***NFL WEEK 9 PLAYS***

Observations for week 9 games:

(Jags -6 vs Chiefs), both teams arent going anywhere this season & the Chiefs are playing for a 1st round pick. Chiefs are coming off a bye week but I still wouldnt bet on this game.

(Ravens -3 at Cinci), Steelers & Cinci (5-2) are both sitting at 5-2 & on top of their division while the Bengals also have the tie breaker over the Steelers. Bengals blew out the Bears 2 weeks ago as a 1 point homedog & here they are once again, a doggy at home. The Ravens (4-3) played well vs the Broncos but the Broncos had peaked when they beat Dallas, Patriots & finally the Chargers on Monday night. There was no where to go but down for the Broncos & we all saw how the Ravens handled them. The media will hype up the Ravens after beating an undefeated Broncos team & the oddsmakers have made the Ravens a road favorite & looking for revenge over the Bengals. I dont buy into the Ravens defensive schemes anymore & they have become more offense oriented than anything. The value play by far here is to take the Bengals +3 & ML.

(Colts -9 vs Texans), Colts (7-0) are coming off a game that saw them struggle offensively vs a 49ers defense. The 49ers knew if they wanted to stay close to the Colts, they would have to bring their defense fully prepared & they did, because they dont have the offensive fire power the Colts have to match touchdowns. The Colts did enough to win the game & Manning looked like he was off his targets most of the day. The Texans (5-3) were down 6-10 at the half & out scored the Bills 25-0 in the 2nd half. The Texans are playing better on the road at 3-1 SU & ATS, only loss coming at Arizona whn they got stopped on the 1 yard line with seconds remaining in the game. Imo, the Texans have the offensive firepower to stick with the Colts & many people will be suprised to see how well these Texans match-up vs the Colts. The Texans have a bye in 2 weeks so they will be all out for the upset win & they could get it in this spot! The Colts have the Patriots in 2 weeks at home, then they have to travel to Baltimore & imo, they will take the Texans lightly which is dangerous because this Texan team is vastly improved from the previous years. This is a great spot for The Texans & I see a ML play on Houston & I will also take the points to back my ML play.

No moneylines are out yet & I will wait to get better lines. I doubt I will get a better line on the Bengals but hopefully I dont have to lay (-125) +3. The Colts are sitting at -9 & I doubt that will go higher but I will wait just in case. Be back with several more observations & plays.

Quote Originally Posted by kittsd:

Good Luck PrimeTime with your card this week -

Thanks man, same to you! 

Adding:

(Falcons -? vs Skins), The Falcons (4-2) will be coming off a very tough game in New Orleans & the Skins (2-5) are off a much needed bye week. The Skins defense is playing pretty good this season, its their offense that cant get anything going. Betting edge: Definitely the Falcons ML in parlays & Falcons in 3 team 10 point teasers. 

(G Bay -9.5 at Tampa). Tampa (0-7) is coming off a much needed bye week after flying to London & getting smacked by the Patriots. The Packers (4-3) played a hard fought game & did manage to put up some points in the 2nd half. The Packers have the Cowbaoys at home in 2 weeks & then the 49ers. Imo, the Packers will play down to their competition but should come away with a win none the less. The Bucs will be hungry to get their 1st win off the bye week but I believe they come up short. This line opened at Packers -10 & quickly got bet down to -9.5. Betting edge: Packers ML parlays & 3 team 10 point teasers, Tampa +9.5 to keep it close.

(Bears -3 vs Arizona), Bears are 4-3 but 3-0 at home & they got a much needed win on Sunday vs the Browns. The Cards are 4-3 but 3-0 on the road which makes this an interesting game. The unbeaten home record of the Bears vs the unbeaten road record of the Cards. The Bears also are 3-0 ATS at home & the Cards are 3-0 ATS on the road. The linesmakers put out a line of 3 & has me scratching my head trying to find the edge on either side. Its going to be Cutler vs Warner is a shootout imo. I see this game going over the total off 44.5 but will not make a play on it, just an observation.

I'm with you on the Texans big time.  I went ahead and played +9 cause I think people will have to come to the realization that the Texans can put up the points to match Indy.  I believe the the line moves toward Indy here. 

