Two bets still pending for tonight, but wanted to post this play because I've already made it:
Nuggets +6.5
I know Denver is not looking so solid without a true PG in the
rotation, but this is still a proud, veteran team, and a perfect
candidate to play the part of Wounded Bear. I love getting that many
points, and I plan on adding a little on the ML tomorrow when it's
available.
More potential plays still upcoming.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Two bets still pending for tonight, but wanted to post this play because I've already made it:
Nuggets +6.5
I know Denver is not looking so solid without a true PG in the
rotation, but this is still a proud, veteran team, and a perfect
candidate to play the part of Wounded Bear. I love getting that many
points, and I plan on adding a little on the ML tomorrow when it's
available.
As I mentioned above, I'm already on the wounded bear Nuggets. I promise the Wounded Bear is real, I'm not running around yelling about ManBearPig here.
A quick look at some other games of note:
Cleveland +9 at Utah. Tough road win for the Cavs last night, they were able to keep the game at a solid pace and win with good execution down the stretch. But don't get suckered into thinking they can hang with Utah. The Jazz will dictate the pace and they're the rare team who can probably out-rebound Cleveland as well. I never recommend laying this many points, but I do advise to stay off Cleveland and the points.
Phoenix -5 at Atlanta. Did you ever expect to see a line so short for this game, even in Atlanta? A lot depends on Amare I suppose. But I will say this, I like the way this young Atlanta team is crashing the boards. They're going to give run-and-gun teams like Phoenix some trouble this season.
New Orleans -2.5 at Portland. Unpopular home dog alert! If there's a play to make besides Denver tonight, it's the Blazers.
0
YTD: 5-3 Last Night: 3-0
As I mentioned above, I'm already on the wounded bear Nuggets. I promise the Wounded Bear is real, I'm not running around yelling about ManBearPig here.
A quick look at some other games of note:
Cleveland +9 at Utah. Tough road win for the Cavs last night, they were able to keep the game at a solid pace and win with good execution down the stretch. But don't get suckered into thinking they can hang with Utah. The Jazz will dictate the pace and they're the rare team who can probably out-rebound Cleveland as well. I never recommend laying this many points, but I do advise to stay off Cleveland and the points.
Phoenix -5 at Atlanta. Did you ever expect to see a line so short for this game, even in Atlanta? A lot depends on Amare I suppose. But I will say this, I like the way this young Atlanta team is crashing the boards. They're going to give run-and-gun teams like Phoenix some trouble this season.
New Orleans -2.5 at Portland. Unpopular home dog alert! If there's a play to make besides Denver tonight, it's the Blazers.
not comfortable with the Nuggs after the big collapse last night against the Knicks. that was a really bad beat. now they face a club who's out to make a statement.
0
not comfortable with the Nuggs after the big collapse last night against the Knicks. that was a really bad beat. now they face a club who's out to make a statement.
Yep--Utah giving 9.5pts to Cleveland, just makes you want to take those pts!! Well I say lay those pts., fuck Vegas doesn't give nothing away. I'll play on the Home team, playing against a team that did very badly ATS on the back side of B2B situations last year. GL to All
0
Yep--Utah giving 9.5pts to Cleveland, just makes you want to take those pts!! Well I say lay those pts., fuck Vegas doesn't give nothing away. I'll play on the Home team, playing against a team that did very badly ATS on the back side of B2B situations last year. GL to All
Trend #1:take the lowest Under and the highest Over YTD: 10-4 (6-1 on Unders, 4-3 on Overs) Tonight: Grizzlies/Sonics Over; Heat/Spurs Under
Trend #2: fade popular public picks (80% or above at sportsbook.com) YTD: 9-3 Tonight: TBD (Atlanta, Portland)
Trend #3:follow reverse line movement when public is on other side at 70% or above YTD: 8-3 Tonight: TBD (Utah)
Trend #4:fade teams playing their first home game after 3 or more consecutive road games YTD: 0-0 Tonight: N/A
Trend #5:take the 1st Quarter line for home teams with 2 or more days rest than their opponent YTD: 0-0 Tonight: Pacers 1st Q; 76ers 1st Q; Celtics 1st Q; Blazers 1st Q; Jazz 1st Q
0
Trend tracking
Trend #1:take the lowest Under and the highest Over YTD: 10-4 (6-1 on Unders, 4-3 on Overs) Tonight: Grizzlies/Sonics Over; Heat/Spurs Under
Trend #2: fade popular public picks (80% or above at sportsbook.com) YTD: 9-3 Tonight: TBD (Atlanta, Portland)
Trend #3:follow reverse line movement when public is on other side at 70% or above YTD: 8-3 Tonight: TBD (Utah)
Trend #4:fade teams playing their first home game after 3 or more consecutive road games YTD: 0-0 Tonight: N/A
Trend #5:take the 1st Quarter line for home teams with 2 or more days rest than their opponent YTD: 0-0 Tonight: Pacers 1st Q; 76ers 1st Q; Celtics 1st Q; Blazers 1st Q; Jazz 1st Q
Why would Portland be the right pick or right side of this game?
