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Trends & Things 2007-2008 NFL week2 ( cont...)

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Posted: #26
tremendous effort put into this...great job!!!
 
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Posted: #27
Just cant pull the trigger on Oakland..Somethings holding me back..BOL on these plays too Roberto..
 
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Posted: #28
Just got back ...
 
Thanks everyone...
 
I only eliminated SD as I explained above because despite the tremendous trend favoring San Diego as a road Dog ...New England has a few quality trends of their own ...( that comes with winning .....a lot ...)
 
I consider San Diego's trend stronger however ...
 
It was difficult narrowing down these teams , as this is an unusually strong week for Underdogs as far as trends go ...
 
I picked San Diego as my pick of the week before I was finished doing this trend selections .
 
I picked San Diego as my POW not based so much on trends , but based on what I considered the best selection of all the matchups ....
 
I know that it is a difficult game to side with , but that is in part why I like it .
 
I am not a big fan of large spreads one way or another ( fav or dog ) when it comes to my main picks ...
 
There are some exceptions of course , but that's more likely to be down the road ...when the teams are more established .
 
As for my anaysis on why I took San Diego ....that's in this thread >>>>
 
As for the trend picks ...
They are ugly , realy ugly ....
and I could lose them all ......
I am playing some percentages here and hope for the best
That's all ...!
 
 
I hope this makes sense .....
 
 
 
 
 
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Posted: #29
so no SD play for you? Which play are you going to put 4 units on this week?
 
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Posted: #30
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by RobertoFiory:

Due to the fact that this is a very strong week for favorable  Underdog trends ...I will break from the norm and make 3 selections instead of one ...This is only fair ...
 
That being said ...here are the Underdog Trend Picks of the Week :
 
Atlanta Falcons
Tennessee Titans
Oakland Raiders
 
*********************************************************

 

my work paid off nicely ...as these picks swept !!!

so now ...we have a perfect record for the underdog trend picks ...

4-0 in preseason 

4-0 regular season

for 8-0 for the NFL year

...That's a wrap for the trends & things thread this week ....

unless of course someone has something good for us going into MNF

 

 
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Posted: #32
i could see tennessee      but       the atlanta and oakland pick where almost as ugly as me  lol.   great picks roberto
 
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Posted: #33
Roberto,
 
You are a true asset to this form......thanks for all the time, hard work, and input. This thread is in my top 3 every week and is a must read for me before I think about placing a wager.  It's very much appreciated by many
 
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Posted: #34
 
 
Another week another tremendous job....
 
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Posted: #35
holy shit....great info
 
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Posted: #36
great week ....
 
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Posted: #37
Nice work!
 
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Posted: #38
Excellent work.  All three hit.
 
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Posted: #39
 
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Posted: #40
 
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Posted: #41
 Trends for MNF >>>>>>
 
Washington is 11-3-3 ATS last 16 games vs a team with a losing Home record
 
Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS vs a team with a winning record
Redskins are 3-8-2 ATS  last 13 vs the NFC East
Philadelphia  4-1-1 ATS  last 6 vs the NFC East
Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS last 6 in this matchup
Home team is 4-1-1 SU last 6 in this mathup
Washington: 25-10 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Philadelphia is  8-2 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Washington is  2-9 SU   (4-6-1 ATS) in last 11 trips into the City of Brotherly Love
4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games
4-9 SU in its last 13 games
UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Philadelphia
is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

 

6-2 SU in its last 8 games
UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Washington
4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

 

Some are repetitious ....but you can figure it out .....

 
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Posted: #42

Game Results

Recent Meetings Washington Philadelphia
Date Away/Home Line O/U Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
12/10/06 PHI 21 - WAS 19 Push 2.0 P 40 415 210 205 263 99 164
11/12/06 WAS 3 - PHI 27 PHI -7 U 41.5 278 146 132 400 145 255
01/01/06 WAS 31 - PHI 20 WAS -8 O 37 279 151 128 335 96 239
11/06/05 PHI 10 - WAS 17 WAS -3 U 39 293 78 215 336 45 291
12/12/04 PHI 17 - WAS 14 WAS 9.5 U 39 312 88 224 312 67 245
11/21/04 WAS 6 - PHI 28 PHI -10 U 38 213 51 162 334 126 208
12/27/03 PHI 31 - WAS 7 PHI -9 U 41.5 260 79 181 332 83 249
10/05/03 WAS 25 - PHI 27 WAS 4.5 O 39.5 307 49 258 261 121 140
12/15/02 WAS 21 - PHI 34 PHI -7.5 O 37.5 292 86 206 320 110 210
09/16/02 PHI 37 - WAS 7 PHI -3 P 44 179 89 90 451 168 283
 
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Posted: #43
NFL Football     

Who does the public like?
The following feature monitors wagering activity at multiple online sportsbooks. The "betting percentages" represent actual wagers placed on each game at the participating sportsbooks.

 
Last Updated: 9/17/2007 1:55:00 PM ET                View O/U Info
Market Average Charts (Click to Enlarge) 231 Washington Redskins
232 Philadelphia Eagles 64049 6
-6 6.5
-6.5
 
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Posted: #44
Market Average Charts (Click to Enlarge)
231 Washington Redskins
232 Philadelphia Eagles		 64049 6
-6		 6.5
-6.5
 
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Posted: #45
Let's try this way >>>>
 
Number of bets :  64049
 
percentages : Philadelphia >>>> 67 %
                    Washington >>>>> 33 %
 
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Posted: #46
knew i shoulda clicked on this thread yesterday mornin
 
haha good work as usual
 
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Posted: #47
Roberto, thank you for all your hard work.  It is much appreciated by all here.


 
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Posted: #48
looks like the Under trends will continue....as gibbs run, run, pass game plan will be implemented tonight.  there is no way in hell he will put the ball in campbell hands to win this game tonight.  i see portis and betts will be busy rushing, and the eagle d will attack them hard.

i think the under looks good.
 
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Posted: #49
following is from two minute warning >>>>
 
Drive Chart Stats

OFFENSE
Play
Dyds
TOP
TD
FG
Punt
T/O
Pts
WAS
4.7
28
3:10
9%
27%
45%
18%
17.4
PHI
3.8
22
2:53
9%
18%
63%
9%
14.1
DEFENSE
Play
Dyds
TOP
TD
FG
Punt
T/O
Pts
WAS
4.2
24
2:46
9%
18%
63%
9%
14.1
PHI
2.3
11
2:11
0%
25%
58%
16%
9.0


Projected Scores (Drive Charts)
Washington
Philadelphia
12
13
21
6
 
 
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Posted: #50
Play By Play Stats

Washington
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
WAS - Offense
51%
10%
3.7
78
44%
20%
9.3
96
PHI - Defense
-12%
-11%
-1
-35
-13%
-5%
-2.3
-48
WAS - Projection
39%
0%
2.7
43
31%
15%
7.0
48
Philadelphia
Rush
PSR
Rush
Big
Rush
Yds
Rush
EFR
Pass
PSR
Pass
Big
Pass
Yds
Pass
EFR
PHI - Offense
46%
3%
3.1
60
30%
6%
4.5
61
WAS - Defense
-15%
-1%
-1.4
-31
+3%
+3%
-.5
+7
PHI - Projection
31%
2%
1.7
29
33%
9%
4.0
68


Projected Score (Play by Play)
13


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