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So you're allllll on Cinci..

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Views: 999
Posts: 12
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 218
Posted: #1
Haven't posted since week 16. I never play week 17 as it has proven to be the least profitable day in sports betting for me. Too many variable that you are never that sure about. Season picked around 58-9% don't have time to look it up now but will soon. 

I have glanced around and it seems like EVERYONE is on Cinci and Green Bay today. 

I agree on Green Bay, I can't see that one going to other way but as a pack fan I tend to be biased and try not to play their games. I can't help it today tho. Also I understand that Schaub hasn't been playing that well but Dalton has looked like crap too and no one is realizing it because they are pulling off wins. Simple fact is Houston is the better team on both sides of the ball and special teams! I'll take the home team. Tomorrow I like the colts quite a bit and I guess I have a lean to seattle but probably going to lay off that one. Here are the picks:

Saturday:
Houston -4 (3 units)
Green Bay -7.5 (1 unit)
Green Bay -1.5/Indy +13 (6 units)
Green Bay/ Minnesota Under 45.5 (3 units)
Minnesota Team Total U 19.5 (4 units)
Indianapolis +7 (-115) (3 units)

Will update if I have anything else for tomorrow, but I doubt it. BOL to all except for the 95% of you on Cinci!
 
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Joined: Nov, 2011
Posts: 632
Posted: #2
HOUSTON AND GREEN BAY FOR ME....CINCIN BENGAL SOUND LIKE DRUNK TO ME...BOL BRO
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2007
Posts: 2052
Posted: #3
see below. I agree, Houston at home feels like the right side but something scares me about the Cincy Defense.

the Bengals are significantly better defensively now than their season rating of 0.4 yppl better than average (5.0 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average team). Cincinnati’s defense struggled through their first 7 games, allowing 5.7 yppl and 26.7 points per game but they made some changes during the bye week and inserted veteran safety Chris Crocker into the starting lineup. The first game after the bye against Denver wasn’t good (6.1 yppl and 31 points allowed), but the Bengals have had the best defense in the league since that game, allowing just 4.3 yppl and 12.8 points per game over their final 8 games to a schedule of teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl and average 21.2 points against an average defense. No team has gained more than 4.8 yppl or scored more than 20 points against Cincinnati over the second half of the season and Houston may not be good enough to reach those numbers in this game.
 
Captain
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Joined: Apr, 2008
Posts: 6513
Posted: #4
Not me. Houston for this guy.  
Bitcoin, not crypto.
 
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Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 4870
Posted: #5
Cant win with Dalton cant win with Palmer cant win with Akili kill me Smith. Did they win a playoff game with Boomer?
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 431
Posted: #6
Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
 
Prospect
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Joined: May, 2010
Posts: 148
Posted: #7
the defense of cinn and special teams are way better  for the bengals. the offense is a toss up. You will see today how good this defense is.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 218
Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by cinnfan1005:

the defense of cinn and special teams are way better  for the bengals. the offense is a toss up. You will see today how good this defense is.

Spoken like a true homer...

1-0 Playoffs +3 units
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 218
Posted: #9
Houston -4 (3 units) 
Green Bay -7.5 (1 unit) 
Green Bay -1.5/Indy +13 (6 units) First leg cash
Green Bay/ Minnesota Under 45.5 (3 units) 
Minnesota Team Total U 19.5 (4 units) 
Indianapolis +7 (-115) (3 units) Pending
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 218
Posted: #10
4-0 +11 units day one
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 218
Posted: #11
Adding Indy +7.5 (2 units) (Add on with updated hook)
Adding Seattle/Washington Under 45 (2 units)
 
 
Rookie
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Joined: Nov, 2011
Posts: 632
Posted: #12
like Seattle/Washington Under 45 BOL
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