chance rain, low wind

Favre vs Lynch, both familiar with each other. Favre will get the running game going, short passes over the middle to get Lynch bitting and cheating up front, then set Lynch up for crossing patterns over the middle. Ben Roeth. last week picked up on this in second half too late. Not Favre.

Denver also has three o-line changes on the interior which will beneft GB LB Nick Barnett and A.J. Hawk. Culter will have to win this one behind a o-line getting accustomed to their new positions.

Denver has not won a game by more than 3 points. I'll take GB and the 1.5 points for the 1st half, then evaluate at half time.

GLA

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joiitsrott

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2005

Posts: 735

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:16 PM ET #103

Quote Originally Posted by dtownmike:

NEWS FLASH>>>>>>#4 HAS NEVER THROWN A T>D PASS IN DENVER???

funny how they gave out that information in the front page!

i am 100% sure that Bret will have TDs passes tonight.

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StRuggles

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 248

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:19 PM ET #104

Denver, Denver, Denver. Selvin Young will be able to pick up the slack that Henry leaves. Denver just has to insert a running back and he will run well. i.e. Davis, Anderson, Portis, Griffin, Bell, the list goes on and on. It is Shannahan's system. Shanny will have a tight gameplan tonight. Denver will move the ball at will. Green Bay is not as good as their record.

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joiitsrott

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2005

Posts: 735

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:20 PM ET #105

#4 Mr. Monday Night!
I AM ON FIRE!

MONEYLINE GREENBAY!

UNDERDOG WIN STRAIGHT UP ON THIS MNF!

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joiitsrott

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2005

Posts: 735

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:24 PM ET #106

WOW. To everyone who is following the HOME TREND WIN for these two teams. you guys are being trapped! vegas have that information and much more.

If the home trend is such a big trend in peoples betting opinion. don't u think, the line would be greater than -3.

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Terps06

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 165

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:25 PM ET #107

StRuggles, I enjoy your threads, but I disagree with your "insert a running back and he will run well" theory.

As far as GB not being as good as their record, Denver has not beat anyone by more than 3 points, and head to head against San Diego, well, nuff said.

GB 1st Half +1.5

GLA

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Terps06

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 165

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:28 PM ET #108

Also, the Denver o-line has three interior o-lineman who are not used to one another, different blocking schemes, new runner... vs. Nick Barnett and AJ Hawk?

GB

Imagine that, Jackson taking the Broncos.

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bigdaddyhpd

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2003

Posts: 8330

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:28 PM ET #109

Head coach Mike McCarthy’s running backs are averaging 65.7 YPG on the ground for a pathetic 3.3 YPC. The Packers reportedly spent the bye week attempting to build even a mediocre running game with an ugly three-headed monster of DeShawn Wynn, Brandon Jackson, and Vernand Morency. The 5-1 and 4-1-1 ATS records prove how brilliant Brett Favre has been this season more than anything. Teams are becoming wiser with each passing week against the Packers, playing more Cover 2 or rollup zones with no fear of
Green Bay running game. Even though the receivers for Green Bay are collectively better than the last few seasons, if Donald Driver gets hurt and the passing game goes down immediately. The Broncos are 8-2 ATS versus poor rushing teams averaging 3.5 or less rushing yards a carry.

The Pack’s defense is being a bit over-hyped by the media, living off early season success. They are 16th overall in the league, being a little better than normal against the run ranking 11th and little worse against the pass at 22nd. They will face a stern challenge against a Broncos offense that can move the ball.

Keys to the Game
This game has fundamental football written all over it. For both it is run the ball and stop the run. Whoever does the better job should be your spread winner. Both teams are stuffed full of bad angles. If Green Bay loses they are 6-73 ATS. After this Monday night contest, Denver hits the road for a pair of road games and are 1-9 ATS at home in this exact situation. Most bettors know Denver is hemorrhaging money at Invesco Field with 1-9 ATS record as a home favorite over the last two seasons. These teams don’t play often with this being just the 11th meeting on the last 46 years. Green Bay has never won in Denver in five prior trips in, with highly unusual games played. If you want to keep the handicapping of this contest simple, consider this. All three Broncos wins have come by three points or less, Green Bay has won two of there encounters by three points. Seeing Green Bay is receiving three points why not take the Packers?

I'm staying away from this one.

Aloha and good luck to all

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Head coach Mike McCarthy’s running backs are averaging 65.7 YPG on the ground for a pathetic 3.3 YPC. The Packers reportedly spent the bye week attempting to build even a mediocre running game with an ugly three-headed monster of DeShawn Wynn, Brandon Jackson, and Vernand Morency. The 5-1 and 4-1-1 ATS records prove how brilliant Brett Favre has been this season more than anything. Teams are becoming wiser with each passing week against the Packers, playing more Cover 2 or rollup zones with no fear of
Green Bay running game. Even though the receivers for Green Bay are collectively better than the last few seasons, if Donald Driver gets hurt and the passing game goes down immediately. The Broncos are 8-2 ATS versus poor rushing teams averaging 3.5 or less rushing yards a carry.

