It seems like all season there has been little to no value on the Panthers as they have only covered the spread twice in 10 tries as they have been spanked routinely including 3 weeks in a row. I believe at this point in the year starting this week there is value on the Panthers.
I think this week is the tipping point for a few reasons. First of all Carolina actually showed some signs of life last week. The scoreboard shows a 20+ point blowout but the spread was only 7 points with about 6 minutes to go when Baltimore got a couple pick 6's and broke the game open. Several Panthers players said after the game that they thought they had a chance and the score did not reflect the game. This is important because it will give them some confidence going forward. The Panthers already went through their "we suck and will quit phase", now there is a new focus as so often happens with bad teams towards the latter part of the year. Now the attitude is to play hard down the stretch, play for jobs, and to play for next year. The quitting is over. Teams don't just lay down for weeks on end in this league, a few weeks maybe but these are still professionals. Flash back to last year and look at their opponent this week, the Cleveland Browns. The Browns started last year 1-8 and had covered just 3 games. They were past the point of quitting and started playing several younger players looking forward to next year (like the Panthers right now) and proceeded to play loose the rest of the season and covered their final 7 games.
I'm not saying the Panthers will cover every game the rest of the year but I feel we have reached that crucial tipping point with them this week. Another thing to consider is Carolina is considered the laughing stock of the league right now and easily the worst team after Buffalo won last week. I'm sure that won't sit well and will be further motivation to put in a quality effort. The Browns have been a nice story this year as they've been competitive but let's not kid ourselves, this is still not a good football team and seeing them 10 point favorites over anyone is laughable.
Jake Delhomme as a 10 point fav.
If I find a nice price or the line goes up a bit I will be playing the ML too.
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Carolina +10
It seems like all season there has been little to no value on the Panthers as they have only covered the spread twice in 10 tries as they have been spanked routinely including 3 weeks in a row. I believe at this point in the year starting this week there is value on the Panthers.
I think this week is the tipping point for a few reasons. First of all Carolina actually showed some signs of life last week. The scoreboard shows a 20+ point blowout but the spread was only 7 points with about 6 minutes to go when Baltimore got a couple pick 6's and broke the game open. Several Panthers players said after the game that they thought they had a chance and the score did not reflect the game. This is important because it will give them some confidence going forward. The Panthers already went through their "we suck and will quit phase", now there is a new focus as so often happens with bad teams towards the latter part of the year. Now the attitude is to play hard down the stretch, play for jobs, and to play for next year. The quitting is over. Teams don't just lay down for weeks on end in this league, a few weeks maybe but these are still professionals. Flash back to last year and look at their opponent this week, the Cleveland Browns. The Browns started last year 1-8 and had covered just 3 games. They were past the point of quitting and started playing several younger players looking forward to next year (like the Panthers right now) and proceeded to play loose the rest of the season and covered their final 7 games.
I'm not saying the Panthers will cover every game the rest of the year but I feel we have reached that crucial tipping point with them this week. Another thing to consider is Carolina is considered the laughing stock of the league right now and easily the worst team after Buffalo won last week. I'm sure that won't sit well and will be further motivation to put in a quality effort. The Browns have been a nice story this year as they've been competitive but let's not kid ourselves, this is still not a good football team and seeing them 10 point favorites over anyone is laughable.
Jake Delhomme as a 10 point fav.
If I find a nice price or the line goes up a bit I will be playing the ML too.
I'm jumping back on the Rams this week. I had St. Louis last week against Atlanta and even though they lost 34-17 I was thoroughly impressed with the Rams. They played hard all game but the balance of the Falcons and their ability to convert 3rd downs and chew the clock was just too much for the Rams. I bet the Rams last week because I thought it would be a flat spot for the Falcons, Atlanta did not play flat at all and the Rams gave them a real game. The Falcons got some garbage points late but this was a close game throughout and I'm sure it has to give the Rams some confidence going forward.
The Rams have covered so many spreads this year but chewing clock and playing good defense. They weren't able to control the clock last week because of the balance of the Falcons (having a rookie corner on Roddy White in the 4th Q due to injuries didn't help either as he had some big catches on 3rd downs). The Rams rank 8th in the league in time of possession and this week they face a Denver defense that can't stop anybody. I expect the Rams to come out and be able to run and pass while chewing clock and shortening the game which is something they've done all season. The Rams lost last week because a more advanced version of themselves (the Falcons) controlled the ball over the Rams. This week St. Louis plays a Denver team that is 8th from the bottom in TOP so I think the Rams should have a clear advantage in controlling the clock. The Rams are 0-4 on the road this year but are 3-1 ATS with their last two road losses coming in the final minute of the 4th and in OT so they are getting very close to winning one outright on the road.
While the Rams are still playing hard and are in the thick of a playoff race, the Broncos are well back. Denver may have still had a faint hope with that big win over KC two weeks ago but now they are 3-7 and last in the division by a mile. Once San Diego started rolling last week and the Broncos lost their lead it really looked like they quit. Some of their efforts on tackles in the 2nd half were pathetic. I think Denver might not just give a fuck in this one and may lay down as their season is officially done.
