See the Eagles side on bookmaker at -2.5 (-115) Boyd gaming in Vegas has the eagles now at -1.5 (-120) so figured was good time to lock in just in case they win by 2 turns a possible loss into a win even though I have to pay the extra 10 cents juice
Faded the Niners last week and it didn’t work out but fading them again here. Eagles best team in NFL all year and that bye did them good after 3 weak games to end the regular season in the massacre of the gmen
obviously big step up in class for the Eagles now playing the Niners but I feel the home field will be the difference here. Two pretty even teams but the Eagles have the best offensive and defensive line in the NFL imo. I feel the trenches will determine this game and the Eagles will win by 2 or more
Bol fellas also love the Chiefs but want to wait for more news of Mahomes and I see them at +2.5 now so doubt it but hoping for a miracle +3 at some point this week
great year but have lost 2 in a row so hopefully can get back on track
See the Eagles side on bookmaker at -2.5 (-115) Boyd gaming in Vegas has the eagles now at -1.5 (-120) so figured was good time to lock in just in case they win by 2 turns a possible loss into a win even though I have to pay the extra 10 cents juice
Faded the Niners last week and it didn’t work out but fading them again here. Eagles best team in NFL all year and that bye did them good after 3 weak games to end the regular season in the massacre of the gmen
obviously big step up in class for the Eagles now playing the Niners but I feel the home field will be the difference here. Two pretty even teams but the Eagles have the best offensive and defensive line in the NFL imo. I feel the trenches will determine this game and the Eagles will win by 2 or more
Bol fellas also love the Chiefs but want to wait for more news of Mahomes and I see them at +2.5 now so doubt it but hoping for a miracle +3 at some point this week
great year but have lost 2 in a row so hopefully can get back on track
I like the same sides, though I admit after the Bills got destroyed I had the emotional response of 'Bengals are going back to the SB'.
Burrow has been looking like the next Brady. Though I guess it's not a good comparison since Brady was a 6th round pick. Anyway, that game made it easy to forget Mahomes is like Michael Jordan. This could be his 'flu game'.
Something about that Bills team was just off all year. Despite their winning games they rarely covered as a favorite. Josh Allen threw so many end zone picks. The Hamlin thing... Did it end up being too much of a distraction in the end?
One angle I like is when a team wins SU as a dog and is then favorite next game it's often good to fade them in that spot. And now they are in that role thanks to the reaction to the injury and the Bills utter annihilation which I still can't believe I didn't see coming.
I like the same sides, though I admit after the Bills got destroyed I had the emotional response of 'Bengals are going back to the SB'.
Burrow has been looking like the next Brady. Though I guess it's not a good comparison since Brady was a 6th round pick. Anyway, that game made it easy to forget Mahomes is like Michael Jordan. This could be his 'flu game'.
Something about that Bills team was just off all year. Despite their winning games they rarely covered as a favorite. Josh Allen threw so many end zone picks. The Hamlin thing... Did it end up being too much of a distraction in the end?
One angle I like is when a team wins SU as a dog and is then favorite next game it's often good to fade them in that spot. And now they are in that role thanks to the reaction to the injury and the Bills utter annihilation which I still can't believe I didn't see coming.
I’m with you on this one. But I think the difference will be Hurts on third downs scrambling for firsts and moving the chains. SF has been vulnerable to running QB’s all season, and we even got flashes of it in the 1H vs Dak.
I’m with you on this one. But I think the difference will be Hurts on third downs scrambling for firsts and moving the chains. SF has been vulnerable to running QB’s all season, and we even got flashes of it in the 1H vs Dak.
I hear u. I don’t like paying extra juice tho. This is my first bet all season that isn’t -110 juice. Trust me I thought about just laying the -2.5 (-110) but with the full pt difference I figured the -120 juice was justified on -1.5
got crushed in past playing ML like u said in the -130, -140 range but I understand ur theory already paying some juice on a spread why not just play ML
the thing here is it’s the best number is why I’m doing it. But in all likelihood they either win by 3 or more or lose SU like a poster said above
I hear u. I don’t like paying extra juice tho. This is my first bet all season that isn’t -110 juice. Trust me I thought about just laying the -2.5 (-110) but with the full pt difference I figured the -120 juice was justified on -1.5
got crushed in past playing ML like u said in the -130, -140 range but I understand ur theory already paying some juice on a spread why not just play ML
the thing here is it’s the best number is why I’m doing it. But in all likelihood they either win by 3 or more or lose SU like a poster said above
The Cowboys held Purdy to a 53.1 qbr, and he threw 2 interceptable passes that weren't caught.
This Philly secondary is much better. Best pass defense by dvoa in the nfl. And the #1 pass rush via D line.
Dallas held the Niners to 3.5 ypc. Their run D was magnificent vs the most prolific run scheme around. Kyle Shanahan admitted after the game that "we didn't have any advantages vs Dan Quinn, because he did things that he never does"
The tape will be reviewed by Philly. There could be something that Quinn did that could frustrate the Niners run game if identified. We'll see if Philly copy cats it. They will need help stopping the run, because this is their one weak spot on D.
