you should wait on that line... it will either stay at that or go up so there is no risk on waiting it out.. i think this line will be at least Pitt +3 (+100) within the next couple days and i wont be shocked if it hits Pitt +3.5 by next weekend..
You're high. Green Bay will NEVER, EVER, EVVVVVVVVERR lay the magic 3.5. This line is going to drop like a rock. -3 won't even be available come kickoff.
What the hell makes you think the barely made the playoffs Packers are a superior team that will have steam coming in on them?
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Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:
you should wait on that line... it will either stay at that or go up so there is no risk on waiting it out.. i think this line will be at least Pitt +3 (+100) within the next couple days and i wont be shocked if it hits Pitt +3.5 by next weekend..
You're high. Green Bay will NEVER, EVER, EVVVVVVVVERR lay the magic 3.5. This line is going to drop like a rock. -3 won't even be available come kickoff.
What the hell makes you think the barely made the playoffs Packers are a superior team that will have steam coming in on them?
Am I the only one completely surprised GB opened up -2.5/3? I was ready to unload on anything under Pitt -3 and I thought for sure it would be Pitt -2.5 to open.
I could always buy out of this bet if it comes to it, but for now I am pretty happy.
My friend thought the same as you, we were talking about what the line would be while we were watching the Pitt game, he said it would be -1.5 Pitt, i said it would open around -2/-2.5 GB and i was right. I also told him it would hit at least -3 GB and could very easily hit -3.5 GB during the week. Im going to wait this line out and get Pitt at a good price because the public loves GB but to me GB should not be that big of a fav...
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Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
I hit em ML at +135.
Am I the only one completely surprised GB opened up -2.5/3? I was ready to unload on anything under Pitt -3 and I thought for sure it would be Pitt -2.5 to open.
I could always buy out of this bet if it comes to it, but for now I am pretty happy.
My friend thought the same as you, we were talking about what the line would be while we were watching the Pitt game, he said it would be -1.5 Pitt, i said it would open around -2/-2.5 GB and i was right. I also told him it would hit at least -3 GB and could very easily hit -3.5 GB during the week. Im going to wait this line out and get Pitt at a good price because the public loves GB but to me GB should not be that big of a fav...
Very surprising to me that Pack are favored. Steelers win a much tougher AFC and open as underdog? Watching the direction of this line will be interesting.
I agree the AFC is a toughter conference but in my opinion, the Pack had a tougher road to the superbowl playing at the eagles, at the falcons, and at the bears. Steelers had 2 home games vs offenses that are not dynamic in the Ravens and Jets.
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Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81:
Very surprising to me that Pack are favored. Steelers win a much tougher AFC and open as underdog? Watching the direction of this line will be interesting.
I agree the AFC is a toughter conference but in my opinion, the Pack had a tougher road to the superbowl playing at the eagles, at the falcons, and at the bears. Steelers had 2 home games vs offenses that are not dynamic in the Ravens and Jets.
My friend thought the same as you, we were talking about what the line would be while we were watching the Pitt game, he said it would be -1.5 Pitt, i said it would open around -2/-2.5 GB and i was right. I also told him it would hit at least -3 GB and could very easily hit -3.5 GB during the week. Im going to wait this line out and get Pitt at a good price because the public loves GB but to me GB should not be that big of a fav...
Green Bay shouldn't be the favorite at all. 3.5 is just too important of a number for them to move it to that price. They might juice the hell out of -3, but they're not going to -3.5. I would bet it now Money, because it is going to drop and settle on Pittsburgh's side of the coin.
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Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:
My friend thought the same as you, we were talking about what the line would be while we were watching the Pitt game, he said it would be -1.5 Pitt, i said it would open around -2/-2.5 GB and i was right. I also told him it would hit at least -3 GB and could very easily hit -3.5 GB during the week. Im going to wait this line out and get Pitt at a good price because the public loves GB but to me GB should not be that big of a fav...
Green Bay shouldn't be the favorite at all. 3.5 is just too important of a number for them to move it to that price. They might juice the hell out of -3, but they're not going to -3.5. I would bet it now Money, because it is going to drop and settle on Pittsburgh's side of the coin.
You're high. Green Bay will NEVER, EVER, EVVVVVVVVERR lay the magic 3.5. This line is going to drop like a rock. -3 won't even be available come kickoff.
