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Gentlemen I AM DONE

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by Slick Rick:

I had San Diego -3. So if Rivers doesn't fumble the snap there, the likelihood of is seriously so low it would probably take several rows of zeros to type, I get a push. Is my bet still a SHIT BET there? Or is it just a mediocre bet? What if you lose because a couple balls bounce the other way and he doesn't fumble the snap? Was your bet a SHIT BET then?

Luck plays a big role in it. So do idiotic, fluke plays and horrific calls on the field. You can't account for those when you're handicapping games. That's why people get so pissed off at them.

But thanks for the enlightment, genius.



Dude, are you that thick? I made my point perfectly clear. You made a bad pick and lost! End of story. Learn from it and move on.
The ifs, ands, buts don't matter.
Had your "handicapping" taken into account the 3rd straight road game for SD, and the Home Dog Division Rival factor...maybe you wouldn't have picked SD. Also, you could easily have reasoned that SD only won by 3 at home in the same matchup a mere few weeks ago, and now was laying 3 on the road vs the same team as a very bad deal to take.
By the way, before the game I asked a buddy if he realized that his bet with SD involved a 3rd straight road game...   know what he did?
He called off his bet with a wager on KC!  He didn't realize it was a 3rd road game but instantly knew his original pick was a loser.
Do you know how many 3rd road game situations have occurred this season and the results? No you don't. The answer is 4, now 5 after this game. The result: 0-5 for the team on the road for the 3rd straight game.....   live and learn!
So yeah, it WAS a shit pick! Get over it. Accept it. Learn from it. Do better next time!
And, you are welcome for the ENLIGHTENMENT, genius!  lol

 
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Posted: #27

you know what will piss you off more?  For example, let's say you have a bitter feeling against these fuck head so you tell yourself to fade SanDiego from now on.  Because of that angry feeling, you take Greenbay next week.  Next thing you know, SanDiego will cover!  Now, you screwed for betting with Sandi this week and screw for betting against them next week.

Must set feeling aside team that have a high rate of selling game:  These are in no particular order:

Atlanta

Sandiego

Phila

Chicago

Dallas

Jets and Baltimore.

 

The worst offensder for me is no doubt Baltimore and Jets

 
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Posted: #28
Let me sum this up real quickly, for all u guys including Lightweis. People come in here and bash you are idiots. All the info i have on games, i still make mistakes betting them. But the one crucial stat that i can share with you.......Every primetime game since 2009 season that Al Riveron has done.......every dog has covered or won the game outrite. Just thought i share this info....Lightweis if you gonna play again i'd be glad to share some info with you dude....
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by shapsbook:

Ive been there before, make a few risky picks that cleaned me out.  The way I dealt with it:

Stopped gambling for 6 months.  
Studying the stats and trends, psychology, etc in more depth.
Made picks, wrote them down and then recorded my wins and losses.
Learned what went wrong and right with each pick.  
Figured my niche of what picks I am better at (over/unders, money lines, prop bets)

Basically, I took a step back and stepped up my experience and knowledge of the game to a level that I felt confident in before I started gambling with real $ again.



Great advice! What is helping me is money management,,I use to go all-in now i am a little more conservative and bad days aren't to bad, I can recover the next day or by the end of the week.
 
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Posted: #30
Who are you?
 
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Posted: #31

Quote Originally Posted by TomE:



Dude, are you that thick? I made my point perfectly clear. You made a bad pick and lost! End of story. Learn from it and move on.
The ifs, ands, buts don't matter.
Had your "handicapping" taken into account the 3rd straight road game for SD, and the Home Dog Division Rival factor...maybe you wouldn't have picked SD. Also, you could easily have reasoned that SD only won by 3 at home in the same matchup a mere few weeks ago, and now was laying 3 on the road vs the same team as a very bad deal to take.
By the way, before the game I asked a buddy if he realized that his bet with SD involved a 3rd straight road game...   know what he did?
He called off his bet with a wager on KC!  He didn't realize it was a 3rd road game but instantly knew his original pick was a loser.
Do you know how many 3rd road game situations have occurred this season and the results? No you don't. The answer is 4, now 5 after this game. The result: 0-5 for the team on the road for the 3rd straight game.....   live and learn!
So yeah, it WAS a shit pick! Get over it. Accept it. Learn from it. Do better next time!
And, you are welcome for the ENLIGHTENMENT, genius!  lol

Fuck you and your numbers. This was a toss-up game until the last minute. A couple bounces the other way and Rivers not fumbling the fucking snap before the game winning field goal (can you check and see the last time THAT's happened??) and the Chargers cover, and I can tell you how stupid you are for betting KC +3.5 and I can find a bunch of trends to give you to tell you how smart I was for betting SD. The numbers/trends are like horiscopes - they can be sliced/diced to work for any argument after the fact. Personally, I felt this was a field goal game either way (which it was), but based my pick more on feel that KC was due for a let-down, and SD was due for a better performance (similar to Philly last night, and yeah, I know the Eagles were at home). So I hedged to SD-3 and  99.999(+ probably more 9s)  of the time, that's EXACTLY where it would've landed. So yeah, pretty sure we can still say it was the right pick.

