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***GWarner27's Pre-Season NFL Thread***

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Posted: #26
7-6 YTD

adding:
Kansas City ML (-105) @ Oakland
-Raiders struggle stopping the run, which is KC's strength. Also think the Chiefs defense is made to slow down teams like Oakland who really don't have a threat passing, and I think Dwayne Bowe will have a big day with Nnamdi Asomugha either OUT or severely limited by his sprained ankle. Hate road teams in any sport, but the HFA in the NFL isn't important in my opinion.

good luck
 
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Posted: #27
7-8 YTD

...bullshit last week

add:
St. Louis ML (+193) @ San Francisco
-Better D, better coach, better QB and the only clear negative is where this game is being played. Don't like the wind in SF for FGs, so I think this will be won with offense and defense and I think StL has the advantage in this game. This is a huge game for the NFC West as it would pretty much eliminate the 'Niners from contention, but I just see the Rams as a much better team that should be favored here so I'll take the ML instead of messing with the points. Hope it doesn't kill me like it did with the Bills last week...

leans:
NE +5

good luck
 
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Posted: #28
7-9 YTD

another bullshit collapse by StL, seems like the story of my life...

add:
New England +5 (-108) @ Pittsburgh
Don't love the Pats, but I'm interested in fading teams off of Monday Night games with the short week and that coincides with Bellichick coming off a loss where his record is very good. Think the Pats are a live dog that could win this straight up, but I don't think the Steelers are a fraud so I'll take the points.

good luck
 
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Posted: #29
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Cleveland ML (+125) @ Jacksonville
-This line tells it all when a 3-7 team goes on the road to a 6-4 team and is favored by less than a TD. Jacksonville is an under-the-radar playoff contender at this point, but they're going to struggle stopping Peyton Hillis on the ground and their secondary should give Colt McCoy some opportunities through the air. The Browns stop the run with the best of them, and that will force David Garrard to beat them with a ball-hawking secondary where I don't like his chances.
 
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Posted: #30
8-10 YTD off another collapse...

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New York +3.5 (-105) @ Philadelphia
-Short week for Philly and the Giants were embarrassed by a division foe. Think we see a great performance from NYG and their pass rush gets to Vick once they realize they can't run the ball conventionally.
 
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Posted: #31
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Denver +9 (-106) @ San Diego
 
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Posted: #32
GL tonight ......................
 
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Posted: #33
more

8-12-1 YTD

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Seattle ML (+114) vs. Kansas City
-Battle of two great home teams and therefore I'll take the home team. C'mon 12th man!
 
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Posted: #34
simply not good right now.

8-13-1 YTD

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Philadelphia -8 (-107) vs. Houston

-Hate to lay this much in the NFL, but the Eagles are in the perfect spot. We should see a raucous environment tonight from the Philly faithful, and the matchup on the gridiron sets up perfectly. Philly can’t run, which is Houston’s strength on defense. Meanwhile the Eagles are strong in the passing game, which is Houston’s greatest weakness. On the other side of the ball, Philly is great at stopping the run and Houston has been relying on Arian Foster to get their offense started recently. When Foster struggles tonight, that will put a lot of pressure on a banged up passing game to make some plays. I’m not buying it as Matt Schaub has looked bad this season and I’m convinced Andre Johnson would have been better served sitting out a few weeks to let his ankle heel instead of playing on it like he has. Again, I hate laying more than a touchdown, but I think this line is this high to get Houston money and the number won’t come into play.

 
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Posted: #35
9-13-1 YTD

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Baltimore -3 (-110) vs. Pittsburgh
-Grabbed this earlier in the week, basically think Baltimore is better across the board and they can exploit the banged up Steelers OL. Flacco has been very good lately, and I can't say the same about Roethlisbathroomassault. Expect this to jump as people lose their ass on the impossible league that takes place every Sunday in the fall and winter before jumping on the SNF favorite. Need a few good runs from the Ravens stable of backs, of which all I think are solid, and we'll be good.
 
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Posted: #36
Good luck today ........................
 
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Posted: #37
more

tough 1-1 last week with the Flacco fumble despite the Ravens controlling the entire game...

9-14-1 YTD

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New York -4.5 (-107) vs. Miami
-Hate the short week, but the Jets were embarrassed and everyone saw it so get ready for them to come out and annihilate the Dolphins who probably aren't enjoying the cold right now.
St. Louis +9.5 (-106) @ New Orleans
-Rams pass rush is too good for the Saints to lay this kind of number especially considering how efficient the Rams are with the football.
 