Last year's star player was traded and this year's team is lead by a second year player. Portland needs to learn how to win, who's going to be the man, the go to guy. MaleEscort took the T-pups and the ML last night, and lost. T-pups have a lot of talent, but just don't play like a team yet. Team's like Portland sometimes lose 10 or 12 in a row early in the season, I say fade them until they deserve the respect of money hard earned being laid on their winning an NBA game. GL
0
Why would Portland be the right pick or right side of this game?
Last year's star player was traded and this year's team is lead by a second year player. Portland needs to learn how to win, who's going to be the man, the go to guy. MaleEscort took the T-pups and the ML last night, and lost. T-pups have a lot of talent, but just don't play like a team yet. Team's like Portland sometimes lose 10 or 12 in a row early in the season, I say fade them until they deserve the respect of money hard earned being laid on their winning an NBA game. GL
They were fav against Char I believe on the 4th and loss straight up.
Just wondering.
They lost straight up to Charlotte as a favorite, but they were the dog in Indiana when they lost to the Pacers. To qualify as a wounded bear, you have to lose two straight as a favorite, and then be dogged in the third game.
0
Quote Originally Posted by foolball:
Doesn't Miami count as a wounded bear?
They were fav against Char I believe on the 4th and loss straight up.
Just wondering.
They lost straight up to Charlotte as a favorite, but they were the dog in Indiana when they lost to the Pacers. To qualify as a wounded bear, you have to lose two straight as a favorite, and then be dogged in the third game.
Yep--Utah giving 9.5pts to Cleveland, just makes you want to take those pts!! Well I say lay those pts., fuck Vegas doesn't give nothing away. I'll play on the Home team, playing against a team that did very badly ATS on the back side of B2B situations last year. GL to All
I typically consider fading the back-side of a back-to-back to be something of a myth. But the Cavs are one team that seems to reward that strategy.
I'm not the type who's willing to lay that many points, but I can't blame anyone for doing it.
0
Quote Originally Posted by stonepilot57:
Yep--Utah giving 9.5pts to Cleveland, just makes you want to take those pts!! Well I say lay those pts., fuck Vegas doesn't give nothing away. I'll play on the Home team, playing against a team that did very badly ATS on the back side of B2B situations last year. GL to All
I typically consider fading the back-side of a back-to-back to be something of a myth. But the Cavs are one team that seems to reward that strategy.
I'm not the type who's willing to lay that many points, but I can't blame anyone for doing it.
Why would Portland be the right pick or right side of this game?
Last year's star player was traded and this year's team is lead by a second year player. Portland needs to learn how to win, who's going to be the man, the go to guy. MaleEscort took the T-pups and the ML last night, and lost. T-pups have a lot of talent, but just don't play like a team yet. Team's like Portland sometimes lose 10 or 12 in a row early in the season, I say fade them until they deserve the respect of money hard earned being laid on their winning an NBA game. GL
I don't expect Portland to be a very good team this year. My backing Portland would not be an indication that I consider them a better team than New Orleans, I just consider this a decent spot for them.
Of course, it also just occurred to me that Portland is coming home after playing three straight road games. I don't think I've ever seen that at the beginning of the season before, but it does qualify them for fade status under Trend #4. Which doesn't mean I won't still consider playing them, just something else to think about, I reckon.
0
Quote Originally Posted by stonepilot57:
Why would Portland be the right pick or right side of this game?
Last year's star player was traded and this year's team is lead by a second year player. Portland needs to learn how to win, who's going to be the man, the go to guy. MaleEscort took the T-pups and the ML last night, and lost. T-pups have a lot of talent, but just don't play like a team yet. Team's like Portland sometimes lose 10 or 12 in a row early in the season, I say fade them until they deserve the respect of money hard earned being laid on their winning an NBA game. GL
I don't expect Portland to be a very good team this year. My backing Portland would not be an indication that I consider them a better team than New Orleans, I just consider this a decent spot for them.
Of course, it also just occurred to me that Portland is coming home after playing three straight road games. I don't think I've ever seen that at the beginning of the season before, but it does qualify them for fade status under Trend #4. Which doesn't mean I won't still consider playing them, just something else to think about, I reckon.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