If you don't think luck/bad breaks/bad beats have anything to do with gambling then you are kidding yourself. And if you don't think they affected this one in favor of KC, then you weren't watching it.

Most of all, I'd just like people to be able to vent in their threads about bad breaks without douchebag wanna-be "sharps" chiming in to tell them how dumb they were for making the bets in the first place. It's classless, and you still aren't explaining how the logic works if the shoe was on the other foot, which was VERY close to happening in this game.

I know how to spell enlightenment. I type fast and furious sometimes to try to keep up with all the dipshits. It's kinda like an endless game of whack-a-mole. Another reason I stopped reading these forums for the most part long ago.

 
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Posted: #32

Quote Originally Posted by HawaiianWarrior:

Let me sum this up real quickly, for all u guys including Lightweis. People come in here and bash you are idiots. All the info i have on games, i still make mistakes betting them. But the one crucial stat that i can share with you.......Every primetime game since 2009 season that Al Riveron has done.......every dog has covered or won the game outrite. Just thought i share this info....Lightweis if you gonna play again i'd be glad to share some info with you dude....

Really? Now that's some interesting info.

 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by dont_bet:

you know what will piss you off more?  For example, let's say you have a bitter feeling against these fuck head so you tell yourself to fade SanDiego from now on.  Because of that angry feeling, you take Greenbay next week.  Next thing you know, SanDiego will cover!  Now, you screwed for betting with Sandi this week and screw for betting against them next week.

Must set feeling aside team that have a high rate of selling game:  These are in no particular order:

Atlanta

Sandiego

Phila

Chicago

Dallas

Jets and Baltimore.

 

The worst offensder for me is no doubt Baltimore and Jets

Totally true. For me, that's why I like to vent, get it all out, and will have no problem backing Rivers/SD next week if the situation is right! Very well could be here in fact.

 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by Slick Rick:

Fuck you and your numbers. This was a toss-up game until the last minute. A couple bounces the other way and Rivers not fumbling the fucking snap before the game winning field goal (can you check and see the last time THAT's happened??) and the Chargers cover, and I can tell you how stupid you are for betting KC +3.5 and I can find a bunch of trends to give you to tell you how smart I was for betting SD. The numbers/trends are like horiscopes - they can be sliced/diced to work for any argument after the fact. Personally, I felt this was a field goal game either way (which it was), but based my pick more on feel that KC was due for a let-down, and SD was due for a better performance (similar to Philly last night, and yeah, I know the Eagles were at home). So I hedged to SD-3 and  99.999(+ probably more 9s)  of the time, that's EXACTLY where it would've landed. So yeah, pretty sure we can still say it was the right pick.

If you don't think luck/bad breaks/bad beats have anything to do with gambling then you are kidding yourself. And if you don't think they affected this one in favor of KC, then you weren't watching it.

Most of all, I'd just like people to be able to vent in their threads about bad breaks without douchebag wanna-be "sharps" chiming in to tell them how dumb they were for making the bets in the first place. It's classless, and you still aren't explaining how the logic works if the shoe was on the other foot, which was VERY close to happening in this game.

I know how to spell enlightenment. I type fast and furious sometimes to try to keep up with all the dipshits. It's kinda like an endless game of whack-a-mole. Another reason I stopped reading these forums for the most part long ago.



You are a lot dumber than I thought.
You just said you thought it was a field goal game either way!
DUH!   
Yet you chose to lay the field goal rather than take it?
Think about that dumbass.
If it's a field goal game either way (you said it, not me!), you lay the 3 points and the BEST YOU CAN HOPE FOR BASED ON YOUR OWN FEELING IS A TIE! You made a bet hoping for a tie in your best case scenario??? If you take the 3 points based on your own feeling, the WORST YOU CAN DO IS GET A PUSH!
Let's see:
tie or loss on the one hand 
tie or win on the other hand  
Yep, you chose the dumb end of the deal!  

Whatever dude. Keep blaming everyone and everything for the result. Believe you made the right bet. Keep on making that same "right" bet over and over. Rock on.

Oh, and be mad and tell me "fuck you" for trying to straighten out your messed up head.

Whatever.

I'm done chatting with you, moron.


 
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Posted: #35
see u next week  !
 
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Posted: #36
 
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Posted: #37
SHIT PICK

The first and greatest victory is to conquer self
 
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Posted: #38
God has nothing to do with it!

I'm only laughing at you because you sound like me when I started capping.
rule #389876: big road favs always have a chance of losing.

Just bet $5 games when your mojo is bad, that's what I do. You can start seeing the fixes if you do this long enough and put enough time into it.

But if you want to get all metaphysical and stuff, Nostredamus predicted Holland and the Rangers would win game 5 of the world series, he names Cruz and holland AND THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS.  The Rangers did win but obviously they did not play the Brewers. That really got me thinking...

if you have a gift for predicting things and they come true, don't get discouraged over a few games that don't go your way. I've always had a gift for predicting things, even as a kid, which is why I was so good at gambling.