What the hell makes you think the barely made the playoffs Packers are a superior team that will have steam coming in on them?
you already said in another post that they would never give the steelers +3 and that the guy that posted should get his head out of his ass. lol. The line is already 3 so you were wrong.... Its getting equal action as you know, i dont agree that GB should be that big of a fav or a fav at all but i did know 100% they would be the favorite in this game because the books wanted equal action... The public loves GB.
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Quote Originally Posted by walktheline:
You're high. Green Bay will NEVER, EVER, EVVVVVVVVERR lay the magic 3.5. This line is going to drop like a rock. -3 won't even be available come kickoff.
What the hell makes you think the barely made the playoffs Packers are a superior team that will have steam coming in on them?
you already said in another post that they would never give the steelers +3 and that the guy that posted should get his head out of his ass. lol. The line is already 3 so you were wrong.... Its getting equal action as you know, i dont agree that GB should be that big of a fav or a fav at all but i did know 100% they would be the favorite in this game because the books wanted equal action... The public loves GB.
Green Bay shouldn't be the favorite at all. 3.5 is just too important of a number for them to move it to that price. They might juice the hell out of -3, but they're not going to -3.5. I would bet it now Money, because it is going to drop and settle on Pittsburgh's side of the coin.
3.5 is very important, but what happened in their game against the bears??? I read that it opened at -2.5 then moved to -3 instantly then moved to -3.5 by the next day!!!!! Ill take hedge taking pitt at solid +3 (+100 range) but i know it wont get any worse than this line right now, it will only get better for Pittsburgh backers, you are wrong if you think it is going to drop and go back to what it opened at..
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Quote Originally Posted by walktheline:
Green Bay shouldn't be the favorite at all. 3.5 is just too important of a number for them to move it to that price. They might juice the hell out of -3, but they're not going to -3.5. I would bet it now Money, because it is going to drop and settle on Pittsburgh's side of the coin.
3.5 is very important, but what happened in their game against the bears??? I read that it opened at -2.5 then moved to -3 instantly then moved to -3.5 by the next day!!!!! Ill take hedge taking pitt at solid +3 (+100 range) but i know it wont get any worse than this line right now, it will only get better for Pittsburgh backers, you are wrong if you think it is going to drop and go back to what it opened at..
You know guys we can BS about the stats and matchups and everything else for the next two weeks but in my opinion those things are all pretty damn equal.
In games Rodgers started Green Bay averaged 364.5 yards and 25.4 points per game. In games Big Ben started Pittsburgh averaged 370.6 yards and 24.08 points per game.
Green Bay was 2nd in points against at 15.0 Pittsburgh was 1st in points against at 14.5
Green Bay threw for 8.1 yards per pass Pittsburgh threw for 8.1 yards per pass
Green Bay ran for 3.8 yards per rush (although it would likely be better with Starks all year). Pittsburgh ran for 4.1 yards per rush
Green Bay gave up 6.5 yards per pass Pittsburgh gave up 6.3 yards per pass
Green Bay had the best opp QB rating in the league at 67.4 Pittsburgh had the 2nd best opp QB rating in the league at 73.1
Green Bay gave up 4.7 yards per rush (but it is much better with Jenkins in the lineup) Pittsburgh gave up 3.0 yards per rush.
Green Bay was 9th in 3rd down D at 36.2% Pittsburgh was 3rd in 3rd down D at 33.5%
Green Bay was 8th in 3rd down O at 41.5% Pittsburgh was 6th in 3rd down O at 43.1%
Green Bay was 2nd in the NFL with 47 sacks. Pittsburgh was 1st in the NFL with 48 sacks.
Green Bay was 20th allowing 38 sacks. Pittsburgh was 25th allowing 45 sacks.
Green Bay averaged 5.7 yards per play Pittsburgh averaged 5.4 yards per play
Green Bay was 4th in points per play. Pittsburgh was 7th in points per play.
Green Bay was 4th in red zone offense. Pittsburgh was 21st in red zone offense.
Green Bay gave up 5.1 yards per play. Pittsburgh gave up 4.4 yards per play.
Green Bay was 2nd in opp points per play. Pittsburgh was 1st in opp points per play.
Green Bay was 11th in red zone defense. Pittsburgh was 4th in red zone defense.
If you add up the punts and kickoff ranks for and against there is a slight edge for Pittsburgh. But if you look at the kickers and punters I give a slight edge to Green Bay. It's a wash.
