Posted:
#1
I have not posted any pick in this forum, so whatever record I report now should be considered useless. But I want to share the results of my system and hope that they may help someone here.
NO-ALT
My systems do not tell which side to pick. However, they will tell you how much likely the final results differ from closing lines. Don't ask me how to calculate the numbers (I will not tell anyway), I used kind of statistic algorithms to do this job. I used to two such algorithms. They take results from the last 16 games into account.
Here are the number for this week:
Game Adjust#1 Adjust#2 Current_line
| SEA-CHI | -5 | -5.5 | -3.5 |
| -1 | -1.5 | -9.5 |
| 0 | -1 | 7 |
| 0.5 | -0.5 | -4.5 |
| 7 | 6 | 3 |
| -4 | -4 | -4.5 |
| -5 | -6 | -5.5 |
| 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 4.5 | 4 | 5.5 |
| 2 | 0.5 | 7 |
| -7 | -7 | NA |
| 14.5 | 12 | NA |
| 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
| -10.5 | -9.5 | -10.5 |
| 2 | 2.5 | 1 |
On the basis of those numbers, I will pick home (away) team if the Adjust#1 and Adjust#2 are largely negative (positive).
These numbers are also telling you how likely and which directions the lines may move. So if I like a particular pick, they will help me to pick the best value.
BOL.
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