As for Cincinnati. It's Burrow, Hollywood! This kid is the real deal man. I love Mahomes, but that ankle is his lead foot on passes. Also the Bengals have the best D coordinator in the league that many don't bother to recognize. He has taken away Kelce in the past, and has a tremendously well run blitz package.
The Cowboys held Purdy to a 53.1 qbr, and he threw 2 interceptable passes that weren't caught.
This Philly secondary is much better. Best pass defense by dvoa in the nfl. And the #1 pass rush via D line.
Dallas held the Niners to 3.5 ypc. Their run D was magnificent vs the most prolific run scheme around. Kyle Shanahan admitted after the game that "we didn't have any advantages vs Dan Quinn, because he did things that he never does"
The tape will be reviewed by Philly. There could be something that Quinn did that could frustrate the Niners run game if identified. We'll see if Philly copy cats it. They will need help stopping the run, because this is their one weak spot on D.
As for Cincinnati. It's Burrow, Hollywood! This kid is the real deal man. I love Mahomes, but that ankle is his lead foot on passes. Also the Bengals have the best D coordinator in the league that many don't bother to recognize. He has taken away Kelce in the past, and has a tremendously well run blitz package.
I see this line down to +1 (-110) at bookmaker now. Once Mahomes is cleared Chiefs could go off a favorite in my opinion. Should have jumped on the +2.5 yesterday but figured wait to see if it hit +3 now that it's going back down though figured had to release. The narrative is Joe Burrow is a GOD and now everyone loves the Bengals after crushing a paper champion type choking team every year in the bills at +6. I am well aware of Burrow being 3-0 against FAT ANDY and Patrick as well. Triple revenge angle in this game and even a gimpy Mahomes won't lose b2b AFC title games at home to the same team IMO.
Everything was made about the Bengals having 3 offensive lineman out last week and now that narrative is being forgotten bc they crushed an overrrated bills squad. KC had 55 sacks in the regular season and I feel their defensive line will dominate this game. Factor in we are getting the best coach in the NFL as a home underdog in this huge 3X revenge angle and I feel the Chiefs win this game outright. I bet the Bengals at +2.5 in the regular season and mounted when these two teams met. But this is the spot to back the Chiefs IMO.
BOL FELLAS
LETS GO EAGLES N CHIEFS. HCG is fired up for conference title sunday.
I see this line down to +1 (-110) at bookmaker now. Once Mahomes is cleared Chiefs could go off a favorite in my opinion. Should have jumped on the +2.5 yesterday but figured wait to see if it hit +3 now that it's going back down though figured had to release. The narrative is Joe Burrow is a GOD and now everyone loves the Bengals after crushing a paper champion type choking team every year in the bills at +6. I am well aware of Burrow being 3-0 against FAT ANDY and Patrick as well. Triple revenge angle in this game and even a gimpy Mahomes won't lose b2b AFC title games at home to the same team IMO.
Everything was made about the Bengals having 3 offensive lineman out last week and now that narrative is being forgotten bc they crushed an overrrated bills squad. KC had 55 sacks in the regular season and I feel their defensive line will dominate this game. Factor in we are getting the best coach in the NFL as a home underdog in this huge 3X revenge angle and I feel the Chiefs win this game outright. I bet the Bengals at +2.5 in the regular season and mounted when these two teams met. But this is the spot to back the Chiefs IMO.
BOL FELLAS
LETS GO EAGLES N CHIEFS. HCG is fired up for conference title sunday.
I snagged the +2.5 on KC early today and took Philly ML.
I have a rule when I like a fav under 3 I take moneyline and when I like a dog under 3 I take the points.
Way more games land on 2 or 1 than people think. A lot of game winning FGs don't come when the game is tied, and with the longer PATs and stuff weird scorelines are more common now.
Of course, conventional wisdom would say maybe you should just lay off any game that you think would come down to a last second FG, but whatever.
I definitely agree with your take on KC and all the stuff being forgotten after the Bills game. I had the same reaction at first and then caught hold of myself.
I remember Reid went to 5 straight conf champs in Philly and only won 1. He is on 5 straight this year in KC. On the one hand this has been a hurdle he's often fallen at, but on the other hand if it's that hard for a great coach like him to get over it I don't think Zac Taylor is gonna go 2 for 2 in it.
The 29th ranked in yards per completion Cinci defense gonna shut down a top passing offense again on the road? Even with a bad ankle Mahomes can throw on this team. The Cinci team that should have lost to an anemic passing attack the week before, couldn't stop the run, only scored once on offense the 2nd half, is now gonna dominate from start to finish for 2 weeks in a row? I don't think so.
I bet the Bengals vs Baltimore and lost and then overreacted, bet against them vs the Bills and lost. So this time no emotional reaction. The MJ of the NFL is at home and is the top seed with major revenge vs a team that ran for like 60 yards a game average in the 3 games prior to last week,is still playing backup lineman and now on back to back road games.
I snagged the +2.5 on KC early today and took Philly ML.