Where the hell does anybody have an advantage here? This is about as even of a matchup as you will find (based on the numbers anyway).
Now I know Green Bay has been hot in the playoffs especially on offense but let's not overlook how solid this Pittsburgh defense has been playing. They gave up some yards late yesterday but went to a lot of prevent.
If you look at the regular season you will see Tom Brady and Drew Brees had some success against the Steelers defense but I think it is critical to remember that the Patriots and Saints were in amazing situational spots in those two games (I had the Pats and Saints) as both were coming off embarrassing beatings at the hands of the Browns. Kind of like the Jets regular season game against Pittsburgh, it was a game they needed badly and really had no bearing on the playoff game as the situations were different.
I believe Mike McCarthy is one of, if not, the best in the game at exploiting matchups prior to the game and coming up with a great gameplan. I also believe Mike McCarthy is one of, if not, the worst in game managers in the game. He reared his ugly head again in the Bears game as the Packers went ultra conservative yet again on both sides of the ball in the 4th quarter (good idea rushing 3 fat guys and giving a backup QB all day) and damn near blew the game. The Steelers didn't put many points on the board in the second half of the Jets game but they did play to win as Roethlisberger aired it out in some key spots and they went to a 5 receiver set on that key 3rd down where most coaches would have ran it and let the Jets burn their last timeout. I believe Pittsburgh has a minuscule coaching edge.
What about the stadium? I've read already where Green Bay has an advantage on the fast track, and you know I can agree with that but let's not forget that this isn't exact a slow Pittsburgh team. They have quietly become very young and fast at receiver and the Steelers linebackers are the fastest in the game, Clark and Polamulu are also fast at safety. I give GB an edge on the turf but not a very big one.
However I think the two weeks off is something that works in Pittsburgh's favor. They are an older group and can use the extra week. Who knows what's up with Pouncey but two weeks off for him is better than one to see if he can play. I think the rest is a big boost to Polamalu as well, the guy just doesn't look 100% and two weeks off will be huge for him. Even though the last two wildcards to make the big game have won it all I think the two weeks off hurts Green Bay's momentum a little bit. Both previous wildcards were defensive first teams and didn't have an offense rolling on all cylinders like Green Bay. The Pack's D is still playing elite but I think the two weeks off breaks up their momentum on offense a little bit. We've seen this many times in the past where after two weeks offenses don't look as sharp and it takes them a while to get going if they get going at all. I give the 2 weeks off advantage to Pittsburgh.
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You know guys we can BS about the stats and matchups and everything else for the next two weeks but in my opinion those things are all pretty damn equal.
In games Rodgers started Green Bay averaged 364.5 yards and 25.4 points per game. In games Big Ben started Pittsburgh averaged 370.6 yards and 24.08 points per game.
Green Bay was 2nd in points against at 15.0 Pittsburgh was 1st in points against at 14.5
Green Bay threw for 8.1 yards per pass Pittsburgh threw for 8.1 yards per pass
Green Bay ran for 3.8 yards per rush (although it would likely be better with Starks all year). Pittsburgh ran for 4.1 yards per rush
Green Bay gave up 6.5 yards per pass Pittsburgh gave up 6.3 yards per pass
Green Bay had the best opp QB rating in the league at 67.4 Pittsburgh had the 2nd best opp QB rating in the league at 73.1
Green Bay gave up 4.7 yards per rush (but it is much better with Jenkins in the lineup) Pittsburgh gave up 3.0 yards per rush.
Green Bay was 9th in 3rd down D at 36.2% Pittsburgh was 3rd in 3rd down D at 33.5%
Green Bay was 8th in 3rd down O at 41.5% Pittsburgh was 6th in 3rd down O at 43.1%
Green Bay was 2nd in the NFL with 47 sacks. Pittsburgh was 1st in the NFL with 48 sacks.
Green Bay was 20th allowing 38 sacks. Pittsburgh was 25th allowing 45 sacks.
Green Bay averaged 5.7 yards per play Pittsburgh averaged 5.4 yards per play
Green Bay was 4th in points per play. Pittsburgh was 7th in points per play.
Green Bay was 4th in red zone offense. Pittsburgh was 21st in red zone offense.
Green Bay gave up 5.1 yards per play. Pittsburgh gave up 4.4 yards per play.
