Haven't posted much this year but for the record my last two posts for CFB and CBB have been terrible. On that note, let's look at some numbers:
KC 16 1 19 13 1 13
PK TB 27 2 1 21 2 7
The line opened up at PK for TB and quickly went to KC - 3 (madduxsports.com) . For the most part the line has been -3 -120 until today it's 3 -110 at a few books. Typically the Superbowl is played on a Neutral field - this year is an exception.
The numbers tell us this: KC is better in Rushing Off.(16) , Passing off. (1), Passing Def. (13) Sagarin rank (1) . TB is better in Rushing def (1) Schedule strength (7) .
A couple of other categories are close such as Passing off. and Sagarin rank. Since it is on TB's home field you look at previous games played with an opening line of PK and similar scenarios. When I do that - there were a couple of games very similar to the game being played today and the results of those games both had the home team winning SU. One of those games the final score 21 - 25 the other 24-30. Is that a strong indication that TB should win it - No - but it's something vice nothing. My plays:
Haven't posted much this year but for the record my last two posts for CFB and CBB have been terrible. On that note, let's look at some numbers:
KC 16 1 19 13 1 13
PK TB 27 2 1 21 2 7
The line opened up at PK for TB and quickly went to KC - 3 (madduxsports.com) . For the most part the line has been -3 -120 until today it's 3 -110 at a few books. Typically the Superbowl is played on a Neutral field - this year is an exception.
The numbers tell us this: KC is better in Rushing Off.(16) , Passing off. (1), Passing Def. (13) Sagarin rank (1) . TB is better in Rushing def (1) Schedule strength (7) .
A couple of other categories are close such as Passing off. and Sagarin rank. Since it is on TB's home field you look at previous games played with an opening line of PK and similar scenarios. When I do that - there were a couple of games very similar to the game being played today and the results of those games both had the home team winning SU. One of those games the final score 21 - 25 the other 24-30. Is that a strong indication that TB should win it - No - but it's something vice nothing. My plays:
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.