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St. Louis +4 & ML +185
I'm jumping back on the Rams this week. I had St. Louis last week against Atlanta and even though they lost 34-17 I was thoroughly impressed with the Rams. They played hard all game but the balance of the Falcons and their ability to convert 3rd downs and chew the clock was just too much for the Rams. I bet the Rams last week because I thought it would be a flat spot for the Falcons, Atlanta did not play flat at all and the Rams gave them a real game. The Falcons got some garbage points late but this was a close game throughout and I'm sure it has to give the Rams some confidence going forward.
The Rams have covered so many spreads this year but chewing clock and playing good defense. They weren't able to control the clock last week because of the balance of the Falcons (having a rookie corner on Roddy White in the 4th Q due to injuries didn't help either as he had some big catches on 3rd downs). The Rams rank 8th in the league in time of possession and this week they face a Denver defense that can't stop anybody. I expect the Rams to come out and be able to run and pass while chewing clock and shortening the game which is something they've done all season. The Rams lost last week because a more advanced version of themselves (the Falcons) controlled the ball over the Rams. This week St. Louis plays a Denver team that is 8th from the bottom in TOP so I think the Rams should have a clear advantage in controlling the clock. The Rams are 0-4 on the road this year but are 3-1 ATS with their last two road losses coming in the final minute of the 4th and in OT so they are getting very close to winning one outright on the road.
While the Rams are still playing hard and are in the thick of a playoff race, the Broncos are well back. Denver may have still had a faint hope with that big win over KC two weeks ago but now they are 3-7 and last in the division by a mile. Once San Diego started rolling last week and the Broncos lost their lead it really looked like they quit. Some of their efforts on tackles in the 2nd half were pathetic. I think Denver might not just give a fuck in this one and may lay down as their season is officially done.
When I first looked at this game I said to myself this is the week the overachieving Bucs get crushed. But my opinion quickly shifted as I pondered the question, are the Bucs really overachieving? And will they actually be scared enough of the big bad Ravens to unravel?
Bettors seem to be willing to support the Bucs this week but I don't think they are truly getting the respect that they deserve in the sporting world. If you look at all the power rankings and stuff people are saying in mainstream publications you will see they all have Tampa ranked around 10th and they all essential say without saying it "The Bucs are 10th because they are somehow 7-3 but if they lose against Baltimore they will drop a bunch because we don't really believe in these guys yet". That's just it, I don't think anybody but the guys in the Bucs locker room think these guys are actually any good or a real contender. It's disrespect across the board and it's incredible motivation for a team that is playing loose and with a supreme level of confidence right now. They have proven they can win on the road, they know they have a baller for a QB, they love their coach, they have rallied back from deficits all year and they are learning how to win. What's not to love?
The Bucs are 5-0 ATS on the road this year and going back to last year they have covered 9 of their last 10 on the road. I don't see these guys melting down on the road in a hostile environment for a few reasons. #1 They are comfortable on the road. #2. The have a great young QB and they don't turn the ball over as they've given it away just 14 times in 10 games. #3 They are too young to know any better than to play hard every game. There are no egos, just a team getting better each week and playing as a unit. The Bucs were blown out by Pittsburgh and New Orleans earlier in the year and the "they aren't good against good teams" argument may have held some weight but just a few weeks ago they waltzed into the Georgia Dome as 10 point dogs in a game many expected them to get pasted in and all they did was battle all game. They got down 14-0 early but showed no panic and no quit as they only lost by 6 against a team many consider the best in the NFL they and actually had a chance to win the game SU on the final possession.
If you had asked me about the Bucs in July I would have told you I loved them this year and their season wins total OVER would have been my biggest bet but I pussied out and actually thought they wouldn't be as good as I thought they would be. Well I think the Bucs earn some more respect on Sunday as they give the Ravens one hell of a scare and prove they are for real.
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Tampa Bay +9
When I first looked at this game I said to myself this is the week the overachieving Bucs get crushed. But my opinion quickly shifted as I pondered the question, are the Bucs really overachieving? And will they actually be scared enough of the big bad Ravens to unravel?
Bettors seem to be willing to support the Bucs this week but I don't think they are truly getting the respect that they deserve in the sporting world. If you look at all the power rankings and stuff people are saying in mainstream publications you will see they all have Tampa ranked around 10th and they all essential say without saying it "The Bucs are 10th because they are somehow 7-3 but if they lose against Baltimore they will drop a bunch because we don't really believe in these guys yet". That's just it, I don't think anybody but the guys in the Bucs locker room think these guys are actually any good or a real contender. It's disrespect across the board and it's incredible motivation for a team that is playing loose and with a supreme level of confidence right now. They have proven they can win on the road, they know they have a baller for a QB, they love their coach, they have rallied back from deficits all year and they are learning how to win. What's not to love?