Green Bay was 2nd in opp points per play. Pittsburgh was 1st in opp points per play.
Green Bay was 11th in red zone defense. Pittsburgh was 4th in red zone defense.
If you add up the punts and kickoff ranks for and against there is a slight edge for Pittsburgh. But if you look at the kickers and punters I give a slight edge to Green Bay. It's a wash.
Where the hell does anybody have an advantage here? This is about as even of a matchup as you will find (based on the numbers anyway).
Now I know Green Bay has been hot in the playoffs especially on offense but let's not overlook how solid this Pittsburgh defense has been playing. They gave up some yards late yesterday but went to a lot of prevent.
If you look at the regular season you will see Tom Brady and Drew Brees had some success against the Steelers defense but I think it is critical to remember that the Patriots and Saints were in amazing situational spots in those two games (I had the Pats and Saints) as both were coming off embarrassing beatings at the hands of the Browns. Kind of like the Jets regular season game against Pittsburgh, it was a game they needed badly and really had no bearing on the playoff game as the situations were different.
I believe Mike McCarthy is one of, if not, the best in the game at exploiting matchups prior to the game and coming up with a great gameplan. I also believe Mike McCarthy is one of, if not, the worst in game managers in the game. He reared his ugly head again in the Bears game as the Packers went ultra conservative yet again on both sides of the ball in the 4th quarter (good idea rushing 3 fat guys and giving a backup QB all day) and damn near blew the game. The Steelers didn't put many points on the board in the second half of the Jets game but they did play to win as Roethlisberger aired it out in some key spots and they went to a 5 receiver set on that key 3rd down where most coaches would have ran it and let the Jets burn their last timeout. I believe Pittsburgh has a minuscule coaching edge.
What about the stadium? I've read already where Green Bay has an advantage on the fast track, and you know I can agree with that but let's not forget that this isn't exact a slow Pittsburgh team. They have quietly become very young and fast at receiver and the Steelers linebackers are the fastest in the game, Clark and Polamulu are also fast at safety. I give GB an edge on the turf but not a very big one.
However I think the two weeks off is something that works in Pittsburgh's favor. They are an older group and can use the extra week. Who knows what's up with Pouncey but two weeks off for him is better than one to see if he can play. I think the rest is a big boost to Polamalu as well, the guy just doesn't look 100% and two weeks off will be huge for him. Even though the last two wildcards to make the big game have won it all I think the two weeks off hurts Green Bay's momentum a little bit. Both previous wildcards were defensive first teams and didn't have an offense rolling on all cylinders like Green Bay. The Pack's D is still playing elite but I think the two weeks off breaks up their momentum on offense a little bit. We've seen this many times in the past where after two weeks offenses don't look as sharp and it takes them a while to get going if they get going at all. I give the 2 weeks off advantage to Pittsburgh.
So what's left? Experience. I
was really thinking hard about this last night and I give Pittsburgh a
huge edge in this department. Pittsburgh does have some younger players
let's not kid ourselves but almost all of their key players at key
positions have all been to and won multiple Super Bowls and no doubt
they will not be rattled or overwhelmed by the moment and will have the
younger guys (like the young receivers) grounded and ready to roll. 10
of the 11 guys Pittsburgh will be starting on defense started on their
last Super Bowl defense. If Aaron Smith is able to go the Steelers will
be bringing back the exact same starting defense
from their Super Bowl two years ago. I's not just on defense, we've got
guys like Roethlisberger, Ward, Heath Miller, the entire coaching
staff, even guys like Randel El.
Green Bay does not have this experience and you may say who cares as
they've just won 3 straight road playoff games? And I respect that but
the moment and pressure of the Super Bowl is something else. The Packers
have had a lot of injuries this year and I have really respected how
they have persevered but a lot of those fill-ins have been younger
players. 9 of the Packers 22 starters are 1st or 2nd year players.
Jordy Nelson is a second year player, Sam Shields is a 1st year player.
That's 11 key guys in their 1st or 2nd season. Are all of these
youngsters going to be able to hold up on the big stage? I'm just not
sure. All it takes is one mental fuckup from one player and it could
cost them the game.
I've talked a lot this postseason about trust and who I trust and who I don't. Well
in this spot I trust the Pittsburgh Steelers who have been there before
and won't be overwhelmed, while I can't say I trust the Packers to do
the same.
