Week 2: 4 team 13 point teaser (0-1 on season)

Week 1 was a tough week as it had alot of blowouts... from what I understand is that it was the most we have ever seen in week 1...

Do you play any over/unders on the teasers or only spreads?

Car n Bal

I like SF @ Home and tacking on with the Bears---great rivalry that is always close and the Bears have only improved from over the years.


Also have you considered a pleaser line with all the hype from week 1? EX:

1. 9/13/2012 8:20 PM NFL Football 101 Chicago Bears* pk  vs Green Bay Packers
2. 9/16/2012 1:00 PM NFL Football 213 Houston Texans* -16  vs Jacksonville Jaguars
3. 9/17/2012 8:25 PM NFL Football 225 Denver Broncos* -4  vs Atlanta Falcons

Risking $5.00 To Win $107.50

10-2 on the season (No str8 bets for me this wk)
4-GM Teaser 1-0 (No 4-GM for me this wk)
2-GM Pleaser 1-0

2-GM Pleaser (ties win): +1200/100

Cowboys -13
Jaguars -1

7-GM 13 pt. Teaser +145

Bears +20
Patriots -2.5
Saints +10.5
Cowboys +10
Steelers +6
49ers +5.5
DEN/ATL Over 37.5

5-GM 13 pt. Teaser -112

Patriots -2.5
Saints +10.5
Cowboys +10
Steelers +6
49ers +5.5

3-GM 10 pt. Teaser -128

Saints +7.5
Cowboys +7
Steelers +3

Yeah DL, I think the Patriots should roll on Sunday. I feel comfortable putting my hard earned cash on brady, brandon lloyd, woodhead, hernandez, welker, and the gronk.

TB scored 18 points a GM and gave up 31 points a GM last year, so logic says the NYG should dominate, but TB came out strong against CAR. TB shocked the hell out of me Sunday, so I don’t know what to expect in the TB/NYG game?  

Damn DL, I hate this weeks board. I call this a books trap week. I bought 9 tickets for last weeks NFL action. I’m cutting it way down to only 4 tickets this week because I feel this is a trap week.

If I had to make a 3 team 10 point teaser or 4 team 13 point teaser. I would bet on the team with these factors:

1. Home Field Advantage

2. Top 10 QBs

3. Defense that can bring the score down to Top 10 Opponents Points Per Game.

hit 2 of these last week, had houston+.5 bears +3.5 pats +7.5 and eagles +4.5. got lucky with the birds and that late score. in the late games i took niners +19 the over 33.5 in the niner packers game the bucs +16 and the broncos +11. dont always get to win them both but love when i do, for this week im thinking bears packers over 38, if the colts scored 21 in chicago dont know what aaron gonna do, pats -.5 the niners +6.5 and i really think the saints +10.5 is safe, saints could lose, but a blowout dont think so. good luck bro

4tm 13pt tease

NE -1, NYG +4.5, HOU +4, NO/CAR OV 37.5

My teasers worked ok in CFB.  Squeezed some like USC, WY. AF and FL were ez. ND was scary.   Made a three teamer on Sunday very squarish, Eagles, Lions and Bears.  Favorites versus rookie qbs and barely made it.  Shitted with Eagles and Lions.  Glad I stayed off of RGIII, he looked magnificent.

Went 2-1 in 13ptrs last wk with NO killing the 1st one. Knew Wash was solid & was a little concerned about what RG3 might do, but didn't think he'd have that kinda gm his 1st time out in the Superdome & felt +5.5 was safe. Like alot of options this week...almost all in the early 1's, just need to narrow it down. So far liking: 

Bears +19, Pats -.5, Hou +4, Balty +15.5, NO +10.5 & maybe TB +21.5

 

For those who play totals, fee real good about the Bears over 38.5 & Hou/Jags over 28.5 -

 

 

10-2 on the season
4-GM Teaser 1-0
2-GM Pleaser 1-0

2-GM Pleaser (ties win): +1200/100

Cowboys -13
Jaguars -1

7-GM 13 pt. Teaser +145

Bears +20
Patriots -2.5
Saints +10.5
Cowboys +10
Steelers +6
49ers +5.5
DEN/ATL Over 37.5

5-GM 13 pt. Teaser -112

Patriots -2.5
Saints +10.5
Cowboys +10
Steelers +6
49ers +5.5

3-GM 10 pt. Teaser -128

Saints +7.5
Cowboys +7
Steelers +3

I know I said I wasn’t going to add anymore to it, but I decided to add:

9-GM 14.5 pt. Teaser +110
 
Washington St. +4.5
USC +7
BYU +11
Patriots -1
Saints +12
Cowboys +11.5
Steelers +7.5
49ers +7
DEN/ATL Over 36

ML & ATS

Jags +300 ML
Jags +7.5
Cowboys -3

I’m a degenerate betting with house money, what can I say…

Teams I've locked in: NE -2.5

Teams I'm considering: NYJ +18.5, SF +6, CLE +21 (still waiting for the hook), TB +22, BAL +14 (want hook for this, but probably won't get it), CHI +18.5 (big-scoring game, I'll take the higher number).