The Bucs are 5-0 ATS on the road this year and going back to last year they have covered 9 of their last 10 on the road. I don't see these guys melting down on the road in a hostile environment for a few reasons. #1 They are comfortable on the road. #2. The have a great young QB and they don't turn the ball over as they've given it away just 14 times in 10 games. #3 They are too young to know any better than to play hard every game. There are no egos, just a team getting better each week and playing as a unit. The Bucs were blown out by Pittsburgh and New Orleans earlier in the year and the "they aren't good against good teams" argument may have held some weight but just a few weeks ago they waltzed into the Georgia Dome as 10 point dogs in a game many expected them to get pasted in and all they did was battle all game. They got down 14-0 early but showed no panic and no quit as they only lost by 6 against a team many consider the best in the NFL they and actually had a chance to win the game SU on the final possession.
If you had asked me about the Bucs in July I would have told you I loved them this year and their season wins total OVER would have been my biggest bet but I pussied out and actually thought they wouldn't be as good as I thought they would be. Well I think the Bucs earn some more respect on Sunday as they give the Ravens one hell of a scare and prove they are for real.
Btw, do you ever play halftime lines? I can usually find value in at least two games a week I feel like. They've bailed me out several times already this year. Then again, they've bitten me a few times also
I do a little but not as much as I would like. I would like to get more into HT lines though.
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Quote Originally Posted by JohnAlz:
Btw, do you ever play halftime lines? I can usually find value in at least two games a week I feel like. They've bailed me out several times already this year. Then again, they've bitten me a few times also
I do a little but not as much as I would like. I would like to get more into HT lines though.
When I first looked at this game I said to myself this is the week the overachieving Bucs get crushed. But my opinion quickly shifted as I pondered the question, are the Bucs really overachieving? And will they actually be scared enough of the big bad Ravens to unravel?
Bettors seem to be willing to support the Bucs this week but I don't think they are truly getting the respect that they deserve in the sporting world. If you look at all the power rankings and stuff people are saying in mainstream publications you will see they all have Tampa ranked around 10th and they all essential say without saying it "The Bucs are 10th because they are somehow 7-3 but if they lose against Baltimore they will drop a bunch because we don't really believe in these guys yet". That's just it, I don't think anybody but the guys in the Bucs locker room think these guys are actually any good or a real contender. It's disrespect across the board and it's incredible motivation for a team that is playing loose and with a supreme level of confidence right now. They have proven they can win on the road, they know they have a baller for a QB, they love their coach, they have rallied back from deficits all year and they are learning how to win. What's not to love?
The Bucs are 5-0 ATS on the road this year and going back to last year they have covered 9 of their last 10 on the road. I don't see these guys melting down on the road in a hostile environment for a few reasons. #1 They are comfortable on the road. #2. The have a great young QB and they don't turn the ball over as they've given it away just 14 times in 10 games. #3 They are too young to know any better than to play hard every game. There are no egos, just a team getting better each week and playing as a unit. The Bucs were blown out by Pittsburgh and New Orleans earlier in the year and the "they aren't good against good teams" argument may have held some weight but just a few weeks ago they waltzed into the Georgia Dome as 10 point dogs in a game many expected them to get pasted in and all they did was battle all game. They got down 14-0 early but showed no panic and no quit as they only lost by 6 against a team many consider the best in the NFL they and actually had a chance to win the game SU on the final possession.
If you had asked me about the Bucs in July I would have told you I loved them this year and their season wins total OVER would have been my biggest bet but I pussied out and actually thought they wouldn't be as good as I thought they would be. Well I think the Bucs earn some more respect on Sunday as they give the Ravens one hell of a scare and prove they are for real.
Great writeup! I grabbed it at +7.5 which I'm not thrilled about, but I like you am not scared of the Ravens. TB is getting no respect this season. Love this play man
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
Tampa Bay +9
When I first looked at this game I said to myself this is the week the overachieving Bucs get crushed. But my opinion quickly shifted as I pondered the question, are the Bucs really overachieving? And will they actually be scared enough of the big bad Ravens to unravel?
Bettors seem to be willing to support the Bucs this week but I don't think they are truly getting the respect that they deserve in the sporting world. If you look at all the power rankings and stuff people are saying in mainstream publications you will see they all have Tampa ranked around 10th and they all essential say without saying it "The Bucs are 10th because they are somehow 7-3 but if they lose against Baltimore they will drop a bunch because we don't really believe in these guys yet". That's just it, I don't think anybody but the guys in the Bucs locker room think these guys are actually any good or a real contender. It's disrespect across the board and it's incredible motivation for a team that is playing loose and with a supreme level of confidence right now. They have proven they can win on the road, they know they have a baller for a QB, they love their coach, they have rallied back from deficits all year and they are learning how to win. What's not to love?
The Bucs are 5-0 ATS on the road this year and going back to last year they have covered 9 of their last 10 on the road. I don't see these guys melting down on the road in a hostile environment for a few reasons. #1 They are comfortable on the road. #2. The have a great young QB and they don't turn the ball over as they've given it away just 14 times in 10 games. #3 They are too young to know any better than to play hard every game. There are no egos, just a team getting better each week and playing as a unit. The Bucs were blown out by Pittsburgh and New Orleans earlier in the year and the "they aren't good against good teams" argument may have held some weight but just a few weeks ago they waltzed into the Georgia Dome as 10 point dogs in a game many expected them to get pasted in and all they did was battle all game. They got down 14-0 early but showed no panic and no quit as they only lost by 6 against a team many consider the best in the NFL they and actually had a chance to win the game SU on the final possession.
