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Buffalo Bills +149 To Win Division

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Legend
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Posted: #26

Jump on the Bills to win the Division at +450 about a month ago as posted ....

 

Anything at plus odds should still have good value .. 

 

 

Best of luck to all covers Brothers

 
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Posted: #27

Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Jump on the Bills to win the Division at +450 about a month ago as posted ....   Anything at plus odds should still have good value ..      Best of luck to all covers Brothers

Hope all is well DU4L??!thumbs_up Sucks with no sports BUT doing okay in Nicaragua and Belarussoccerball and throw in a little Esports LOLan_roll_laugh

 
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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Jump on the Bills to win the Division at +450 about a month ago as posted ....   Anything at plus odds should still have good value ..      Best of luck to all covers Brothers

You got a great price on BUF.  Nice timely move.

The current AFC East championship odds at Heritage Sports:

NE   +125

BUF  +110

At those prices I would prefer NE.  NE's DEF is ranked #1 in DVOA vs. BUF at #6 - solid edge for NE.  While I have no idea how productive Brady's replacement will be, even an average QB should outperform Josh Allen, ranked only #26 in QBR.

These opinions are just an intellectual exercise; I cannot imagine placing a wager that, even if I win, probably won't be paid off until February of 2022.  COVID-19 has killed virtually all entertainment, not just the NFL.  As much as I enjoy handicapping and betting on football, I certainly miss going to the movies more.

 
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Posted: #29

an_wink

 
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Posted: #30

Dogbite, I think you're being unfair to Josh Allen. Most important thing for a young QB is experience, that's how he gets better and Allen improved substantially in his first full season as the starter over the 12 games he played the year before. He threw 20 TD's and only 9 pix this past season vs 10/12 the year before, huge difference, completion pct. went up 6 percent to nearly 59, yea gotta get better there but again, big improvement from 52 percent. And he scored 9 TDs on the ground which makes 17 his first 29 games and includes 1141 yds for those games at 5.8 ypc. Those are big time numbers for anyone especially a QB. Lastly, he led his team to the playoffs in once more, his first full season as the starter. Allen's a football player, a QB and a winner. The Bills have their QB and good things look ahead as NE, the bully of the AFC east, like the aging, dominant lion of his pride, will be defeated by a younger, hungrier opponent. 

 

 
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Posted: #31

Since you failed to use capital letters, I don't know if you are Mr. Usso or M. Russo.  However, you made some valid points.

One more thing in Allen's favor - if I am correct and there is no 2020 NFL season, he will have an additional year to develop his skills.

However, I would still rather have the #1 NFL DEF with a shrewd head coach at +125 than the #6 NFL DEF with the 26th ranked QB at +110.  But like I said, I will not be placing such a wager for at least 1 1/4 years, and even then I probably will pass.

Good luck to any BUF or NE bettors.  I completely understand why you are craving some action.

 
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Posted: #32

Dogbitepeace_5 , and while you miss the movies, the girlfriend and I sure do miss a cold cocktail and beer, some hot wings, oysters and sum live music. But we wish good health for everyone first and foremost.

 
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Posted: #33

Quote Originally Posted by mrusso:

Dogbite , and while you miss the movies, the girlfriend and I sure do miss a cold cocktail and beer, some hot wings, oysters and sum live music. But we wish good health for everyone first and foremost.

Right.  Let's just all survive until football returns, whenever that may be.

 
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Posted: #34

Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Jump on the Bills to win the Division at +450 about a month ago as posted ....   Anything at plus odds should still have good value ..      Best of luck to all covers Brothers

caught them at +250 right before the diggs news hit. an_cheers

i think miami is gonna be the team in a couple years. flores seems like a great coach and leader. he let all the stars walk away and still played competitively with literally no one. now they got all these picks and a culture that he has brought in from the ground up. bills better make their move fast

No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #35

Buffalo under 8.5 will be my biggest future plays. They have so many losable games and I'm sure Bills fans are putting them in the win column. The Bills play a lot of potentially good to very good teams this year. Instead of playing the two worst divisions which they did a year ago, they get the AFC and NFC West which means a lot of travel as well. I don't see 9 wins at all unless Allen plays out of his mind.

 
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Posted: #36

The trend the one guy referenced is fading teams who improve their win total from one season to the next by 7 or more wins. Last year it would’ve been fading the browns and bears, this year it’s SF and GB 

 
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Posted: #37

Quote Originally Posted by prodigypoli:

The trend the one guy referenced is fading teams who improve their win total from one season to the next by 7 or more wins. Last year it would’ve been fading the browns and bears, this year it’s SF and GB

I definitely plan on fading the packers this season 

 
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Posted: #38

Another reason to fade GB in the upcoming season (whenever that might be):  GB was 6-1 SU in games decided by 7 points or less.  It is reasonable to expect a regression.

 
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Posted: #39

Yeah, Bills most definitely can win the AFC East. I'll go as far as saying that I think the Buffalo Bills could be a dark horse Super Bowl candidate this year. an_horse

 
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Posted: #40

Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

Another reason to fade GB in the upcoming season (whenever that might be):  GB was 6-1 SU in games decided by 7 points or less.  It is reasonable to expect a regression.

Wow ..yeah for sure ...

Also think they've had one of the worst off seasons in the league ( my opinion) 

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