I suck at totals, but I played the over at 48 on this game as well, 24 points for each of these teams seems like a givin.  I would think the total will rise a few just before game time, then it will be time to middle this game if possible.  We will see. 

I think the Cowboy line at +3 will move closer to a PK by game time as well so I took the boys, as the public will almost always play the Cowboys.  Especialy after a big win and them being a dog against anyone.  Americas favorite betting team. 

Good luck with your picks, I watch your posts regularly.  I enjoy what you do, thanks for the write ups.

Adding:

(Patriots -10.5 vs Miami), Pats are 5-2 & Miami is 3-4. This is a big game for Miami, they are trying to get to .500. Miami will have to get their special teams involved like they did last week vs the Jets to have a chance to beat the rejuvenated Pats offense. Miami runs the wildcat offense better than any team in the league. Belichick gets his team ready off a bye week. I cant find an edge in this game. Betting edge: None

(Saints -14 vs Carolina), Saints (7-0) are coming off an exciting Monday night battle with the Falcons. The Saints defense didnt look so good allowing Ryan & company to march up & down the field but I believe they have enough weapons to win games when their backs are up against the wall. One key injury coming out of this game for the Saints was their center, that is a major key injury for any team. Carolina (3-4) went into Arizona & slapped them around. Carolina is a jekyl & hyde team, just dont know which team will show up. Betting edge: Saints ML in parlays

(Seahawks -10 vs Lions), Not much to write about with either side. Seattle does usually play well at home & since they are playing the Lions & Lions have to travel out west I will give the edge to Seattle. Betting edge: Seattle in ML parlays & 3 team 10 point teasers.

Will have the rest when I get a chance.

Adding:

Colts/Texans O/U 47.5), Colts came off the bye 2 weeks ago & crushed the Rams & last week came home to get caught of guard by the 49ers defense. Manning was way off target on several passes to his receivers. The 49ers had to play great defense to have a chance in the game & almost pulled off a win with Smith as the Qb. The Texans played lousy in the 1st half vs the Bills but made adjustments at halftime & outscored the Bills 25-0 in the 2nd half. The Texans are without Owen Daniels for this game which is a big minus for the Texans. With all that said, I still like the Texans to cover the spread but I also like the over alot. Manning will not have the same passing game he had last week. He should get back to his "A" game & will connect for atleast 3 touchdowns. Shaub & the Texans are having the best season ever & this is the last game before the bye week for them. The Texans will come out fired up & will be thinking upset & Shaub will trade td for td with Manning keeping it close through out the game & making this game go over the total. Betting edge: Over 47.5

(49ers -4 vs Titans), This line opened up at 49ers -5.5 & was hammered down quicky to 4. Do the sharps know something we dont or is this an over reaction of Vince Young getting his 1st win this season. The 49ers are fighting to win their division & a win here would help. The Titans finally won their first game of the season & I actuall see the Titans playing a close game. Betting edge: None

(Giants -5 vs Chargers), The Giants started out 5-0 & have lost 3 straight games & given up over 30 ppg. The Giants went from 1st place in the division to 3rd place at 5-3. The Chargers started off slow in the season but have won 2 straight games. The Chargers are sitting in 2nd place in their division at 4-3 & 2 games behind the 6-1 Broncos. The Giants are 2-0 vs the AFC but looking at those wins reveal a win vs the Chiefs & a win over Oakland. This is the 1st NFC opponent the Chargers are facing. Everyone is asking what is wrong with the Giants, I just think they are just an average team. The Chargers are nothing to write home about either but I do believe the Chargers were over looking the Raiders last week because of the big game vs the Giants coming up.I believe the Chargers will take the lead in the beginning of this game & will fight to keep it the whole game. Betting edge: Chargers +5

Thanks man, I appreciate it! 

I wont touch the Tuesday night game, good luck if you do.

Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

I agree with you on the Colts/ Texans game,  The Texan always play the Colts very tight.. 10 pts. is alot to give to Houston... I'm with you on the Over... these 2 teams always score alot of points when they're playing each other.. GL this week PTB   

Thanks man, good luck to you too! 

When I saw Daniels go down last week, I had a bad feeling but they still came back to cover that game last week, hopefully they can do the same this week. Bengals wont need the points in this game, atleast I hope not, LoL! Thanks man, good luck to you too!

BOL this weekend