If you had asked me about the Bucs in July I would have told you I loved them this year and their season wins total OVER would have been my biggest bet but I pussied out and actually thought they wouldn't be as good as I thought they would be. Well I think the Bucs earn some more respect on Sunday as they give the Ravens one hell of a scare and prove they are for real.
Great writeup! I grabbed it at +7.5 which I'm not thrilled about, but I like you am not scared of the Ravens. TB is getting no respect this season. Love this play man
wow. we're on a lot of the same sides, here. GL to us. Been thinking about Carolina here, too. their D was impressive last week. nice write-up on Rams, TPA.
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wow. we're on a lot of the same sides, here. GL to us. Been thinking about Carolina here, too. their D was impressive last week. nice write-up on Rams, TPA.
Great writeup! I grabbed it at +7.5 which I'm not thrilled about, but I like you am not scared of the Ravens. TB is getting no respect this season. Love this play man
There's something off about the Ravens this year. Maybe they are bored with the regular season. They used to crush teams as big favs home. So far this year they did beat Denver but struggled to put away Cleveland and needed OT to beat the Bills.
Their running game has struggled too as Ray Rice is having nowhere near the year he did last season and as a team the Ravens are averaging just 3.7 yards per carry which is a full yard less than last season and is 27th in the league.
Perhaps most shocking is the drop off in their run defense. In years past they were always Top 5 in yards per carry allowed at somewhere just over 3 YPC. In fact here is their ranking starting from last year in that category since Ray Lewis' second season: 1st, 5th, 1st, 2nd, 7th, 2nd, 3rd, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 1st, 6th, and 3rd. Sheer dominance. This year through 10 games they are 20th allowing a whooping (for them) 4.2 yards per carry. Huh?
Me thinks Mr. Lewis may be losing a step or two.
GL bud. Except of course on the Pats.
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Quote Originally Posted by JohnAlz:
Great writeup! I grabbed it at +7.5 which I'm not thrilled about, but I like you am not scared of the Ravens. TB is getting no respect this season. Love this play man
There's something off about the Ravens this year. Maybe they are bored with the regular season. They used to crush teams as big favs home. So far this year they did beat Denver but struggled to put away Cleveland and needed OT to beat the Bills.
Their running game has struggled too as Ray Rice is having nowhere near the year he did last season and as a team the Ravens are averaging just 3.7 yards per carry which is a full yard less than last season and is 27th in the league.
Perhaps most shocking is the drop off in their run defense. In years past they were always Top 5 in yards per carry allowed at somewhere just over 3 YPC. In fact here is their ranking starting from last year in that category since Ray Lewis' second season: 1st, 5th, 1st, 2nd, 7th, 2nd, 3rd, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 1st, 6th, and 3rd. Sheer dominance. This year through 10 games they are 20th allowing a whooping (for them) 4.2 yards per carry. Huh?
wow. we're on a lot of the same sides, here. GL to us. Been thinking about Carolina here, too. their D was impressive last week. nice write-up on Rams, TPA.
Good to hear. I love this card, still looking at a couple more too.
Although I've loved all my cards for the last 5 weeks and they've ended up being disasters. It's not like I'm laying my money on games I don't feel confident in, they just aren't coming in. Maybe I'm on the wrong side too much and just can't see it. A blind folded monkey chucking darts could have done a hell of a lot better than I did the last 5 weeks, and that's a lock.
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Quote Originally Posted by Skipster:
wow. we're on a lot of the same sides, here. GL to us. Been thinking about Carolina here, too. their D was impressive last week. nice write-up on Rams, TPA.
Good to hear. I love this card, still looking at a couple more too.
Although I've loved all my cards for the last 5 weeks and they've ended up being disasters. It's not like I'm laying my money on games I don't feel confident in, they just aren't coming in. Maybe I'm on the wrong side too much and just can't see it. A blind folded monkey chucking darts could have done a hell of a lot better than I did the last 5 weeks, and that's a lock.
ball's been bouncing funny lately, andy. and that's a fact. Rams, Cleveland, giants last weekend. Yikes. Made me glad I'm not a book. they took it up the shorts, big time.
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ball's been bouncing funny lately, andy. and that's a fact. Rams, Cleveland, giants last weekend. Yikes. Made me glad I'm not a book. they took it up the shorts, big time.
Hang in there Andy. This has been a strange season but the real money is always made late in the season.
Been taking teasers lately with some sucess. They are working for 2 reasons this year. The +10 points help hedge the dreaded Moose that has been haunting so many betters this year and the 3 game action for 1 unit play has kept me from overextending my bank as an action junkie. Here is what I have open ...
Hit on the Over MNF game so I still have these 2 going today
Pats +3.5 ... as a Jets fan I would happily lose a unit to see the Pats lose but Brady has been awesome and I think you nailed it when you said the Browns already caught them with the pants down this year. The talk in Detriot is already going to who they take number 1 next year so while the Lions are ATS machines I think their dismal record and string of near miss loses is starting to wear down the teams moral.