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So what's left? Experience. I
was really thinking hard about this last night and I give Pittsburgh a
huge edge in this department. Pittsburgh does have some younger players
let's not kid ourselves but almost all of their key players at key
positions have all been to and won multiple Super Bowls and no doubt
they will not be rattled or overwhelmed by the moment and will have the
younger guys (like the young receivers) grounded and ready to roll. 10
of the 11 guys Pittsburgh will be starting on defense started on their
last Super Bowl defense. If Aaron Smith is able to go the Steelers will
be bringing back the exact same starting defense
from their Super Bowl two years ago. I's not just on defense, we've got
guys like Roethlisberger, Ward, Heath Miller, the entire coaching
staff, even guys like Randel El.
Green Bay does not have this experience and you may say who cares as
they've just won 3 straight road playoff games? And I respect that but
the moment and pressure of the Super Bowl is something else. The Packers
have had a lot of injuries this year and I have really respected how
they have persevered but a lot of those fill-ins have been younger
players. 9 of the Packers 22 starters are 1st or 2nd year players.
Jordy Nelson is a second year player, Sam Shields is a 1st year player.
That's 11 key guys in their 1st or 2nd season. Are all of these
youngsters going to be able to hold up on the big stage? I'm just not
sure. All it takes is one mental fuckup from one player and it could
cost them the game.
I've talked a lot this postseason about trust and who I trust and who I don't. Well
in this spot I trust the Pittsburgh Steelers who have been there before
and won't be overwhelmed, while I can't say I trust the Packers to do
the same.
The goal is to get even action on both sides. My assumption is that if the Packers opened up as +3 +135 or so. They would get hammered. This way I think the money will be a lot more even on both sides.
Thank you, finally someone that understands how the oddsmakers work.
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Quote Originally Posted by ChestnutHill:
The goal is to get even action on both sides. My assumption is that if the Packers opened up as +3 +135 or so. They would get hammered. This way I think the money will be a lot more even on both sides.
Thank you, finally someone that understands how the oddsmakers work.
Good stuff, Andy. I was gonna make a point about the Steelers experience edge and also comment on how GB really doesn't have the huge perceived edge on the turf that I already hear people talking about, but you already covered it pretty well.
I'm thinking about the Jets right now and how good they played in the 2nd half. If these teams played again next week, I certainly would not be backing the Steelers. Jets made some adjustments, settled in, and were a couple bounces in the 1st half from pulling off an incredible win. Shit, they were a couple bad bounces in the 2nd half from possibly winning the game.
Jets fans really crack me up. Already hearing chirping about how Sanchez sucks cock, and how his first half and 40 passing yards were a disgrace and that buried the team. As if he was gonna throw for 250 yards in the 6 minutes they had the ball, all while the Jets ran for about 8 yards, and their D couldn't make a stop if their life depended on it.
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Good stuff, Andy. I was gonna make a point about the Steelers experience edge and also comment on how GB really doesn't have the huge perceived edge on the turf that I already hear people talking about, but you already covered it pretty well.
I'm thinking about the Jets right now and how good they played in the 2nd half. If these teams played again next week, I certainly would not be backing the Steelers. Jets made some adjustments, settled in, and were a couple bounces in the 1st half from pulling off an incredible win. Shit, they were a couple bad bounces in the 2nd half from possibly winning the game.
Jets fans really crack me up. Already hearing chirping about how Sanchez sucks cock, and how his first half and 40 passing yards were a disgrace and that buried the team. As if he was gonna throw for 250 yards in the 6 minutes they had the ball, all while the Jets ran for about 8 yards, and their D couldn't make a stop if their life depended on it.
Nice write up Andy. Hey you can make a great case for either side in this game no doubt about it. I hate the thought of going against Big Ben in a SB. Personally I have been on the PACKERS and the STEELERS in every playoff game this year,so they have both treated me well.The Pouncey injury is huge,we'll have to see how that plays out.This should be a classic game,probably will be one of the most anticipated games in a long time.The beer has worn off from yesterday,the head is clearing up, and I still have to lean GB -2.5............GOOD LUCK DUDE !
