Posted:
#1
Currently at 51
A moderate inflation of the line is what I am seeing due to Oakland's recent defensive debacles.
However, the last 3 games, in giving up lots of points to New Orleans, on the road to Baltimore(on a franchise record setting, extremely anomalous day for the Ravens) and Tampa Bay is not exactly something unexpected. Or surprising. TB and NO can put up points on anyone and Baltimore simply had their mojo going. Oakland is actually 4-1 under this total, on the road.
Can Cincy do the same? Perhaps, but they do not have the same dynamic and multiple threat offense as the last 3 teams Oakland has encountered. In their last 4 home games, Cincy has averaged 21 ppg(and that's with Eli Manning gifting them a lot of those points in one game) I look at Dalton still more of a manager---though A.J. Green is phenomenal and should abuse Oakland's secondary. Ellis is a just a serviceable RB who should get 20 carries today.
The weather will be cold and I suspect that Cincy's defense would like to take some shots on "Benedict Arnold" Carson Palmer.
For what it's worth, since 1980, 14 of the last 16 games between these 2 have gone under 51 points.
I am taking the under 51. Good luck with whatever you may play.
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