Money - where are you gettin those 5 & 7 13pt teasers, 5dimes? Almost all of those look good to me as well

Buffalo +10

Yup

The old shitty Cowboys defense held the Seahawks to 13 points last year. Romo had fun all day throwing for 19/31, 279, 2 tds, 9 yards a pass, and a QBR of 112.2 and DeMarco Murray rushed for 139 yards and 6.3 yards against the same Seahawks team last season.

Dallas had a top 10 offense statistically last year, even though; Murray didn’t start until week 8, so Dallas will be fine on the offensive side of that ball against the Seahawks. Dallas had an offensive line that gave up 50 sacks last season when they played the Seahawks and you know how many sacks the Seahawks had? Zero!

People actually think that the rookie is going to have success against the deepest pass-rushing roster they’ve had in 17 years, you have to be a square. Rob Ryan has so many players to stop the run and put up a pass rush at his disposal. I don’t even want to waste time typing all of their names on here.

In previous match ups, the -men would get 130 yards on the ground, you know why? Dallas had two dinosaurs playing the middle of the field stopping the rush. Dallas held the -men to 82 yards on the ground and the only reason it was 82 and not 49 yards is one big run, so Dallas completely shut down the run.

The old busted up dinosaurs Brooking and James are both gone. Now, Dallas has a 3-headed monster to stop the run, Dan Connor, Bruce Carter, and Sean Lee. These guys are young pro bowl caliber players, so the days of running all over Dallas are over.

Morris Claiborne and Brandon Carr are both shut down number 1 cornerbacks. Orlando Scandrick is paid as if he is a number 1 cornerback. Jerry jones has a lot of faith in him and I’m hoping Scandrick finally lives up to expectations this season.

Then there is last years number 1 cornerback Mike Jenkins, who can flat out ball, but is always injured. Jenkins is going to play for the first time this season on Sunday, so Dallas has four-corners who can play in the league on the team this year.

The safety position has veteran Sensabaugh and is filled with speed, youth, and promising talent. Next season the safety position will be just as elite, as the corner positions are. This defense is going to make the kid shit his pants on Sunday.

My numbers have this game being a 23-20 type of game, but I’m using old numbers. I can’t really cap this defense because I don’t have enough information on them yet, I think it should be more of a 34-20 final score because the cowboys defense should make some big plays to put the offense in positions to put up points.

The funny thing is Dallas isn’t even at full strength yet and is playing at a high level. If Dallas were at full strength on Sunday and had everyone healthy on the field, I would have this game being around a 41-13 blowout.

Suffered a push loss last week with GB +8 as the last leg of the teaser. 

 

This week:

 

New England is this week’s easy pick.  Currently -1/2.

 

This next game looks like it will rival WAS/STL for sucker bets of the week, but I like Baltimore here, especially getting 15.5.

 

With the last two spots, here are the games I’m considering:

Packers +7.5

Giants +5.5

Colts +14.5

Panthers +15.5

Texans +6

Steelers +7.5

49ers +6.5

Broncos +16

 

Like I did last week, of the plays above, what opposing QBs can hurt me most?

Cutler at GB…Freeman at NYG…Ponder at IND…Brees at CAR…Gabbert v. TEX…Sanchez at PIT…Stafford at SF…Ryan v. DEN.

 

Of that group the ones I want to take out immediately are Brees/CAR, and Ryan/DEN.  I see that Saints/Panthers game falling between NOR +10.5 and CAR +15.5, but I don’t need to hope that Brees doesn’t outscore Carolina by 17.  I think Denver has a better chance of winning straight up than losing by 17, but I won’t go against the Falcons at home here unless I really need to.

I’ll take out the Colts, even getting the hook, because I don’t need a bad team costing me a 13 point teaser. 

 

The last two spots are down to:

Packers +7.5

Giants +5.5

Texans +6

Steelers +7.5

49ers +6.5

 

I think these are all solid straight up winners, but the first one I’d remove is the Texans based on line value alone.  In addition, it’s a division road game with 1, 3, and 4 the only helpful numbers here.  Also, the Texans’ recent performances at JAX aren’t encouraging:

 

2011 – W by 10

2010 – L by 7

2009 – L by 5

2008 – L by 3

2007 – L by 20

 

Again, Bucs fan here, and as nice of a surprise as that victory over the Panthers was, I think it’s asking a bit too much to get up for a win at the defending champs coming off an opening loss.  But as with Houston 1, 3, and 4 are the only useful numbers here.  I like the Steelers getting over a TD at home against the Jets, but do I want to get in front of that New York offense, even though I’m pretty sure week 1 was an anomaly. 

 

I’ll roll with the Packers +7.5 and Niners +6.5.  Sure there’s nothing saying the Packers can’t start 0-2, but I’ll stand by last week’s logic.  I’ll take the team that didn’t lose at home last year to not lose by 8 at home for the second week in a row.  Maybe I’m drinking the kool aid, but that GB game was the best game I’ve seen SF play during Harbaugh’s brief tenure.  They’re returning home where they went 7-1 last year and won by a margin of 19.57 points.  That one loss was that weird OT game in week 2 against Dallas.  I don’t think they get another week 2 scare here, especially coming off what we witnessed last week.

 

Final play –

Patriots -1/2

Ravens +15.5

Packers +7.5

49ers +6.5