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Nice write up Andy. Hey you can make a great case for either side in this game no doubt about it. I hate the thought of going against Big Ben in a SB. Personally I have been on the PACKERS and the STEELERS in every playoff game this year,so they have both treated me well.The Pouncey injury is huge,we'll have to see how that plays out.This should be a classic game,probably will be one of the most anticipated games in a long time.The beer has worn off from yesterday,the head is clearing up, and I still have to lean GB -2.5............GOOD LUCK DUDE !
you should wait on that line... it will either stay at that or go up so there is no risk on waiting it out.. i think this line will be at least Pitt +3 (+100) within the next couple days and i wont be shocked if it hits Pitt +3.5 by next weekend..
If anyone wants a guarantee, it is that this line will NOT hit 3.5
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Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:
you should wait on that line... it will either stay at that or go up so there is no risk on waiting it out.. i think this line will be at least Pitt +3 (+100) within the next couple days and i wont be shocked if it hits Pitt +3.5 by next weekend..
If anyone wants a guarantee, it is that this line will NOT hit 3.5
If anyone wants a guarantee, it is that this line will NOT hit 3.5
A lot of people were saying that last week saying no way GB hits -3.5 in Chicago but that line opened at -2.5 and jumped to -3.5.. and Pitts line went from -3 to -4... Nothing is a guarantee RJ...
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Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
If anyone wants a guarantee, it is that this line will NOT hit 3.5
A lot of people were saying that last week saying no way GB hits -3.5 in Chicago but that line opened at -2.5 and jumped to -3.5.. and Pitts line went from -3 to -4... Nothing is a guarantee RJ...
A lot of people were saying that last week saying no way GB hits -3.5 in Chicago but that line opened at -2.5 and jumped to -3.5.. and Pitts line went from -3 to -4... Nothing is a guarantee RJ...
the pack line moved to 3.5 pretty fast i doubt this game gets to 3.5 and IF it does it will be bet back down quickly
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Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:
A lot of people were saying that last week saying no way GB hits -3.5 in Chicago but that line opened at -2.5 and jumped to -3.5.. and Pitts line went from -3 to -4... Nothing is a guarantee RJ...
the pack line moved to 3.5 pretty fast i doubt this game gets to 3.5 and IF it does it will be bet back down quickly
A lot of people were saying that last week saying no way GB hits -3.5 in Chicago but that line opened at -2.5 and jumped to -3.5.. and Pitts line went from -3 to -4... Nothing is a guarantee RJ...
I am not talking about last week. I dont know who you speak to, but it sounds like clueless squares, though.
I will guarantee you this line doesnt hit 3.5. This post isnt to make myself feel better. Its to help you and your thinking.
The sooner you understand this line will not hit 3.5 the sooner you can start handicapping the game.
I dont want you to be distracted.
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Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:
A lot of people were saying that last week saying no way GB hits -3.5 in Chicago but that line opened at -2.5 and jumped to -3.5.. and Pitts line went from -3 to -4... Nothing is a guarantee RJ...
I am not talking about last week. I dont know who you speak to, but it sounds like clueless squares, though.
I will guarantee you this line doesnt hit 3.5. This post isnt to make myself feel better. Its to help you and your thinking.
The sooner you understand this line will not hit 3.5 the sooner you can start handicapping the game.
Good stuff, Andy. I was gonna make a point about the Steelers experience edge and also comment on how GB really doesn't have the huge perceived edge on the turf that I already hear people talking about, but you already covered it pretty well.
I'm thinking about the Jets right now and how good they played in the 2nd half. If these teams played again next week, I certainly would not be backing the Steelers. Jets made some adjustments, settled in, and were a couple bounces in the 1st half from pulling off an incredible win. Shit, they were a couple bad bounces in the 2nd half from possibly winning the game.
Jets fans really crack me up. Already hearing chirping about how Sanchez sucks cock, and how his first half and 40 passing yards were a disgrace and that buried the team. As if he was gonna throw for 250 yards in the 6 minutes they had the ball, all while the Jets ran for about 8 yards, and their D couldn't make a stop if their life depended on it.
The Jets have a good team and that was an impressive win for Pittsburgh. The Jets did make a game of it but to me it looked like the Steelers defense took their foot off the gas in the second half and were content with letting the Jets get the underneath stuff while chewing clock. There weren't many rushes with over 4 men in the second half. They played full thrttle in the first half and the Jets did nothing (I think they had about 12 yards total before the late FG drive).
I don't think the game would have played out the same way if the Steelers hadn't gotten that late TD in the 1st half (which sucks for me because I had the Under).
