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My guess on the super bowl line movement, some history....

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Posted: #26
UNDER
 
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Posted: #27
Aren't the SHARPS gonna hammer when it's Colts -4, then HAMMER again when it's Saints +6.5 ???
 
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Posted: #28
jump on the colts as fast as possible.
 
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Posted: #29

Quote Originally Posted by Cooler999:



You think this is no more than a 3 point game??

I think the line should be Colts at a heavy 3 or light 3.5.

I think the line is so high ONLY because this is a SB, and the amount of public money involved, and ONLY because of the saints display against the vikes.  If the saints looked good today, the line would be 3 - but since every moron with a TV and a beer saw the Saints stink it up today - the line will be 6.

Just my opinion....

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Posted: #30
6.5 would set up a good point buy to 7.5.
 
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Posted: #31

As you guys go to work this week - tell me if you dont hear this conversation - you know - from the moron football fans at your work....

"The colts will kill the Saints.  WIthout that coinflip, they would have lost to the vikings with 5 turnovers!!  The saints only had like 280 yards!!"

 

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Posted: #32
Yea, majority of America will think the COLTS will kick the Saints' ass
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

"The colts will kill the Saints.  WIthout that coinflip, they would have lost to the vikings with 5 turnovers!!  The saints only had like 280 yards!!"

 

That's all I'm reading outside of this thread

Bagel Sandwiches Suck
 
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Posted: #34
u think Saints ML is worth a shot if it reaches Saints +7 ??
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

I think the line should be Colts at a heavy 3 or light 3.5.

I think the line is so high ONLY because this is a SB, and the amount of public money involved, and ONLY because of the saints display against the vikes.  If the saints looked good today, the line would be 3 - but since every moron with a TV and a beer saw the Saints stink it up today - the line will be 6.

Just my opinion....



True, the Saints performance will add a point or two to the Colts chalk, but I think it is well deserved. You can't just overlook it and expect a completely different team to show up. So, it's just a matter of how much?

I just see a pretty bad Saints defense going against a great offensive machine.

Good point though about how the Colts D has only had to face the Ravens and Jets low octane, predictable offenses.

GL
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by G8RB8:

That's all I'm reading outside of this thread

I work at covers!!!

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Posted: #37

Look - Im not making a case for N.O.

I might not have a dollar on this game, and if I do have a bet it wont be a big one....

Just know that if you like the colts - you are paying a little bit too much IMO....

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Posted: #38
When they hang 7 on this one, I can't imagine how there would be much Colts support.  I mean, come on, this Colts team--one might say--had the easiest road to a Super Bowl of any other team in history.  Perhaps, the Colts made it look easier than it was.  But Flacco and Sanchez, at home, hardly inspire the fear of God in any defense, let alone this mediocre Colts defense.  Orton, Vince Young, Kerry Collins, David Garrard, Flacco, Shaun Hill, Chad Henne/Chad Pennington, Warner, Sanchez, Schaub and Brady.  These are the QB's they've faced this season, with Schaub, Warner, and Brady being the only ones with a pulse.  It's a pretty underwhelming list, and I feel like they've gotten away with masking their VERY YOUNG corners all season long. In the games against Warner, Schaub, and Brady, you get passing yards of 299, 274, 301, 364.  Saints offense matches up very well with the Colts defense.  At least the Saints porous defense has shown adeptness at forcing turnovers.  And the Colts are loaded with rookies in key spots--Brown, Collie and Garcon.  When/if this hits 7, I'll be slamming the Saints.
 
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Posted: #39

Quote Originally Posted by PistolPete21:

When they hang 7 on this one, I can't imagine how there would be much Colts support.  I mean, come on, this Colts team--one might say--had the easiest road to a Super Bowl of any other team in history.  Perhaps, the Colts made it look easier than it was.  But Flacco and Sanchez, at home, hardly inspire the fear of God in any defense, let alone this mediocre Colts defense.  Orton, Vince Young, Kerry Collins, David Garrard, Flacco, Shaun Hill, Chad Henne/Chad Pennington, Warner, Sanchez, Schaub and Brady.  These are the QB's they've faced this season, with Schaub, Warner, and Brady being the only ones with a pulse.  It's a pretty underwhelming list, and I feel like they've gotten away with masking their VERY YOUNG corners all season long. In the games against Warner, Schaub, and Brady, you get passing yards of 299, 274, 301, 364.  Saints offense matches up very well with the Colts defense.  At least the Saints porous defense has shown adeptness at forcing turnovers.  And the Colts are loaded with rookies in key spots--Brown, Collie and Garcon.  When/if this hits 7, I'll be slamming the Saints.

I honestly think there is no chance you will see 7.  Like less than 1% chance.

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Posted: #40
Oh, and Pierre Garcon UNDER 75 yards or whatever retarded number they hang up for him. I'm sure they'll be a hefty overreaction to his performance today, which was mainly due to the fact that Manning didn't even bother looking to Revis's side the entire game.
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

I honestly think there is no chance you will see 7.  Like less than 1% chance.



I agree, it would be absurd. But I never underestimate the stupidity of the betting public.  Even at 6, the Saints deserve a lot of my cash.
 
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Posted: #42
I just hope Brees doesn't get nervous at the end. He was throwing ducks late in the 4th and in OT.
 
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Posted: #43
Manning is a living legend and I don't see the colts losing.
 
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Posted: #44

How many guys for Indi were on the 07 team that played and won Superbowl in Miami.

 
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Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

I just hope Brees doesn't get nervous at the end. He was throwing ducks late in the 4th and in OT.

That last pass was a knuckleball...

 
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Posted: #46

Colts secondary was out of position especially on the few big plays the JETS hit....its not out of the realm of probability with Brees & Co...this may be an issue COLTS defense has facing Saints.....

 
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Posted: #47
the Colts are not losing to that swiss cheese defense....just not happening
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

I just hope Brees doesn't get nervous at the end. He was throwing ducks late in the 4th and in OT.

Yep, Brees had fear or pain in his eyes at the end. I was surprised to see that. Hope it was just a hand injury and not a "McNabb."
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by ICAPSports:

the Colts are not losing to that swiss cheese defense....just not happening


Does it even matter if they're swiss-cheese? They made the Jets dominating defense look like swiss-cheese today.  The only way you slow down the Colts is by forcing turnovers.  The Saints have done it better than anyone has all season.  And they have the best offense--by far--the Colts will have seen this year. By far.
 
 
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Posted: #50

Line might not matter because the Saints will shock the world and win SU.

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