I have a rule when I like a fav under 3 I take moneyline and when I like a dog under 3 I take the points.
Way more games land on 2 or 1 than people think. A lot of game winning FGs don't come when the game is tied, and with the longer PATs and stuff weird scorelines are more common now.
Of course, conventional wisdom would say maybe you should just lay off any game that you think would come down to a last second FG, but whatever.
I definitely agree with your take on KC and all the stuff being forgotten after the Bills game. I had the same reaction at first and then caught hold of myself.
I remember Reid went to 5 straight conf champs in Philly and only won 1. He is on 5 straight this year in KC. On the one hand this has been a hurdle he's often fallen at, but on the other hand if it's that hard for a great coach like him to get over it I don't think Zac Taylor is gonna go 2 for 2 in it.
The 29th ranked in yards per completion Cinci defense gonna shut down a top passing offense again on the road? Even with a bad ankle Mahomes can throw on this team. The Cinci team that should have lost to an anemic passing attack the week before, couldn't stop the run, only scored once on offense the 2nd half, is now gonna dominate from start to finish for 2 weeks in a row? I don't think so.
I bet the Bengals vs Baltimore and lost and then overreacted, bet against them vs the Bills and lost. So this time no emotional reaction. The MJ of the NFL is at home and is the top seed with major revenge vs a team that ran for like 60 yards a game average in the 3 games prior to last week,is still playing backup lineman and now on back to back road games.
Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 (-120) See the Eagles side on bookmaker at -2.5 (-115) Boyd gaming in Vegas has the eagles now at -1.5 (-120) so figured was good time to lock in just in case they win by 2 turns a possible loss into a win even though I have to pay the extra 10 cents juice Faded the Niners last week and it didn’t work out but fading them again here. Eagles best team in NFL all year and that bye did them good after 3 weak games to end the regular season in the massacre of the gmen obviously big step up in class for the Eagles now playing the Niners but I feel the home field will be the difference here. Two pretty even teams but the Eagles have the best offensive and defensive line in the NFL imo. I feel the trenches will determine this game and the Eagles will win by 2 or more Bol fellas also love the Chiefs but want to wait for more news of Mahomes and I see them at +2.5 now so doubt it but hoping for a miracle +3 at some point this week great year but have lost 2 in a row so hopefully can get back on track NFL YTD 28-15-2
Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 (-120) See the Eagles side on bookmaker at -2.5 (-115) Boyd gaming in Vegas has the eagles now at -1.5 (-120) so figured was good time to lock in just in case they win by 2 turns a possible loss into a win even though I have to pay the extra 10 cents juice Faded the Niners last week and it didn’t work out but fading them again here. Eagles best team in NFL all year and that bye did them good after 3 weak games to end the regular season in the massacre of the gmen obviously big step up in class for the Eagles now playing the Niners but I feel the home field will be the difference here. Two pretty even teams but the Eagles have the best offensive and defensive line in the NFL imo. I feel the trenches will determine this game and the Eagles will win by 2 or more Bol fellas also love the Chiefs but want to wait for more news of Mahomes and I see them at +2.5 now so doubt it but hoping for a miracle +3 at some point this week great year but have lost 2 in a row so hopefully can get back on track NFL YTD 28-15-2
Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 (-120) See the Eagles side on bookmaker at -2.5 (-115) Boyd gaming in Vegas has the eagles now at -1.5 (-120) so figured was good time to lock in just in case they win by 2 turns a possible loss into a win even though I have to pay the extra 10 cents juice Faded the Niners last week and it didn’t work out but fading them again here. Eagles best team in NFL all year and that bye did them good after 3 weak games to end the regular season in the massacre of the gmen obviously big step up in class for the Eagles now playing the Niners but I feel the home field will be the difference here. Two pretty even teams but the Eagles have the best offensive and defensive line in the NFL imo. I feel the trenches will determine this game and the Eagles will win by 2 or more Bol fellas also love the Chiefs but want to wait for more news of Mahomes and I see them at +2.5 now so doubt it but hoping for a miracle +3 at some point this week great year but have lost 2 in a row so hopefully can get back on track NFL YTD 28-15-2
Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 (-120) See the Eagles side on bookmaker at -2.5 (-115) Boyd gaming in Vegas has the eagles now at -1.5 (-120) so figured was good time to lock in just in case they win by 2 turns a possible loss into a win even though I have to pay the extra 10 cents juice Faded the Niners last week and it didn’t work out but fading them again here. Eagles best team in NFL all year and that bye did them good after 3 weak games to end the regular season in the massacre of the gmen obviously big step up in class for the Eagles now playing the Niners but I feel the home field will be the difference here. Two pretty even teams but the Eagles have the best offensive and defensive line in the NFL imo. I feel the trenches will determine this game and the Eagles will win by 2 or more Bol fellas also love the Chiefs but want to wait for more news of Mahomes and I see them at +2.5 now so doubt it but hoping for a miracle +3 at some point this week great year but have lost 2 in a row so hopefully can get back on track NFL YTD 28-15-2
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