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Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
Good stuff, Andy. I was gonna make a point about the Steelers experience edge and also comment on how GB really doesn't have the huge perceived edge on the turf that I already hear people talking about, but you already covered it pretty well.
I'm thinking about the Jets right now and how good they played in the 2nd half. If these teams played again next week, I certainly would not be backing the Steelers. Jets made some adjustments, settled in, and were a couple bounces in the 1st half from pulling off an incredible win. Shit, they were a couple bad bounces in the 2nd half from possibly winning the game.
Jets fans really crack me up. Already hearing chirping about how Sanchez sucks cock, and how his first half and 40 passing yards were a disgrace and that buried the team. As if he was gonna throw for 250 yards in the 6 minutes they had the ball, all while the Jets ran for about 8 yards, and their D couldn't make a stop if their life depended on it.
The Jets have a good team and that was an impressive win for Pittsburgh. The Jets did make a game of it but to me it looked like the Steelers defense took their foot off the gas in the second half and were content with letting the Jets get the underneath stuff while chewing clock. There weren't many rushes with over 4 men in the second half. They played full thrttle in the first half and the Jets did nothing (I think they had about 12 yards total before the late FG drive).
I don't think the game would have played out the same way if the Steelers hadn't gotten that late TD in the 1st half (which sucks for me because I had the Under).
Nice write up Andy. Hey you can make a great case for either side in this game no doubt about it. I hate the thought of going against Big Ben in a SB. Personally I have been on the PACKERS and the STEELERS in every playoff game this year,so they have both treated me well.The Pouncey injury is huge,we'll have to see how that plays out.This should be a classic game,probably will be one of the most anticipated games in a long time.The beer has worn off from yesterday,the head is clearing up, and I still have to lean GB -2.5............GOOD LUCK DUDE !
I have been on the Packers for the last 5 straight weeks. I honestly thought they could make a run to the Super Bowl after the Patriots game in mid December. My plan was to start with one unit and roll it over for the whole 5 weeks until the Super Bowl. If the Packers had covered that Week 17 game against the Bears I would have turned that one unit into about 30 right now. Still made some solid coin on them the last 3 weeks but that 30 unit smash would have been soooo soooo sweet.
I think Green Bay has a hell of a team and you are right this should be a great game. I just think when it is all said and done the Steelers experience will get them through the game. The Packers are a very young team and will be good for a long while but it just seems like the vets on Pittsburgh will get it done.
I give the Steelers a small edge for the game (I would have laid -2.5 with Pittsburgh had the line opened that direction) so when I saw this line going up and up after the opener my eyes got bigger and bigger. I almost bet at +130 and then it hit +140!
We've got two worthy squads in the big game. I would have still bet a Bears/Jets Super Bowl but a part of me would have felt that we wouldn't be watching the best two teams in the league.
GL bud.
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Quote Originally Posted by wonwiththehook:
Nice write up Andy. Hey you can make a great case for either side in this game no doubt about it. I hate the thought of going against Big Ben in a SB. Personally I have been on the PACKERS and the STEELERS in every playoff game this year,so they have both treated me well.The Pouncey injury is huge,we'll have to see how that plays out.This should be a classic game,probably will be one of the most anticipated games in a long time.The beer has worn off from yesterday,the head is clearing up, and I still have to lean GB -2.5............GOOD LUCK DUDE !
I have been on the Packers for the last 5 straight weeks. I honestly thought they could make a run to the Super Bowl after the Patriots game in mid December. My plan was to start with one unit and roll it over for the whole 5 weeks until the Super Bowl. If the Packers had covered that Week 17 game against the Bears I would have turned that one unit into about 30 right now. Still made some solid coin on them the last 3 weeks but that 30 unit smash would have been soooo soooo sweet.
I think Green Bay has a hell of a team and you are right this should be a great game. I just think when it is all said and done the Steelers experience will get them through the game. The Packers are a very young team and will be good for a long while but it just seems like the vets on Pittsburgh will get it done.
I give the Steelers a small edge for the game (I would have laid -2.5 with Pittsburgh had the line opened that direction) so when I saw this line going up and up after the opener my eyes got bigger and bigger. I almost bet at +130 and then it hit +140!
We've got two worthy squads in the big game. I would have still bet a Bears/Jets Super Bowl but a part of me would have felt that we wouldn't be watching the best two teams in the league.
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