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Let's Discuss Week 10

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
The Boston Globe has reported that Tom Brady was getting a blowjob from Gisele this past Sunday while watching the Texans Bills game..
 
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Posted: #27

Houston is  bud.

Not very often you get a PLAYOFF team with a BETTER OFFENSE and a BETTER DEFENSE vs a TOUGHER SCHEDULE, GETTING points..... Take it to the bank bud. 

 
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Posted: #28
I like the Jags this week as well as the Rams. The Colts just came from another emotional win where Luck had to play lights out just to beat the Miami Dolphins. The Fins have one of the better defenses in the league but the Colts D was still lacking in my opinion. And that might be enough to keep this game close between these two teams. I expect the Colts to have a letdown game in this one, particularly Luck, and that is not helped by the fact that they have to travel thousands of miles in a short week a few days after a taxing outing. Dogs have done very well this year and if not for those two defensive TDs by the chargers, the Chiefs and the under would have covered. 

I also like the Rams this week but that line is way too high in my opinion. I see the Rams at the very most being 9-point dogs but I guess the line will balloon if you get blown out by two weeks in a row. Safe to say, the Niners O is a far cry from the ones sported by the Packers and the Patriots. 

I also like Texans in this spot. Haven't looked at it much but I do believe that the Texans has the better team overall and had to play a tougher schedule than that of the Bears. 



 
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Posted: #29
To me, the one that jumps out immediately is Cinci getting 4.5 at home. This line is ridiculous. Cinci is desperate for a win and the Giants defense stinks. I still think the Bengals are a good football team, and we're getting a ton of value with them this week. A couple other home dogs to consider: Carolina and Minnesota. I'm not eager to bet against Peyton but the points will be hard to pass up in this game. Carolina's D has stepped up recently and Denver could be looking past them. I'm not sure what's going on with Harvin but I like Minny to beat Detroit outright. This is a good spot for them to bounce back against an overrated opponent.

As for favorites, I don't really see any reason not to lay the 7.5 with Baltimore. Oakland is awful (and playing an early east coast game if that means anything to you). I don't think we see a complacent Ravens team either. Most people think they're done, so they have a lot to prove.
 
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Posted: #30
Can't bet against Payton right now, Denver is now they are who we thought they were.  Carolina sucks and I can't see them winning let alone covering against a declining RG3
 
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Posted: #31
The Dallas Philly game looks like a good spot for under 45....
 
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Posted: #32
Jax: Same reasons other posters have already stated. But my main reasons for liking Jax this week is that their defense has played against Chi, Oak, GB, Det in their last 4 games. All four teams with QBs better than Luck. Don't get me wrong, I think Luck's gonna be a future elite QB. But he is still a rookie and on the road for his first primetime game. 

SD @ TB over 47.5: Both teams have pretty good run defenses so I see a shoot out.

Tenn +6: Players and coaching staff will be playing for their jobs. So I won't be surprised if Tenn wins SU with that extra motivation from their owner.Also going by strength of schedule, Tenn has played against much tougher opponents.

Chi -1: Houston? On primetime? Fuck that gimme the other team then. I do think the line's a little low though, I thought it would've opened up at Chi -3. The Bears are better on both sides of the ball, except maybe at the RB position. Yet the line is only Chi -1? Seems fishy so I'm gonna wait to see how the line moves later this week before I play it.
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by Dirtyturca:

Can't bet against Payton right now, Denver is now they are who we thought they were.  Carolina sucks and I can't see them winning let alone covering against a declining RG3


Sure about that?
 
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Posted: #34

Teams I like

Jacksonville- pretty much all the reasons already mentioned.  At home, on a short week against a team that just had an emotional win.  These Thursday night home teams have been winning SU all year (minus the Giants).

Chargers +3- It seems like everyone, and I mean everyone, is hopping on Tampa Bay with their recent resurgence.  I think this is where Vegas takes a lot of money from people.  Chargers get it done and I think even win SU.

Saints +2.  This game means much more to New Orleans than it does to Atlanta.  Dallas didn't know how to take advantage of Atlanta last Sunday, but New Orleans will. 

 
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Posted: #35
I get it you play based on situations and not talent level.  But the talent levels are far too great in the Denver game, and Peyton is as focused as he has always been.  Every week I see people trying to get smart when and bet against Peyton and Devner when the fact is they might be the best team in the entire NFL right now.  Now we get them laying 4 to a not good Carolina team.  And you guys like Carolina??   Situations should back talent not be the reasoning behind a pick.  The talents levels here are far too great apart to try to get cute.
 
