This one is easy !!!!

very good point!  they have won every game they have tried to win... this team has a steely resolve that most people aren't figuring into their capping... my experience has taught me that these are the teams that win the SB... frequently in blowout fashion...

11:PM sportsbook---100.00 Parlay Colts ML w/ Under 57--Pays 279.00

100.00 Parlay Colts - 4.5 (no buy down) w/ Under 57 --Pays 390.00

TOPPER--sorry about not getting back to you sooner--From INDY---Had to drive to Maimi--Just got checked in to Hotel--I played a dime on UNDER @ 57 a few days ago---- that is my top pick. Have banked another dime if line moves to 59.5. Also parlayed a dollar on colts -4.5 and Under 56.5 the morning after my last post. Will parlay another dollar if Colts goes to 3.5 and total stays in 55.5 or higher range.

Wish I could find online a place to play the EXACT total. I believe 44 to be the number. It guess it would pay 500-1  or more.

I am liking the under.  In an absolute track meet, the Saints and Cards barely broke 57 indoors.

This game is outdoors on what may be a windy day. If the Colts get ahead, I see them slowing down the game and Saints as well.

Most worried about the game going over if Saints get up big because Manning will score on them IMHO.

Game prediction:  Colts 31-17.

Best bet:  Under 57

[Quote: Originally Posted by The_Wolf]
You guys need to stop drinking that "shoulda" Koolaid.

The reason they won that game is because they hit the piss out of everyone they could causing TO's and hurting Farve. Take away the teams win? Really?

Stats mean absolutely nothing if the scoreboard doesn't agree. Stats only take a bettor so far and we all know that.

I have seen TONS of games where the stats didn't add up. Most of those were won with TO's and special teams in which both the Saints have a big advantage. That is exactly why they won that game. "Farve coulda run for..." Farve had it in his mind if he did, they may just cart him off the field. That's why he didn't run and that's why he threw the pick. Period.

Let's put this shit to bed. Football is a brutally violent sport. Only one hit was even close to illegal. One out of how many?? That my friends is the nature of EVERY D in the NFL: Get after the QB. Otherwise take off the pads, put in your tampons, slip that flag belt over the waistline of your skirt and call your mommy for advice.

 You can put all of your money on this: Manning will take some hard hits. He does not do well after being beat on a bit. He will make some great throws and a few ducks. Let's not give him the MVP trophy before the game though.

Oh and SPLOOGE, The definition of "manhandled" is what Farve was in the Dome.

BOL GENTS!

[/Quote/]

    Don't forget the refs and the boys up in the replay booth.

The reason, I think the projected totals are so high is the public believes that when the first team scores, the other will respond trying to immediately score to play catch up. This may be true if that team is Indy---The Saints may want to play that game. However I would be very suprised that the first team to Score is Indy (PROP Saints score first). Indy doesn't score first often.

AND Indy will not resond by trying to play catch up, at least they haven't all year. Indy will not get serious about putting the ball in the end zone untill the end of the first half. Until that point they play 'chess' for field position. (Note: Established Line for first Quarter Total --10.5).

If the Linegods in Vegas are anywhere close in the first quarter line of 10.5 it would be hard for the teams to go over the first half line of around 28 pts. (two posessions resulting in field golds would certainly prevent that).

Now, the second half play of both teams reveal some interesting stats for both these teams in the playoffs:

#1. The Colts have not allowed a single second half score in the playoffs.

#2. The Saints have only allowed only 14 second half points in the playoffs.

SOMETHING MAGIC happens with both these teams in the locker rooms at halftime.    the Defensive Coachs are smart, maybe? Some say the best in the league.

The Third quarter could be played easily with no touchdowns and a few field golds, while the offensive coaching staff's are figuring out what changes have to be made to handle the defensive halftime changes.

SEASON TOTALS all games played this season:

Colts 47 pts. per road games

Saints 53 pts. for road games

Both teams defenses allowed an average of around 20 pts. per game 'scored against' on the road.

Looks like to me that this game should go atleast 10 or 14 points under th established total---Which, desite all of the $ bet over, the Linegods have not risen to try to cover their losses.

WHAT'SUP-WITHTHAT, anyway?

Like your view...Colts easy

GL

Quote Originally Posted by cajun_one:

Saint's players had all the pressure in the world against them for the NFC championship game and I was there as always.  They won that game for the people of New Orleans and all Saints fans.  You could see the pressure on Brees as he was off a tad in his passing that game.  This game will be back to business and the guys will play loose and inspired football.  I just like the fact the board, espn, and the general public are handing the trophy to the Colts already.  My money will be on the Saint's and that goes without saying that I am a fan.  I wish all the best of luck, but this media and general writeoff of my team is starting to light a fire under my ass and probably theirs as well.

the vikings turned the ball over like 6 times, and still almost won. Payton will not make these mistakes.