Trends & Things 2007-2008 NFL week2 ( cont...)

IN 2001: Home dogs getting 7 or more were 12-6 ATS

IN 2002: Home dogs getting 7 or more were 10-4 ATS.

IN 2003: Home dogs getting 7 or more were 7-1-1 ATS.

IN 2004: Home dogs getting 7 or more were 7-7 ATS.

IN 2005: Home dogs getting 7 or more were 3-7-1 ATS.

LAST YEAR (2006): Home dogs getting 7 or more were 10-5 ATS.

during these 6 years Home dogs getting 7 or more points go 49-30 for 62 %

Since 1996: Home dogs getting 7 or more are 105-63-7 ATS ( 62 % )

Qualifying teams this week >>> Clevleand & Tennessee

From dogplaya

in  Trends & Things 2007-2008 NFL Week 2

" Over the past 24 games in which the HOME team is favored by 10 or more, ONLY FIVE have covered the spread (with 6 of the huge dogs taking the moneyline). That is an 18-5-1 clip in favor of the road dogs getting double-digits.

In addition, I could only find 1 week (since 2001) in which there were more than 3 games that apply and all home fav's covered. In other words, besides that one week (wk 13 of the 2005 season---3 games applied and all 3 home teams SMASHED their opponent).

 EVERY TIME that this situation existed in more than 2 games, at least one road dog pulled out the ATS win. That totaled out to 13 weekends of >3 double-digit home fav's. 13 weekends and only 1 time no doggies covered. Basically, that tells me that on any weekend of at least 3 double-digit home fav's, at least one dog will always be barking and very likely win on the moneyline.  

Going back just a bit further........double-digit road dogs have covered 46 of the past 71 such games.........double-digit road dogs have covered 82 of the past 130 such games. "

  *******Road dogs ( 10 or more points ) are 46- 25 ATS ( 64.8 % )

********Road Dogs  ( 10 or more points ) are 82-48 ATS  ( 63 % )

Qualifying teams :

Atlanta

Kansas City

NYJets

Oakland