Perhaps you have already done so, and I wouldn't blame you. If so, well done.
I got 12/5 on Monday which has now been shortened to 9/4 with Philly clear favorite. I don't do futures typically because of the prevalence of QB injuries and tying the money up for too long. But this is a a good time to do it, because of the other 3 teams left, I only think one is actually capable of beating the Eagles and that is the Chiefs.
If the Bengals win this weekend they would be a dog to the Eagles so having an Eagles ticket at more than +200 just to win SU would be ideal. And the Bengals IMO don't matchup well with Philly. They still have some O-line and protection issues lingering, didn't hurt in the last game but they are still there and Philly's pass rush is top of the NFL. They also have the top secondary in yards per completion which bodes well as the strength of Cinci is their pass offense and WRs. Meanwhile the Bengals has the 29th ranked yards per completion rate and I think the Eagles pass catching weapons would absolutely torch that secondary.
The 9ers - they have the physicality to beat the Eagles but the hardest thing to do for a rookie is win a road playoff game. Will Brock Purdy go into a Philly and face down the fiercest pass defense in the NFL? I doubt it.
Will that secondary that got torched in the 2nd quarter vs the Seahawks by Gino, Metcalf have an easier time vs AJ Brown and Co. No, in fact I see the Eagles QB and WRs as similar in talent but with an added stud TE and a much more efficient running game. Purdy was missing throws to start that one and the pressure wasn't not on the level of wwhat the Eagles bring.
The Achilles heel for the Eagles is that they have had a tendency to not score many points in the 2nd half. Hasn't resulted in many losses but the 9ers are excellent in the 2nd half. But, if the Birds have the lead, I will be happy to let the chips fall where they may, again, a young QB will have a tough time in that spot.
The Chiefs have the Andy Reid and Mahomes factors, the champ pedigree, the loaded WRs and tough pass rush ingredients. Secondary not as good, run game not as good (they don't use Pacheco enough), but if they survive this week they have a great chance to win another ring. They will probably be around a PK if they play Philly.
In fact, if you like the Chiefs, this is a great time to bet them too. But, they have to get over the hurdle of the conf champ, where Reid lost 4 out of 5 in Philly, where the QB may be gimpy as heck (who knows) and vs a team that beat them the last 3 times and looked dominant last time.
Despite those factors above, I will be taking them vs the Bengals but those factors make a future bet now at odds only slightly bigger than the favored Eagles less appealing.
It's easy to see why the oddsmakers think the Chiefs are more ripe for a home loss than Philly, even though they have both priced up as virtual coin flips.
In most years of the past 20 or so I've been gambling it's the team with the best ATS record and most blowouts that has won the SB and the Eagles fit that this year. They have the most balance in terms of offense/defense and run/pass. They are stacked the way NE teams and KC teams have been in the past with a mix of established studs and young stars just drafted - a hard mix to get with the salary cap rules. They win in the trenches, they have speed on the outside, it's the most complete roster in the NFL, and I still think there's great value in taking them to be crowned champs at more than double your money currently on offer.