Posted:
#1
Up to you if you choose to follow, but these are my plays with analysis...
Jets at Bengals (Line -2.5)
Bengals early season looked beautiful. Beating some great teams, however...ever since the Raiders loss, look at the statistics.
Cleve 16-7 L ATS
Detroit 23-13 L ATS
@ MIN 10-30 L SU
@ SD 24-27 W ATS
KC 17-10 L ATS
Jets blowout.
Anyways...The bengals and the jets to me is the toughest game for this weekend, but my pick is Jets ML. Heres why: The Jets have a disquised blitz scheme that uses speed to find the quarterback. The bengals have one of the heaviest and slowest lines in the NFL. Ochocinco is the bengals only threat, and revis will blanket him all game. Only way the Jets lose this game is 1 of 2 reasons. Cedric Benson goes Off, or Marc Sanchez turns the game over. Sanchez will have to make plays as the bengals will stack the box. However, the risk reward of this game for a ML bet forces me to take the Jets as I think the jets are 60-40 to win. I also think the weather favors the jets. Keep in mind, Rex Ryan used to play against the bengals twice every year.
JETS ML
Game 2 : Philly at Denver (-4)
As much as Id like to take Philly, I don't want to lose money. Dallas will win this game. Will they cover? Thats why its gambling. Dallas has to much ammo for philly with a running game that goes inside out, midlevel passing, and deep threats with austin. Philly has never been able to cover witten, so first downs will be easy for romo, and having a tight end to rely on limits turnovers. Only way philly wins this game is if somehow Desean Jackson has a breakout game, however I heard hes nursing something. He only beat Dallas Corners once last game and mcnabb overthrew him. A game that meant a FREE victory for Philly with a bye week, and they cant score a point. Im surprised its not -7. If mcnabb goes off, itll be a close game, otherwise I see him getting sacked a lot as they just lost their starting center. Mcnabb is going to be running all day and needs to have a game if he philly wants to win
Dallas -4
Baltimore at Pats -3
I take the pats on this game. Baltimore is a great team, but their secondary is getting weaker and weaker. I just don't see the pats being outcoached or outscored and this game is won by atleast 7. Im annoyed wes welker is out as that didn't push the line at all, and itd of been very easy money, but the pats are a veteran group with the best coach in the business. I don't see them losing this game. Brady is too good. This game is too dependant on Ray rice, and he will be shutdown, and it'll be forced into joe flacco's hands...and eve with the emergence of todd heap ... I don't see baltimore outscoring the patriots.
Pats -3
Packers at Arizona -1
This is my money game and Im glad its the last one. Packers are the hottest team, and I do live in wisconsin so I know more about them then every team. Arizona is unpredictable but thats fine. An injured Bolding and Cromartie and this line only moved from -2.5 to -1 is a joke. They both played vanilla last week and packers vanilla won 37-7. Just because the packers scored a lot doesn't mean they opened up their playbook and showed their stuff. They only used 25%. Hopefully I will be up and can lay a big play on this game. Hottest team vs an injured team. Keys to victory. Drop 7 back, Rush 4. If you can get to kurt warner without blitzing, he will turn the ball over all day long. His blitz awareness is sick, so blitzing him = touchdowns. I wonder how larry fitzgerald is doing? Hmm, just because its not in the injury report, you can't tell me hes full speed after that knee injury three weeks ago. Aaron rodgers has the best third down conversion for any QB in the NFL. I think 3rd down conversion success is a winning combination :)
Anyhow, Packers +1
All plays are three units. Unit = 100. Week 1 to Week 17 Im up 6,000. I showed a profit every week and stay fairly disciplined and hardly ever bet a stupid play. Not too brag but a good season and I'm sure others have won more then me so Feedback encouraged!
Jets at Bengals (Line -2.5)
Bengals early season looked beautiful. Beating some great teams, however...ever since the Raiders loss, look at the statistics.
Cleve 16-7 L ATS
Detroit 23-13 L ATS
@ MIN 10-30 L SU
@ SD 24-27 W ATS
KC 17-10 L ATS
Jets blowout.
Anyways...The bengals and the jets to me is the toughest game for this weekend, but my pick is Jets ML. Heres why: The Jets have a disquised blitz scheme that uses speed to find the quarterback. The bengals have one of the heaviest and slowest lines in the NFL. Ochocinco is the bengals only threat, and revis will blanket him all game. Only way the Jets lose this game is 1 of 2 reasons. Cedric Benson goes Off, or Marc Sanchez turns the game over. Sanchez will have to make plays as the bengals will stack the box. However, the risk reward of this game for a ML bet forces me to take the Jets as I think the jets are 60-40 to win. I also think the weather favors the jets. Keep in mind, Rex Ryan used to play against the bengals twice every year.
JETS ML
Game 2 : Philly at Denver (-4)
As much as Id like to take Philly, I don't want to lose money. Dallas will win this game. Will they cover? Thats why its gambling. Dallas has to much ammo for philly with a running game that goes inside out, midlevel passing, and deep threats with austin. Philly has never been able to cover witten, so first downs will be easy for romo, and having a tight end to rely on limits turnovers. Only way philly wins this game is if somehow Desean Jackson has a breakout game, however I heard hes nursing something. He only beat Dallas Corners once last game and mcnabb overthrew him. A game that meant a FREE victory for Philly with a bye week, and they cant score a point. Im surprised its not -7. If mcnabb goes off, itll be a close game, otherwise I see him getting sacked a lot as they just lost their starting center. Mcnabb is going to be running all day and needs to have a game if he philly wants to win
Dallas -4
Baltimore at Pats -3
I take the pats on this game. Baltimore is a great team, but their secondary is getting weaker and weaker. I just don't see the pats being outcoached or outscored and this game is won by atleast 7. Im annoyed wes welker is out as that didn't push the line at all, and itd of been very easy money, but the pats are a veteran group with the best coach in the business. I don't see them losing this game. Brady is too good. This game is too dependant on Ray rice, and he will be shutdown, and it'll be forced into joe flacco's hands...and eve with the emergence of todd heap ... I don't see baltimore outscoring the patriots.
Pats -3
Packers at Arizona -1
This is my money game and Im glad its the last one. Packers are the hottest team, and I do live in wisconsin so I know more about them then every team. Arizona is unpredictable but thats fine. An injured Bolding and Cromartie and this line only moved from -2.5 to -1 is a joke. They both played vanilla last week and packers vanilla won 37-7. Just because the packers scored a lot doesn't mean they opened up their playbook and showed their stuff. They only used 25%. Hopefully I will be up and can lay a big play on this game. Hottest team vs an injured team. Keys to victory. Drop 7 back, Rush 4. If you can get to kurt warner without blitzing, he will turn the ball over all day long. His blitz awareness is sick, so blitzing him = touchdowns. I wonder how larry fitzgerald is doing? Hmm, just because its not in the injury report, you can't tell me hes full speed after that knee injury three weeks ago. Aaron rodgers has the best third down conversion for any QB in the NFL. I think 3rd down conversion success is a winning combination :)
Anyhow, Packers +1
All plays are three units. Unit = 100. Week 1 to Week 17 Im up 6,000. I showed a profit every week and stay fairly disciplined and hardly ever bet a stupid play. Not too brag but a good season and I'm sure others have won more then me so Feedback encouraged!
0
You forgot to say Felix Jones going to have a big game
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