Bengals/Jets o34 ... Neither team has played much defense lately. Bengals have an ax to grind after the Jets ended their season in 09 w/back to back loses. I might just take the Bengals straight as well here. Think the Jets are about to run out of miracles and are looking ahead to the Pats on MNF.
Another 3 game tease
Vikings +11 ... Hoping return of Rice and loss of Childress is the spark they were missing.
Eagles/Bears o32.5 ... Bears D isn't that good. Vick runs for 80 yards I think. Cutler in for long day with the Eagles blitz packages.
Packers +11 ... Falcons are about to get tested here. GB has been rolling and I think they might have finally "clicked" which is bad news for the rest of the league.
Straight Bets
Saints -4 ... Hate the dreaded minus 4 line but I am with Glyde on this one. Saints have been rolling and mowing down teams for last 3 weeks. Bush is back which is a big weapon for them. Cowboys caught the Giants napping and beat up on the Lions but the Champs should be too much for them.
Gonna wait till Sunday to take any straight action since I want to see how Thursday plays out but I am leaning both GB+1 and Eagles -3.5 (will prob buy the hook). Both teams I think are playoff bound and could be the cream of the NFC.
GL to all. Lets get back to our winning ways.
I am on the Pats side. I am a Jets fan so this is on bet I would love to lose
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Hang in there Andy. This has been a strange season but the real money is always made late in the season.
Been taking teasers lately with some sucess. They are working for 2 reasons this year. The +10 points help hedge the dreaded Moose that has been haunting so many betters this year and the 3 game action for 1 unit play has kept me from overextending my bank as an action junkie. Here is what I have open ...
Hit on the Over MNF game so I still have these 2 going today
Pats +3.5 ... as a Jets fan I would happily lose a unit to see the Pats lose but Brady has been awesome and I think you nailed it when you said the Browns already caught them with the pants down this year. The talk in Detriot is already going to who they take number 1 next year so while the Lions are ATS machines I think their dismal record and string of near miss loses is starting to wear down the teams moral.
Bengals/Jets o34 ... Neither team has played much defense lately. Bengals have an ax to grind after the Jets ended their season in 09 w/back to back loses. I might just take the Bengals straight as well here. Think the Jets are about to run out of miracles and are looking ahead to the Pats on MNF.
Another 3 game tease
Vikings +11 ... Hoping return of Rice and loss of Childress is the spark they were missing.
Eagles/Bears o32.5 ... Bears D isn't that good. Vick runs for 80 yards I think. Cutler in for long day with the Eagles blitz packages.
Packers +11 ... Falcons are about to get tested here. GB has been rolling and I think they might have finally "clicked" which is bad news for the rest of the league.
Straight Bets
Saints -4 ... Hate the dreaded minus 4 line but I am with Glyde on this one. Saints have been rolling and mowing down teams for last 3 weeks. Bush is back which is a big weapon for them. Cowboys caught the Giants napping and beat up on the Lions but the Champs should be too much for them.
Gonna wait till Sunday to take any straight action since I want to see how Thursday plays out but I am leaning both GB+1 and Eagles -3.5 (will prob buy the hook). Both teams I think are playoff bound and could be the cream of the NFC.
GL to all. Lets get back to our winning ways.
I am on the Pats side. I am a Jets fan so this is on bet I would love to lose
I don't think I can back the shitstorm Panthers at any spread, but good cases for TB and STL. I was eyeing down the Bucs myself, but when I made a move to lock it up it had already jumped to 7.5. Normally I would hop on it before it falls to 7, but line movement has been very tricky of late, and I "think" I'm on to their shenanigans. I'm gonna wait it out and try to get it higher.
Looking at the Pack and SD among others. One is a fade of the Falcons where I saw a clip of their locker room after last week's game. They were celebrating like it was the Super Bowl, and Coach Smith made a speech that ended with something like "see you guys Friday" before the locker room erupted. So two days of practice to prepare for a team that is getting hot? One of those days a bloated Friday after Thanksgiving?
Also took Texas A&M -3. A guy I work with has this system he does and while I don't believe it for a second(it revolves around 3 point spreads in NCAA and NFL and ONLY works with the Daily News line on the day of the game), it literally has won like 20 times in a row. It doesn't make a drop of sense, and I don't have the heart to tell the guy, but I'll be damned if it hasn't been perfect since Week 3.
I'll be back before Sunday. I have 4 days of capping, Call of Duty, Sons of Anarchy marathon, vicodin, and FOOD ahead of me.
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Some good writeups, Andy.
I don't think I can back the shitstorm Panthers at any spread, but good cases for TB and STL. I was eyeing down the Bucs myself, but when I made a move to lock it up it had already jumped to 7.5. Normally I would hop on it before it falls to 7, but line movement has been very tricky of late, and I "think" I'm on to their shenanigans. I'm gonna wait it out and try to get it higher.
Looking at the Pack and SD among others. One is a fade of the Falcons where I saw a clip of their locker room after last week's game. They were celebrating like it was the Super Bowl, and Coach Smith made a speech that ended with something like "see you guys Friday" before the locker room erupted. So two days of practice to prepare for a team that is getting hot? One of those days a bloated Friday after Thanksgiving?
