Monday

I realize these are two very good offensive teams but so do the oddsmakers which is why they set the opening total at 53 knowing full well that most gamblers think like you and will play the over regardless of the total might be. It's not like the total is 41, 45 or 48....the oddsmakers have factored in theses two offensive units ability by listing 53. Currently, the line can be found anywhere between 51.5 and 53. Obviously, a line movement of 1 or 2 points on a total isn't as significant as that of a side so where ever this high total rests before kickoff is fine with me because I already believe I have a solid number for this matchup especially when the weather calls for a mixture of sleet and rain in the high 40's/ low 50's throughout the evening. As well, Houston is a run first throw second team and since Tate is back and Forsett has been solid, Houston will attempt to get all three backs touches tonight so ball control and ground game is another reason I like playing this high number. New England has shown their vulnerability on several occasions this season against teams with good defensive fronts and pass rushing ability. Brady won't be able to sit in the pocket and pick Houston apart as they will have to find a way to run the ball and become balanced. Houston is tied for 4th in the league in sacks with 37, they are giving up a stingy 322 total yds/gm and rank 2nd in the league against the run and 4th in the league giving up only 18 pts/gm. I realize these numbers can be trivial at times but the 'ol cliche, "numbers dont lie' does exist with Houston. Meanwhile, NE has been flying below the radar, defensively, as they're only giving up 100 yds on the ground and their defensive unit leads the league in turnovers with 26 forced fumbles and 14 Int's. NE does give up 281 yds through the air but tonight's weather forecast doesn't favor an aerial assault by either team. The under is a winner tonight, I'm confident.  

I realize these are two very good offensive teams but so do the oddsmakers which is why they set the opening total at 53 knowing full well that most gamblers think like you and will play the over regardless of the total might be. It's not like the total is 41, 45 or 48....the oddsmakers have factored in theses two offensive units ability by listing 53. Currently, the line can be found anywhere between 51.5 and 53. Obviously, a line movement of 1 or 2 points on a total isn't as significant as that of a side so where ever this high total rests before kickoff is fine with me because I already believe I have a solid number for this matchup especially when the weather calls for a mixture of sleet and rain in the high 40's/ low 50's throughout the evening. As well, Houston is a run first throw second team and since Tate is back and Forsett has been solid, Houston will attempt to get all three backs touches tonight so ball control and ground game is another reason I like playing this high number. New England has shown their vulnerability on several occasions this season against teams with good defensive fronts and pass rushing ability. Brady won't be able to sit in the pocket and pick Houston apart as they will have to find a way to run the ball and become balanced. Houston is tied for 4th in the league in sacks with 37, they are giving up a stingy 322 total yds/gm and rank 2nd in the league against the run and 4th in the league giving up only 18 pts/gm. I realize these numbers can be trivial at times but the 'ol cliche, "numbers dont lie' does exist with Houston. Meanwhile, NE has been flying below the radar, defensively, as they're only giving up 100 yds on the ground and their defensive unit leads the league in turnovers with 26 forced fumbles and 14 Int's. NE does give up 281 yds through the air but tonight's weather forecast doesn't favor an aerial assault by either team. The under is a winner tonight, I'm confident.