Just be wise with your money management.
 
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Posted: #39

Quote Originally Posted by gambling-devil:

SHIT PICK


Balt analysis was spot on

 
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Posted: #40
If you want winners, you should start fading me.

I have been cold and horrible with my pickings as of late.

I picked dal and sd and they both loss. 

I have a system that I used that pick most of the losers. 

I don't know how I do it but I end up losing money just trying out a losing system.  Fade me for money is the key.  If this week, I end up being a winner, start tailing for I have found  me my golden bread and butter system.  Every week, I tried different systems of play and track it.  If it produces, I continue with the same system but if I skunk, I toss it out or modify my system by using reverse psychology. 

Here is a good psychology that makes sense.  You said you are a born loser by picking nothing but loser.  Have you thought about fading yourself?  Most people goes into the casino in hoping to win but they end up losing.  How about if you go into any gambling arena and play to lose on purpose, would that make you a winner? 

Something to think about. 
X_____________________________
 
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Posted: #41
I had the Chiefs tonight and I even know San Diego was the right side, happens like that sometimes, not to often but sometimes, good example is when Philly lost to Atl in week to, Philly was the right side but Atl won.  Anyone that thinks the Chiefs were the right side tonight def doesn't understand football betting.
 
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Posted: #42
College example would be USC Sat vs Stanf, usc was the right side but stanford covered -7.5
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by theguru1:

I don't keep a record but I should and the league contests on covers arent good because I just pick whatever on those, but I definitely think I pick well over 60% and would make great money If i could just manage it better. I always go big once I am ahead. I can go like 5and2 in a night and lose money by goin heavy on a late game. That should not be happening and I need to change it or I will never win in the long run
shut up
 
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Posted: #44
Clearly the issue of being "up and rich" or "flat out broke" on a single play is not a good gambling system. Sorry it didn't work out your way. .    
 
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Posted: #45
no need to cuss out the man in the mirror unless its for the play itself,,I mean playing the chargers as chalk on the road,,what were you really expecting
 
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Posted: #46
This game is a perfect example why you should always flat bet.  I dont care what anyone says.  Chargers where the right call in that game and they shouldve at least won the game by 3.  But because of horrible officiating and some fucked up calls and a shit as rivers who cost me a win in my high dollar fantasy league chiefs won.  Its fucked up, this game really made me sick.  I only lost a little over 1 unit but its the way we los that makes me want to leave this game.   But you all know how it goes and no one is going anywhere.
 
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Posted: #47

Quote Originally Posted by TomE:



Dude, are you that thick? I made my point perfectly clear. You made a bad pick and lost! End of story. Learn from it and move on.
The ifs, ands, buts don't matter.
Had your "handicapping" taken into account the 3rd straight road game for SD, and the Home Dog Division Rival factor...maybe you wouldn't have picked SD. Also, you could easily have reasoned that SD only won by 3 at home in the same matchup a mere few weeks ago, and now was laying 3 on the road vs the same team as a very bad deal to take.
By the way, before the game I asked a buddy if he realized that his bet with SD involved a 3rd straight road game...   know what he did?
He called off his bet with a wager on KC!  He didn't realize it was a 3rd road game but instantly knew his original pick was a loser.
Do you know how many 3rd road game situations have occurred this season and the results? No you don't. The answer is 4, now 5 after this game. The result: 0-5 for the team on the road for the 3rd straight game.....   live and learn!
So yeah, it WAS a shit pick! Get over it. Accept it. Learn from it. Do better next time!
And, you are welcome for the ENLIGHTENMENT, genius!  lol

The right pick:  Chargers

The wrong pick: Chiefs

The winning pick: Chiefs

Thats the fucked up part of this game is that even when you make the wrong or right pick it doesnt matter.  You can win or lose anyways.  Its why they play the game.  But if you truly believe you made a good call after watching that game your a moron.  The refs won that game for Chiefs.  It happens be thankful you made a bad pick and won, dont act like your the man because chiefs didnt to much to win that game.

 
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Posted: #48

This thread is absolutely hilarious in what people have to say about this shit. I know one thing, if it were that tragic you would'nt even want to post in this forum anymore-so what did you really lose man? If you truly lost your shirt you'd be too sick to talk about it here........

Maybe you should stop shooting for the stars and bet every game the same amount..if you're good you'll be up on the year if your bad you'll be even or down..it actually is that simple. But you can't quit your job, take roids and lift weights, and think you're some damn guru who is'nt gonna hafta work for the rest of his life...that's where I don't feel sorry for you my friend

 
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Posted: #49
Hope to see you back soon lightweis
 
 
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Posted: #50
Rivers has blown every game I've ever watched the Chargers play. Small sample size but I feel that he's even worse than Jay Cutler and that's saying a lot, I've been a Packers fan since birth.
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