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Posted: #36

Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:



Sure about that?

I am, Peyton will shread there defense and Cam will struggle against Denvers defense.   You might know your situations well.  But this statement was correct.  Carolina is not good.   Denver is up there.  Shit Peyton tried giving cincy a chance and they still lost by 8.

 
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Posted: #37

Car +3.5. Denver is getting alot of love, too much. That is really all I have to really put on why to bet CAR this week. Their defense seems to be improving and putting good pressure on the QB. Newton can explode at any moment and if Stewart gets going it should bode well for CAR.

 

Great analysis on CAR

 

 

You where being sarcastic right??  If you wanna bet Car, I sure hope its not because Denvers getting too much love and defense is improving. 

 
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Posted: #38

Quote Originally Posted by Rambler882:



Yea, I'm just leaning towards Carolina as a shady line play.  Champ Bailey will remove Smith completely at WR leaving only Olsen as the remaining receiving option.

I'm just trying to be very aware that the books got destroyed this past weekend.  Was an article on ESPN about how it was one of the worst days in Vegas history with the favorites, teasers, parlays, etc all hitting.

I am trying to stay away from favorites this week as much as I can.

Isnt that what they want?  Dont try to overthink this shit.  There has to be a good reason to bet a team not just cause Vegas got killed on Favs.  Did Vegas adjust spreads to give more to the dogs??  I am asking.   If so ok look for reasons to back the dog first but dont just do it because of last week.  They know thats what we are thinking.  They know we are waiting for some weak spreads on the dogs.  When we know something they know more, remember that.

 
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Posted: #39
What is all the love for Carolina? 
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by Rambler882:



Yea, I'm just leaning towards Carolina as a shady line play.  Champ Bailey will remove Smith completely at WR leaving only Olsen as the remaining receiving option.

I'm just trying to be very aware that the books got destroyed this past weekend.  Was an article on ESPN about how it was one of the worst days in Vegas history with the favorites, teasers, parlays, etc all hitting.

I am trying to stay away from favorites this week as much as I can.

I doubt that it was the worst day in Vegas history 
 
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Posted: #41
Rambler, what the fuck is wrong with you 
 
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Posted: #42
@ rambler...i look for "media manipulation" and i dont know how i misse dthis one....ATL all day.....but they are bound to miss a cover and/or loose outright.....i faded em last week...i wanted fade em again....but prolly not now!!!!
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by rr207:

Rambler, what the fuck is wrong with you 


Something is wrong with me for quoting an ESPN article?  Don't shoot the messenger.
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by mrquija27:

Car +3.5. Denver is getting alot of love, too much. That is really all I have to really put on why to bet CAR this week. Their defense seems to be improving and putting good pressure on the QB. Newton can explode at any moment and if Stewart gets going it should bode well for CAR.

 

Great analysis on CAR

 

 

You where being sarcastic right??  If you wanna bet Car, I sure hope its not because Denvers getting too much love and defense is improving. 



Sarcastic about what? That DEN is clearly overvalued to this point? Or that CAR's defense is in the top 5 of all defensive rankings over the past 4 weeks? Which one?
 
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Posted: #45
Dallas and DeMarcus Ware vs the Eagles Tackles, are you kidding me?
 
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Posted: #46

do you have a pick for this week LeagueCapper?

 

 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by henrytran:

do you have a pick for this week LeagueCapper?

 



Yeah i'll have my picks posted sometime today/tonight
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by Crashdavis565:

Dallas and DeMarcus Ware vs the Eagles Tackles, are you kidding me?


That dline should tear apart the Eagles oline, for whatever reason though DAL always struggles against the Eagles
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by Numero_Uno:



Dallas + (Not sure why Dallas is a one point dog right now.  Sure they didn't play well against the Falcons, but if their is one team in more turmoil than Dallas it is the Eagles.  Now with that said, if Vick doesn't play, this will be a no play for me.)


Doubt they will bench Vick... there is no reason to put Foles in this late in the season when it's not entirely Vick's fault.... when he has to work with an O line like that.
 
 
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Posted: #50
the Eagles are in shambles & we all saw this 2 weeks ago when Vick asked to be benched himself...............then after Monday nights game, umm..........Dallas win by at least 7.................

The Panthers will cover the spread vs the Broncos, if not win SU......................& no, the Broncos will not be in the super bowl, dont fall for the hype if there is any.................
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