Also took Texas A&M -3. A guy I work with has this system he does and while I don't believe it for a second(it revolves around 3 point spreads in NCAA and NFL and ONLY works with the Daily News line on the day of the game), it literally has won like 20 times in a row. It doesn't make a drop of sense, and I don't have the heart to tell the guy, but I'll be damned if it hasn't been perfect since Week 3.
I'll be back before Sunday. I have 4 days of capping, Call of Duty, Sons of Anarchy marathon, vicodin, and FOOD ahead of me.
29-27 is nothing to be ashamed of...Most football talking heads finish the season worse than chance, that is, they would have been better off picking games by tossing a dart at team names on a dartboard instead of attempting actual capping...
I am not crazy about the Lions pick...so many years of DREADFUL Thanksgiving Day games....but I respect your posts enough to throw something on it (and I NEED some action today)...I do like that fact that the Pats let the Colts waltz under the spread to cover last week in the 4th...that was Peyton Manning leading the charge though...Indigestion is setting in already and I haven't even started eating...GL to us
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29-27 is nothing to be ashamed of...Most football talking heads finish the season worse than chance, that is, they would have been better off picking games by tossing a dart at team names on a dartboard instead of attempting actual capping...
I am not crazy about the Lions pick...so many years of DREADFUL Thanksgiving Day games....but I respect your posts enough to throw something on it (and I NEED some action today)...I do like that fact that the Pats let the Colts waltz under the spread to cover last week in the 4th...that was Peyton Manning leading the charge though...Indigestion is setting in already and I haven't even started eating...GL to us
Hang in there Andy. This has been a strange season but the real money is always made late in the season.
Been taking teasers lately with some sucess. They are working for 2 reasons this year. The +10 points help hedge the dreaded Moose that has been haunting so many betters this year and the 3 game action for 1 unit play has kept me from overextending my bank as an action junkie. Here is what I have open ...
Hit on the Over MNF game so I still have these 2 going today
Pats +3.5 ... as a Jets fan I would happily lose a unit to see the Pats lose but Brady has been awesome and I think you nailed it when you said the Browns already caught them with the pants down this year. The talk in Detriot is already going to who they take number 1 next year so while the Lions are ATS machines I think their dismal record and string of near miss loses is starting to wear down the teams moral.
Bengals/Jets o34 ... Neither team has played much defense lately. Bengals have an ax to grind after the Jets ended their season in 09 w/back to back loses. I might just take the Bengals straight as well here. Think the Jets are about to run out of miracles and are looking ahead to the Pats on MNF.
Another 3 game tease
Vikings +11 ... Hoping return of Rice and loss of Childress is the spark they were missing.
Eagles/Bears o32.5 ... Bears D isn't that good. Vick runs for 80 yards I think. Cutler in for long day with the Eagles blitz packages.
Packers +11 ... Falcons are about to get tested here. GB has been rolling and I think they might have finally "clicked" which is bad news for the rest of the league.
Straight Bets
Saints -4 ... Hate the dreaded minus 4 line but I am with Glyde on this one. Saints have been rolling and mowing down teams for last 3 weeks. Bush is back which is a big weapon for them. Cowboys caught the Giants napping and beat up on the Lions but the Champs should be too much for them.
Gonna wait till Sunday to take any straight action since I want to see how Thursday plays out but I am leaning both GB+1 and Eagles -3.5 (will prob buy the hook). Both teams I think are playoff bound and could be the cream of the NFC.
GL to all. Lets get back to our winning wa
Looks solid, Remy. You know I'm not a fan of any kind of exotic wagers, but stick with what works for you. Besides that, I like the teams you have plugged into your teasers.
0
Quote Originally Posted by REMYREVERE:
Hang in there Andy. This has been a strange season but the real money is always made late in the season.
Been taking teasers lately with some sucess. They are working for 2 reasons this year. The +10 points help hedge the dreaded Moose that has been haunting so many betters this year and the 3 game action for 1 unit play has kept me from overextending my bank as an action junkie. Here is what I have open ...
Hit on the Over MNF game so I still have these 2 going today
Pats +3.5 ... as a Jets fan I would happily lose a unit to see the Pats lose but Brady has been awesome and I think you nailed it when you said the Browns already caught them with the pants down this year. The talk in Detriot is already going to who they take number 1 next year so while the Lions are ATS machines I think their dismal record and string of near miss loses is starting to wear down the teams moral.
Bengals/Jets o34 ... Neither team has played much defense lately. Bengals have an ax to grind after the Jets ended their season in 09 w/back to back loses. I might just take the Bengals straight as well here. Think the Jets are about to run out of miracles and are looking ahead to the Pats on MNF.
Another 3 game tease
Vikings +11 ... Hoping return of Rice and loss of Childress is the spark they were missing.
Eagles/Bears o32.5 ... Bears D isn't that good. Vick runs for 80 yards I think. Cutler in for long day with the Eagles blitz packages.
Packers +11 ... Falcons are about to get tested here. GB has been rolling and I think they might have finally "clicked" which is bad news for the rest of the league.
