Philadelphia at San Francisco (10/19/2010)

Quote Originally Posted by wangichu:

note that cole hamels laid a -135 (up to -140) spread in cincy against cueto, their best pitcher this year.  cincy was a game better than frisco this year and not only a much better hitting team, but more of a public team this year than frisco.  Cain, while a bit better than cueto, has been sitting at about +100, as opposed to the +130 cueto had at home.  That's a big difference and frisco is actually a better team than cincy (better division, better rotation). 

Point about the spread being that the books are funnelling money on philly using the public perception that philly is a lock to walk into the world series again and using the public's love of hamels, but they made it too easy to bet hamels, allowing the public to be on philly at a 75/25 split.  If philly was going to win this game, the public  would be taxed more for betting them.

I have frisco winning this series at +170 from before the series started and i'm holding to it.  hamels was a big time tough luck loser this year pitching in a lot of low scoring tough losses this year against pitchers who just barely out did him and cain is that kind of pitcher.

philly was a 3 run 9th from being swept in frisco this year and that was in the first half when frisco was much less of a team than they were in the second half.


SF ML Cain +110