Trends & Things NFL 2007-2008 week 6

-2.5 and -6.5 spreads.

can anyone get us some feedback.

basically baiting  the player to take the -2.5 (all you need to cover is a fg )  or the -6.5 (all you need is a td)

ive b een trying to find info all season can anyone help us out...

 its 3-0 last 2 weeks i tried  ncaa-fb

anyone got any info on this ... this might be a breakthrough trend???

George, read my post at wagerline  on the 1/2 point theory.

Roberto you always have good info in your threads.

I hope RF doesn't feel that I'm cluttering his thread, however, in the interest of being factual, and since there is so much KC/CIN discussion, I'd love to know where you are getting this number.  You should be careful about the info you give out since so many people are following this.

Unless I hit my head recently, I have KC playing as a Home Dog 19 times over the past decade, not including this season.  Results:  SU/ATAS

'06-'07:  +6 vs. San Diego W/W

'05-'06:  +1 vs. Denver W/W

'04-'05:  +3 vs. Denver W/W, +3 vs. NE L/L, +1.5 vs. Indy W/W

'02-'03:  +3 vs. Oakland W/W, +3 vs. Denver L/P, +3 vs. Mia W/W

'01-'02:  +3 vs. Phi L/L, +3 vs. Indy L/L, +1 vs. NYG L/L, +3 vs. Oak L/P

'00-'01:  +3 vs. Denver W/W, +7 vs. STL W/W, +3 vs. Indy L/L

'99-'00:  +4 vs. Denver W/W

'98-'99:  +4 vs. Denver L/L

'97-'98:  +3 vs. SF W/W, +4 vs. Denver W/W

Totals:  11-8 SU, 11-6-2 ATS. 

I apologize for my initial miscalculation however I want to be clear that while I'm not disputing a possible good play, KC is not as dominant as depicted as a Home Dog.

Yes.  How about the fact that Seattle is 9-1 ATS last 10 against NO?  This includes winning 5 in a row both SU and ATS since 2000.  Their smallest margin of victory over those 5 wins......10 POINTS! 

Quote Originally Posted by DiscoD69:

I think putting too much stock into trends alone is a mistake...

ex. looking at trends in the NO/SEA series since 2000, of course SEA > NO, look how strong SEA used to be and how weak NO used to be, these are different teams, trends matter, but only so much

That's the beauty of it.  RF has have it repeatedly clear that he's not trying to cap these games, but that he is just looking for trends/patterns.  Incredibly, it has been almost perfect this season, and is at least worth tracking even if you don't necessarily play the games. 

This is one of the only threads I follow religiously, and I appreciate the opportunity to contribute.

Hmmm . . . those aren't the numbers I'm picking up at the rx.  But, the rx could be incorrect.

I will note the pre-season was included in these games.