Pats -6 biggest bet of the year

I think Denver will be down late in the 4th Q, Tebow will lead them on a comeback but give Brady enough time to answer for the win.

The team who has the ball last will win.

Broncos cover.

If I was going to play any over in this game it would be the total over for the game.

I think the Broncos will only score a lot of points if the Pats do. If the game is low scoring, Fox will stay conservative with his play calling.

I expect a 27-24 game. just my opinion

Tebow had about 200 yards on 15 attempts with 2 tds and very little rush production while mcgahee was about 100 yards and 1 td versus the vikings.

this is probably how belichick will want the game to play out...minimize the option based rush yards, dont sweat the traditional rush yards.

conversely, fox should go with man coverage and front four pressure with safety focus on gronk.  i would allow welker to catch passes underneath and green ellis to get limited yards all day long...what you want to avoid is getting beat and failing to tackle.

game will be close, but i believe pats will be +2 on turnover differential by the end of the game.

pats 34

broncos 27

I don't blame anyone for betting on the Pats this week.

However, laying 6.5 points on the road against one of the hottest teams in football with one of the worst defenses in the league is hardly what I'd be looking for in placing my biggest bet of the year.

No I would not rather have Tebow than Brady in the 4th quarter, but I would take Tebow after Brady, Rodgers and Manning in the 4th quarter.

Tebow has shown that he can pass against bad defenses (see 10-15 200+ yards 2 TDs and 0 int vs the Vikings)

All I'm saying if Tebow has shown he has unreal 4th Q magic and I personally would be terrified to lay money against him.

My prediction is Pats win 27-24. If Broncos can get consistant pressure on Brady, I really do think the Broncos win this game.

in 2 of those 7 wins, the Broncos scored 35 and 38.

Both were against better defenses than the Pats

Quote Originally Posted by nflpicker14:

Pats -6 will be my biggest bet of the year

How is denver going to keep up with the Pats? 
Lets see who the Pats haven't beaten by more than 6:

1. Lost to Giants:  Eli was 20/39 for 250 and 2tds
2. Lost to Seelers: Big ben was 36/50 for 329 and 2tds
3. Beat Cowboys by 4:  Romo was 27/41 for 317 and 1td
4  Lost to Bills: Fitzpatrick was 27/40 for 369 and 2tds
5. Beat Dolphins by 4:  Henne was 30/49 for 416 and 2tds

The Pats weakness is obviously their pass defense and you have to be able to exploit that to beat them. The  question is: Do you think Tebow can exploit that weakness?  My answer is HELL NO!  Look at the qb's listed and look at Tebow. They all threw the ball at least 40 times. 

Obviously there are other angles you can use and you can draw your own conclusions about this matchup, but this is enough for me.
Just thought I would share my thoughts.  GL Fellas

Oh and this thread is not meant to bash or praise Tebow. All comments regarding matchups/strategy/trends are welcome. If you would like to share your opinion of Tebow please go to one of the other 900 Tebow threads

i agree... im also big on the pats..  Anything can happen in this league but i really do feel we are on the right side here.

Packers have a HUGE knack for forcing turnovers, especially turnovers that result in defensive touchdowns. Thats a HUGE plus when you have a bad defense.

Pats don't do that, and have unknown players on defense including some receivers. huge difference

Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz:

its pathtic all these Den backers callin -out ML plays................really Den's D is this strong>? CMON MAN i wasnt even gonna touch this game until all these non sence, now im teasing Pat on all my new teasers and will make a point to pay attendtion to this game.

If and its a BIG "IF" from me Den do keep this one close it will be BRADY not tebow tht will make and finish tha final drive off SKILLs and NOT luck to win tha game either by 3-4-6 or 7

Sunday, December 18th at about 7:30 pm you will severly regret this decision

Go Pats!

Jacksonville JaguarsVSAtlanta Falcons Money Line
(Game) Atlanta Falcons -610
Green Bay PackersVSKansas City Chiefs Money Line
(Game) Green Bay Packers -720
New England PatriotsVSDenver Broncos Money Line
(Game) New England Patriots -280
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