Straight Bets
Saints -4 ... Hate the dreaded minus 4 line but I am with Glyde on this one. Saints have been rolling and mowing down teams for last 3 weeks. Bush is back which is a big weapon for them. Cowboys caught the Giants napping and beat up on the Lions but the Champs should be too much for them.
Gonna wait till Sunday to take any straight action since I want to see how Thursday plays out but I am leaning both GB+1 and Eagles -3.5 (will prob buy the hook). Both teams I think are playoff bound and could be the cream of the NFC.
GL to all. Lets get back to our winning wa
Looks solid, Remy. You know I'm not a fan of any kind of exotic wagers, but stick with what works for you. Besides that, I like the teams you have plugged into your teasers.
I don't think I can back the shitstorm Panthers at any spread, but good cases for TB and STL. I was eyeing down the Bucs myself, but when I made a move to lock it up it had already jumped to 7.5. Normally I would hop on it before it falls to 7, but line movement has been very tricky of late, and I "think" I'm on to their shenanigans. I'm gonna wait it out and try to get it higher.
Looking at the Pack and SD among others. One is a fade of the Falcons where I saw a clip of their locker room after last week's game. They were celebrating like it was the Super Bowl, and Coach Smith made a speech that ended with something like "see you guys Friday" before the locker room erupted. So two days of practice to prepare for a team that is getting hot? One of those days a bloated Friday after Thanksgiving?
Also took Texas A&M -3. A guy I work with has this system he does and while I don't believe it for a second(it revolves around 3 point spreads in NCAA and NFL and ONLY works with the Daily News line on the day of the game), it literally has won like 20 times in a row. It doesn't make a drop of sense, and I don't have the heart to tell the guy, but I'll be damned if it hasn't been perfect since Week 3.
I'll be back before Sunday. I have 4 days of capping, Call of Duty, Sons of Anarchy marathon, vicodin, and FOOD ahead of me.
See you guys Friday???!??!??!?? Are you sure you heard that right?????
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Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
Some good writeups, Andy.
I don't think I can back the shitstorm Panthers at any spread, but good cases for TB and STL. I was eyeing down the Bucs myself, but when I made a move to lock it up it had already jumped to 7.5. Normally I would hop on it before it falls to 7, but line movement has been very tricky of late, and I "think" I'm on to their shenanigans. I'm gonna wait it out and try to get it higher.
Looking at the Pack and SD among others. One is a fade of the Falcons where I saw a clip of their locker room after last week's game. They were celebrating like it was the Super Bowl, and Coach Smith made a speech that ended with something like "see you guys Friday" before the locker room erupted. So two days of practice to prepare for a team that is getting hot? One of those days a bloated Friday after Thanksgiving?
Also took Texas A&M -3. A guy I work with has this system he does and while I don't believe it for a second(it revolves around 3 point spreads in NCAA and NFL and ONLY works with the Daily News line on the day of the game), it literally has won like 20 times in a row. It doesn't make a drop of sense, and I don't have the heart to tell the guy, but I'll be damned if it hasn't been perfect since Week 3.
I'll be back before Sunday. I have 4 days of capping, Call of Duty, Sons of Anarchy marathon, vicodin, and FOOD ahead of me.
See you guys Friday???!??!??!?? Are you sure you heard that right?????
Hang in there Andy. This has been a strange season but the real money is always made late in the season.
Been taking teasers lately with some sucess. They are working for 2 reasons this year. The +10 points help hedge the dreaded Moose that has been haunting so many betters this year and the 3 game action for 1 unit play has kept me from overextending my bank as an action junkie. Here is what I have open ...
Hit on the Over MNF game so I still have these 2 going today
Pats +3.5 ... as a Jets fan I would happily lose a unit to see the Pats lose but Brady has been awesome and I think you nailed it when you said the Browns already caught them with the pants down this year. The talk in Detriot is already going to who they take number 1 next year so while the Lions are ATS machines I think their dismal record and string of near miss loses is starting to wear down the teams moral.
Bengals/Jets o34 ... Neither team has played much defense lately. Bengals have an ax to grind after the Jets ended their season in 09 w/back to back loses. I might just take the Bengals straight as well here. Think the Jets are about to run out of miracles and are looking ahead to the Pats on MNF.
Another 3 game tease
Vikings +11 ... Hoping return of Rice and loss of Childress is the spark they were missing.
Eagles/Bears o32.5 ... Bears D isn't that good. Vick runs for 80 yards I think. Cutler in for long day with the Eagles blitz packages.
Packers +11 ... Falcons are about to get tested here. GB has been rolling and I think they might have finally "clicked" which is bad news for the rest of the league.
Straight Bets
Saints -4 ... Hate the dreaded minus 4 line but I am with Glyde on this one. Saints have been rolling and mowing down teams for last 3 weeks. Bush is back which is a big weapon for them. Cowboys caught the Giants napping and beat up on the Lions but the Champs should be too much for them.
Gonna wait till Sunday to take any straight action since I want to see how Thursday plays out but I am leaning both GB+1 and Eagles -3.5 (will prob buy the hook). Both teams I think are playoff bound and could be the cream of the NFC.
GL to all. Lets get back to our winning ways.