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Posted: #38



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New England-Chicago UNDER 17 (2H, -120)
-Tough to kick here and I don't think the Pats want to run up the score against an NFC team. Lots of running and the weather will muck this all up.
 
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Posted: #39
10-16-1 YTD

...just awful

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Baltimore -2.5 (-115) @ Houston
-Gonna keep riding the Ravens as I think they're the best team in football right now. Took me a while to get there, but pre-season I was actually doubting their defense and now that's the opposite. Flacco is playing better than anyone in the AFC except Brady and Rivers right now, and this team should have beaten Pittsburgh last week. May look for a future on them while I'm at it, but even if they trail late Baltimore can march down the field against the Houston secondary and I don't think Houston will be able to run the ball at all.
 
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Posted: #40

11-16-1 YTD

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St. Louis -1 (-110) vs. Kansas City

-I’ve been high on the Rams for a while, and I will continue to be even after Bradford’s pick 6 cost me a cover last week. I don’t think Matt Cassel is very good, so with the recent appendectomy I’m not sure he can even throw the ball down the field. That is going to be a problem against a defense coached by Steve Spagnuolo because Coach Spags is great at getting pressure on the QB. If it’s Brodie Croyle, this game won’t be close, but even if Cassel miraculously starts I think KC will seriously struggle to score. They’re going to be playing nervous knowing they need to win to stay ahead of the Chargers and that’s not a good thing when the other team wants to win the Battle of Missouri.  The crowd should be similar to a college atmosphere, and I get the home team without the QB drama basically at a pick. I’m in.


 
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Posted: #41
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Baltimore -2 (-107) vs. New Orleans
-I think the Ravens are going to win the Super Bowl, so I've decided to back them whenever I think they just need to win a game. If I'm going to be right in the end, they're going to have to be able to beat a Saints team that struggles away from home, and is without their bruising RB Chris Ivory. Just gotta hope they can contain Drew Brees.
Jacksonville +4.5 (-106) @ Indianapolis
-Perfect play for a matchup handicapper like I'm trying to become. Great rush offense getting points from an awful rush defense with a division crown on the line. Hate to fade Peyton, but he hasn't been himself this season and I'll play the hotter team.
 
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Posted: #42
12-18-1 YTD

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Green Bay-New England UNDER 43.5 (-107)
-GB's defense will bring it tonight and I think this will be close. If NE covers I think there's a good chance it stays under
 
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Posted: #43
should've just played GB, but Flynn scared me...

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Green Bay +10 (-110, 2H) @ New England
-Should have done this from the beginning, but I think GB can win this game and I have them +7 for the game. They get the ball first and I think they'll work on the clock and hopefully they can hold on and we see a ton of field goals so I can somehow win my under as well.
 
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Posted: #44
laid off the winners, of course...

13-19-1 YTD

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Baltimore to win Super Bowl (+1950)
-Got this matched on MB a while ago, but never saw it until now. Love this Ravens team as they have beaten/lead each team ahead of them in the AFC race and I think their much-maligned defense will look a ton better in the playoffs.
 
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Posted: #45
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Carolina +14 (-105) @ Pittsburgh
-I'm just not convinced that the Steelers can beat anyone who wants to play by this much considering the state of their offensive line. Carolina ain't pretty, but their defense isn't the problem and with no Polamalu or at least a limited #43 I think we see a tighter game than expected.
 
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Posted: #46
13-20-1 YTD

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Oakland ML (+100) vs. Indianapolis
-Second straight week fading Indy against a good rush offense, this time I'm confident in the Raiders winning because Peyton is finally out of the dome. The onside kick return TD was a joke last week, but that's how my season has gone unfortunately...
 
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Posted: #47
GL 
 
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Posted: #48
13-21-1 YTD

I'm awful

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Detroit -3.5 (-105) vs. Minnesota
-Short week for Minnesota and we see Megatron active so I'll take the better team that is more rested and desperate to end the season on a good note.
 
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Posted: #49
 
 
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Posted: #50
kkt

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Tampa Bay +4 (-105, 2H) @ New Orleans
-I think we see Sean Payton resting starters in the 2H because he'll realize ATL isn't losing. Even if he doesn't, I think the Bucs have a good chance to win this game because the Saints don't look sharp with all these turnovers in plus-territory.
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