The Pack’s defense is being a bit over-hyped by the media, living off early season success. They are 16th overall in the league, being a little better than normal against the run ranking 11th and little worse against the pass at 22nd. They will face a stern challenge against a Broncos offense that can move the ball.

Keys to the Game
This game has fundamental football written all over it. For both it is run the ball and stop the run. Whoever does the better job should be your spread winner. Both teams are stuffed full of bad angles. If Green Bay loses they are 6-73 ATS. After this Monday night contest, Denver hits the road for a pair of road games and are 1-9 ATS at home in this exact situation. Most bettors know Denver is hemorrhaging money at Invesco Field with 1-9 ATS record as a home favorite over the last two seasons. These teams don’t play often with this being just the 11th meeting on the last 46 years. Green Bay has never won in Denver in five prior trips in, with highly unusual games played. If you want to keep the handicapping of this contest simple, consider this. All three Broncos wins have come by three points or less, Green Bay has won two of there encounters by three points. Seeing Green Bay is receiving three points why not take the Packers?

I'm staying away from this one.

Aloha and good luck to all

Elvis1

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 1347

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:30 PM ET #110

They just want even money so they can get juice!!!! If they knew who was going to win they would bet like US!!!!

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Elvis1

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 1347

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:30 PM ET #111

They just want even money so they can get juice!!!! If they knew who was going to win they would bet like US!!!!

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Da Greek

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 10

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:32 PM ET #112

Toss up

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SAKADOO

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2007

Posts: 74

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:32 PM ET #113

GOOD PICK ON LAST NIGHTS COLLEGE GAME BIGDADDYHPD........SURE TO FOLLOW MORE PICKS FROM U THANX MUCH......WAT ISLAND R U FROM?

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bigdaddyhpd

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2003

Posts: 8330

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:34 PM ET #114

Quote Originally Posted by SAKADOO:

GOOD PICK ON LAST NIGHTS COLLEGE GAME BIGDADDYHPD........SURE TO FOLLOW MORE PICKS FROM U THANX MUCH......WAT ISLAND R U FROM?

squeezed my ' S on that one though

I was born and raised on Maui bro

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PatsGrl

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2007

Posts: 2699

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:35 PM ET #115

Decided to stay away from teams on this one and placed a wager on the Under 43.5.. GL EVERYONE

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SAKADOO

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2007

Posts: 74

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:37 PM ET #116

FORREALZ GOOD SHIT I USE TO LIVE IN MAUI TOO.....CENTRO SIDE KAHULUI...NOW IN CALI.....

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PatsGrl

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2007

Posts: 2699

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:38 PM ET #117

ps. bigdaddy - do you play NBA? does anyone?

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SAKADOO

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2007

Posts: 74

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:38 PM ET #118

HOPEFULLY GB WINS THIS .........I WAS READING UR INFO IN THIS GAME N U SAID UR JUST SITTING ON THIS GAME ...I WAS LIKE DAMN....ILL JUST GO WIT MY PREDICTION I WAS ON PLANNING ON GOING WITH UR PICK.....

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blckndgldfn

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 2844

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:39 PM ET #119

it's not a toss up..........a 3-3 team should not be givin' a hot 5-1 team points......at least that's what the average moron better thinks......and thats who the lines are made up for.........take the team that shouldn't be given anybody any points and count ur money

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Da Greek

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 10

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:50 PM ET #120

damn, first post ever and I'm already being called a moron?...hot 5-1 team?,,gbays last 2 games, lost to Bears and lucky win against the Skins .....oh yeah, real hot!... //Im not saying Denver is that good either, but homefield and a little confidence builder last week should make this game fairly close....

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bigdaddyhpd

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2003

Posts: 8330

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 8:57 PM ET #121

Quote Originally Posted by PatsGrl:

ps. bigdaddy - do you play NBA? does anyone?

I get the lines but choose to build my bankroll on football. At times reading into too many stats throws me off so I'd rather stick to one sport and devote the rest of the year to my family and building a bankroll for the next season.

Good luck on your under play girl.

Was going to take the over but decided to stay away.

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PatsGrl

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2007

Posts: 2699

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 9:01 PM ET #122

Thanks bigdaddy

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Jurassic2

Captain

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 5238

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 9:04 PM ET #123

Over 43.5 kids

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bigdaddyhpd

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2003

Posts: 8330

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 9:05 PM ET #124

Quote Originally Posted by SAKADOO:

FORREALZ GOOD SHIT I USE TO LIVE IN MAUI TOO.....CENTRO SIDE KAHULUI...NOW IN CALI.....

Kahului has gotten bigger bro. Many homes now where we could ride our dirt bikes. Mac Nut fields in Waiehu is pretty much gone too. Many new homes coming up in that area all the way to Happy Valley.

by the way Kaahumanu Shopping Center still the same

Good luck on your play today

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Terps06

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 165

Posted: Oct. 29, 2007 - 9:08 PM ET #125

John Lynch in the box, cheating, like I said, TD!

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Green Bay at Denver (10/29/2007)

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