I am on the Pats side. I am a Jets fan so this is on bet I would love to lose
I actually really like your teaser Remy. The Vikes have played like shit lately, but so have the Redskins and I just can't believe that Washington will beat them by more than 10. I think that's a really good pick man! Fucking Pats need to pull it together. As much as I'd love to see Mac get his swagger back before Sunday, I don't want it to be this game! No offense Mac
0
Quote Originally Posted by REMYREVERE:
Hang in there Andy. This has been a strange season but the real money is always made late in the season.
Been taking teasers lately with some sucess. They are working for 2 reasons this year. The +10 points help hedge the dreaded Moose that has been haunting so many betters this year and the 3 game action for 1 unit play has kept me from overextending my bank as an action junkie. Here is what I have open ...
Hit on the Over MNF game so I still have these 2 going today
Pats +3.5 ... as a Jets fan I would happily lose a unit to see the Pats lose but Brady has been awesome and I think you nailed it when you said the Browns already caught them with the pants down this year. The talk in Detriot is already going to who they take number 1 next year so while the Lions are ATS machines I think their dismal record and string of near miss loses is starting to wear down the teams moral.
Bengals/Jets o34 ... Neither team has played much defense lately. Bengals have an ax to grind after the Jets ended their season in 09 w/back to back loses. I might just take the Bengals straight as well here. Think the Jets are about to run out of miracles and are looking ahead to the Pats on MNF.
Another 3 game tease
Vikings +11 ... Hoping return of Rice and loss of Childress is the spark they were missing.
Eagles/Bears o32.5 ... Bears D isn't that good. Vick runs for 80 yards I think. Cutler in for long day with the Eagles blitz packages.
Packers +11 ... Falcons are about to get tested here. GB has been rolling and I think they might have finally "clicked" which is bad news for the rest of the league.
Straight Bets
Saints -4 ... Hate the dreaded minus 4 line but I am with Glyde on this one. Saints have been rolling and mowing down teams for last 3 weeks. Bush is back which is a big weapon for them. Cowboys caught the Giants napping and beat up on the Lions but the Champs should be too much for them.
Gonna wait till Sunday to take any straight action since I want to see how Thursday plays out but I am leaning both GB+1 and Eagles -3.5 (will prob buy the hook). Both teams I think are playoff bound and could be the cream of the NFC.
GL to all. Lets get back to our winning ways.
I am on the Pats side. I am a Jets fan so this is on bet I would love to lose
I actually really like your teaser Remy. The Vikes have played like shit lately, but so have the Redskins and I just can't believe that Washington will beat them by more than 10. I think that's a really good pick man! Fucking Pats need to pull it together. As much as I'd love to see Mac get his swagger back before Sunday, I don't want it to be this game! No offense Mac
I don't think I can back the shitstorm Panthers at any spread, but good cases for TB and STL. I was eyeing down the Bucs myself, but when I made a move to lock it up it had already jumped to 7.5. Normally I would hop on it before it falls to 7, but line movement has been very tricky of late, and I "think" I'm on to their shenanigans. I'm gonna wait it out and try to get it higher.
Looking at the Pack and SD among others. One is a fade of the Falcons where I saw a clip of their locker room after last week's game. They were celebrating like it was the Super Bowl, and Coach Smith made a speech that ended with something like "see you guys Friday" before the locker room erupted. So two days of practice to prepare for a team that is getting hot? One of those days a bloated Friday after Thanksgiving?
Also took Texas A&M -3. A guy I work with has this system he does and while I don't believe it for a second(it revolves around 3 point spreads in NCAA and NFL and ONLY works with the Daily News line on the day of the game), it literally has won like 20 times in a row. It doesn't make a drop of sense, and I don't have the heart to tell the guy, but I'll be damned if it hasn't been perfect since Week 3.
I'll be back before Sunday. I have 4 days of capping, Call of Duty, Sons of Anarchy marathon, vicodin, and FOOD ahead of me.
LOL! Don't nod off at dinner Glyde!
0
Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
Some good writeups, Andy.
I don't think I can back the shitstorm Panthers at any spread, but good cases for TB and STL. I was eyeing down the Bucs myself, but when I made a move to lock it up it had already jumped to 7.5. Normally I would hop on it before it falls to 7, but line movement has been very tricky of late, and I "think" I'm on to their shenanigans. I'm gonna wait it out and try to get it higher.
Looking at the Pack and SD among others. One is a fade of the Falcons where I saw a clip of their locker room after last week's game. They were celebrating like it was the Super Bowl, and Coach Smith made a speech that ended with something like "see you guys Friday" before the locker room erupted. So two days of practice to prepare for a team that is getting hot? One of those days a bloated Friday after Thanksgiving?
Also took Texas A&M -3. A guy I work with has this system he does and while I don't believe it for a second(it revolves around 3 point spreads in NCAA and NFL and ONLY works with the Daily News line on the day of the game), it literally has won like 20 times in a row. It doesn't make a drop of sense, and I don't have the heart to tell the guy, but I'll be damned if it hasn't been perfect since Week 3.
I'll be back before Sunday. I have 4 days of capping, Call of Duty, Sons of Anarchy marathon, vicodin, and FOOD ahead of me.
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